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Author Topic: AR-PPP: Hutchison breaking away  (Read 1998 times)
Miles
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« on: April 30, 2014, 11:42:01 am »

Report.

Hutchison (R)- 46%
Ross (D)- 38%

LG

Griffin (R)- 39%
Burkhalter (D)- 30%

Land Commissioner

Thurston (R)- 28%
Robertson (D)- 27%
[Elvis] Presley (L)- 17%
« Last Edit: April 30, 2014, 11:44:48 am by Miles »Logged


Dave Leip
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« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2014, 11:50:07 am »

New Poll: Arkansas Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2014-04-27

Summary: D: 38%, R: 46%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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King Francis I
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« Reply #2 on: April 30, 2014, 12:05:47 pm »

Hum, you still have 33% of people who don't know who Ross is.

But yeah, Hutchinson is leading right now.
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Flo   it seems like everytime i talk to you i have some sort of illness
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Maxwell
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« Reply #3 on: April 30, 2014, 12:07:21 pm »

Hum, you still have 33% of people who don't know who Ross is.

But yeah, Hutchinson is leading right now.

Hutchinson is not known by 27%, which is only slightly less people, so name recognition is no longer an excuse.
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King Francis I
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« Reply #4 on: April 30, 2014, 12:12:13 pm »

Hum, you still have 33% of people who don't know who Ross is.

But yeah, Hutchinson is leading right now.

Hutchinson is not known by 27%, which is only slightly less people, so name recognition is no longer an excuse.
8 point between Hutchinson and Ross in term of name recognition. So no, it's still important.

Remember the last time when I said "name recognition" about MT, and you said, NO NO NO windjammer you're wrong. The next poll in Montana saw a much closer race than the 12 point differences!

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Flo   it seems like everytime i talk to you i have some sort of illness
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Miles
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« Reply #5 on: April 30, 2014, 12:14:29 pm »

Hutchison is running a much weaker campaign. I'd buy that he's slightly up, but the margin here is kinda bizarre.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: April 30, 2014, 12:20:27 pm »

Hum, you still have 33% of people who don't know who Ross is.

But yeah, Hutchinson is leading right now.

Hutchinson is not known by 27%, which is only slightly less people, so name recognition is no longer an excuse.
8 point between Hutchinson and Ross in term of name recognition. So no, it's still important.

Remember the last time when I said "name recognition" about MT, and you said, NO NO NO windjammer you're wrong. The next poll in Montana saw a much closer race than the 12 point differences!

It's actually 6 points. And I was using the information in the Montana poll. I suggest you look at the information given in the poll instead of finding excuses for Democrats being behind.

I'm kind of shocked actually that Hutchinson is ahead, considering he's a terrible candidate. I'm sure Ross can pull ahead.
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King Francis I
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« Reply #7 on: April 30, 2014, 12:24:49 pm »

Hum, you still have 33% of people who don't know who Ross is.

But yeah, Hutchinson is leading right now.

Hutchinson is not known by 27%, which is only slightly less people, so name recognition is no longer an excuse.
8 point between Hutchinson and Ross in term of name recognition. So no, it's still important.

Remember the last time when I said "name recognition" about MT, and you said, NO NO NO windjammer you're wrong. The next poll in Montana saw a much closer race than the 12 point differences!

It's actually 6 points. And I was using the information in the Montana poll. I suggest you look at the information given in the poll instead of finding excuses for Democrats being behind.

I'm kind of shocked actually that Hutchinson is ahead, considering he's a terrible candidate. I'm sure Ross can pull ahead.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AR_430.pdf
It's actually 9 points in term of name recognition. Ross: not sure: 35% Hutchinson: not sure: 29%
I suggest you look at  the information given in the poll instead of accusing me being a Democrat hack.
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Flo   it seems like everytime i talk to you i have some sort of illness
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US state senates
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: April 30, 2014, 12:26:50 pm »

Hum, you still have 33% of people who don't know who Ross is.

But yeah, Hutchinson is leading right now.

Hutchinson is not known by 27%, which is only slightly less people, so name recognition is no longer an excuse.
8 point between Hutchinson and Ross in term of name recognition. So no, it's still important.

Remember the last time when I said "name recognition" about MT, and you said, NO NO NO windjammer you're wrong. The next poll in Montana saw a much closer race than the 12 point differences!

