Find the fraudster! A polling simulation game (user search)
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  Election and History Games (Moderator: Dereich)
  Find the fraudster! A polling simulation game (search mode)
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Author Topic: Find the fraudster! A polling simulation game  (Read 3708 times)
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30
« on: May 01, 2014, 10:28:26 AM »
This sounds exciting. It appears that you have put plenty of work into this. Based on your explanation, I think I have an understanding of how this works. As someone who enjoys reading polls, I look forward to the progression of this game.

It seems like Badger Opinion Strategies is the likeliest fraudulent pollster, but I am not 100% sure about this, because it appears this polling company caught a genuine shift to the rightists in 2001 before it showed up in the other three polls. Dolphin Reports apparently has a leftist bias of 1-2%, while Aardvark Polling has a rightist bias of 0.4% and Cheetah Marketing could have a leftist bias of 0.1%. Aardvark and Cheetah might be the most reliable pollsters.
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Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30
« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2014, 09:21:44 PM »
Quote from: Nichlemn on May 01, 2014, 08:51:26 PM
Changed data to reflect new random number generation. Never Convinced's post refers to the old data.
Darn! I guess I'll have to go back over the data again.
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