It's actually 6 points. And I was using the information in the Montana poll. I suggest you look at the information given in the poll instead of finding excuses for Democrats being behind.

I'm kind of shocked actually that Hutchinson is ahead, considering he's a terrible candidate. I'm sure Ross can pull ahead.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AR_430.pdf
It's actually 9 points in term of name recognition. Ross: not sure: 35% Hutchinson: not sure: 29%
I suggest you look at  the information given in the poll instead of accusing me being a Democrat hack.

Correction - You're right, I apologize for those earlier accusations. Nevertheless, it's not a giant gap in name recognition like you seem to insinuate.
« Last Edit: April 30, 2014, 12:29:09 pm by IDS Legislator Maxwell »Logged
King Francis I
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« Reply #9 on: April 30, 2014, 12:29:02 pm »

Hum, you still have 33% of people who don't know who Ross is.

But yeah, Hutchinson is leading right now.

Hutchinson is not known by 27%, which is only slightly less people, so name recognition is no longer an excuse.
8 point between Hutchinson and Ross in term of name recognition. So no, it's still important.

Remember the last time when I said "name recognition" about MT, and you said, NO NO NO windjammer you're wrong. The next poll in Montana saw a much closer race than the 12 point differences!

It's actually 6 points. And I was using the information in the Montana poll. I suggest you look at the information given in the poll instead of finding excuses for Democrats being behind.

I'm kind of shocked actually that Hutchinson is ahead, considering he's a terrible candidate. I'm sure Ross can pull ahead.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AR_430.pdf
It's actually 9 points in term of name recognition. Ross: not sure: 35% Hutchinson: not sure: 29%
I suggest you look at  the information given in the poll instead of accusing me being a Democrat hack.

35-29=6
Oups sorry, it was Huthinson at 26% I don't know why I have written 29%.
And 35-26=9
So  I suggest you look at  the information given in the poll instead of accusing me being a Democrat hack.
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Flo   it seems like everytime i talk to you i have some sort of illness
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US state senates
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #10 on: April 30, 2014, 01:26:50 pm »

Hum, you still have 33% of people who don't know who Ross is.

But yeah, Hutchinson is leading right now.

Hutchinson is not known by 27%, which is only slightly less people, so name recognition is no longer an excuse.
8 point between Hutchinson and Ross in term of name recognition. So no, it's still important.

Remember the last time when I said "name recognition" about MT, and you said, NO NO NO windjammer you're wrong. The next poll in Montana saw a much closer race than the 12 point differences!

It's actually 6 points. And I was using the information in the Montana poll. I suggest you look at the information given in the poll instead of finding excuses for Democrats being behind.

I'm kind of shocked actually that Hutchinson is ahead, considering he's a terrible candidate. I'm sure Ross can pull ahead.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AR_430.pdf
It's actually 9 points in term of name recognition. Ross: not sure: 35% Hutchinson: not sure: 29%
I suggest you look at  the information given in the poll instead of accusing me being a Democrat hack.

35-29=6
Oups sorry, it was Huthinson at 26% I don't know why I have written 29%.
And 35-26=9
So  I suggest you look at  the information given in the poll instead of accusing me being a Democrat hack.


LoL, no need to be that rude, Windjammer. You look like an annoying hack now.
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E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #11 on: April 30, 2014, 01:30:02 pm »

Interesting, though I'd still expect a close race either way.
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King Francis I
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« Reply #12 on: April 30, 2014, 01:33:31 pm »

Interesting, though I'd still expect a close race either way.
It is obvious Ross is a strong recruit. But I think Hutchinson is a bit underrated. Not an exceptional candidate, but not a troll.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #13 on: April 30, 2014, 01:36:54 pm »

Report.

Land Commissioner

[Elvis] Presley (L)- 17%

Wot ?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #14 on: April 30, 2014, 01:52:14 pm »

LoL, no need to be that rude, Windjammer. You look like an annoying hack now.

To be fair, I was kind of rude first Tongue

Not to mention wrong
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #15 on: April 30, 2014, 07:20:26 pm »

The write-up by Tom Jensen on this poll notes that every other poll has this race much closer, and implies that even PPP considers this poll to be an outlier. We'll wait to see if others back it up, but for now I'm ignoring it.
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morgieb
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« Reply #16 on: May 01, 2014, 01:44:41 am »

Interesting. Probably good news for Mark Pryor if that he can be up 1 if Hutchison is up by 8.
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