Hillary's worst division
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Poll
Question: Hillary's worst division in the general election?
#1
West North Central
#2
Mountain West
#3
South Atlantic
#4
East South Central
#5
West South Cental
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Author Topic: Hillary's worst division  (Read 1641 times)

excelsus
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« on: May 01, 2014, 08:31:02 AM »

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Never
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« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2014, 08:53:09 AM »

West South Central (TX, OK, AR, LA) will be Hillary Clinton's worst performance. Except for East South Central, this the only census division in which Hillary is most likely to lose every single state.
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Cory
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« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2014, 11:40:50 AM »

East South Central.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2014, 11:42:32 AM »

Mountain west IMO. The south will swing back a little because of Bill. I don't see that Mountain reds doing that at all.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2014, 11:47:39 AM »

East South Central
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excelsus
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« Reply #5 on: May 01, 2014, 11:54:48 AM »

Mountain west IMO. The south will swing back a little because of Bill. I don't see that Mountain reds doing that at all.

Don't forget Nevada, Arizona and New Mexico, all of where she'll be doing extremely well, are also part of the Mountain West.
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excelsus
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« Reply #6 on: May 01, 2014, 12:09:28 PM »
« Edited: May 01, 2014, 01:44:48 PM by excelsus »

I'm wavering between West South Central and East South Central.

On the one hand Hillary will sweep Arkansas in a landslide, she is likely to win Louisiana and she will do a decent result in Oklahoma, but on the other hand Texas is so huge that even if she is only narrowly outpolled there all the votes from the three smaller states will be redeemed by the Texan results.

In ESC she will probably win only one state, and the black vote will decrease.

Thus, it's really hard for me to tell where she  will do worse.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7 on: May 01, 2014, 12:15:12 PM »

What were Bill Clinton's (96) and Obama's percentages in each division ?
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excelsus
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« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2014, 12:23:18 PM »
« Edited: May 02, 2014, 07:05:55 AM by excelsus »

What were Bill Clinton's (96) and Obama's percentages in each division ?

Region
New England
Middle Atlantic

South Atlantic
East South Central
West South Central

East North Central
West North Central

Mountain West
Pacific West

Northeast
South
Midwest
West
Obama
59.11%
58.24%

50.18%
39.36%
39.97%

52.55%
46.42%

44.35%
58.79%

58.50%
45.71%
50.60%
54.07%
Romney
39.09%
40.33%

48.42%
59.28%
58.57%

45.76%
51.38%

53.02%
38.29%

39.96%
52.87%
47.55%
43.10%
Obama
60.64%
58.72%

51.38%
41.02%
41.57%

55.83%
49.47%

47.46%
59.82%

59.27%
47.00%
53.82%
55.92%
McCain
37.53%
40.05%

47.52%
57.79%
57.36%

42.57%
48.71%

50.42%
37.90%

39.33%
51.89%
44.50%
41.85%

Region
New England
Middle Atlantic

South Atlantic
East South Central
West South Central

East North Central
West North Central

Mountain West
Pacific West

Northeast
South
Midwest
West
Clinton
56.77%
54.86%

47.69%
45.56%
45.86%

49.56%
45.89%

42.63%
50.36%

55.41%
46.76%
48.40%
48.15%
Dole
31.02%
34.81%

44.05%
47.20%
45.92%

39.82%
42.53%

46.39%
38.20%

33.71%
45.18%
40.68%
40.54%
Perot
10.10%
8.61%

7.50%
6.49%
7.41%

9.50%
10.19%

8.72%
7.53%

9.04%
7.29%
9.72%
7.87%
Clinton
44.41%
46.75%

42.76%
43.76%
39.64%

42.92%
40.45%

36.29%
45.08%

46.06%
41.99%
42.15%
42.64%
Bush
31.68%
36.08%

41.31%
44.76%
40.44%

37.19%
36.26%

38.06%
32.72%

34.79%
41.68%
36.90%
34.21%
Perot
23.31%
16.51%

15.51%
10.95%
19.30%

19.38%
22.77%

24.06%
21.39%

18.51%
15.84%
20.44%
22.13%

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SWE
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« Reply #9 on: May 01, 2014, 01:38:05 PM »

I'm wavering between West South Central and East South Central.

On the one hand Hillary will sweep Arkansas in a landslide, she is likely to win Louisiana and she will do a decent result in Oklahoma, but on the other hand Texas is so huge that even if she is only narrowly outpolled there all the votes from the three smaller states will be redeems by the Texan results.

In ESC she will probably win only one state, and the black vote will decrease.

Thus, it's really hard for me to tell where she  will do worse.
Wut
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: May 01, 2014, 02:23:22 PM »

East South Central is the only region she won't win a single state in.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #11 on: May 01, 2014, 06:36:27 PM »

East South Central is the only region she won't win a single state in.

Troll.

Clinton is not winning Arkansas or Louisiana.  It is 2016. 
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SWE
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« Reply #12 on: May 01, 2014, 06:38:49 PM »

She doesn't have any chance of winning a single state in the East or West South divisions, so either of those
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excelsus
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« Reply #13 on: May 01, 2014, 07:20:32 PM »

She doesn't have any chance of winning a single state in the East or West South divisions, so either of those

East South Central is the only region she won't win a single state in.

Troll.

Clinton is not winning Arkansas or Louisiana.  It is 2016. 

Troll.

Leads all the Republicans but Huckabee comfortably.

Clinton 44
Huckabee 47

Clinton 46
Bush 41

Clinton 48
Paul 42

Clinton 47
Christie 38

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/05/clintons-still-strong-in-arkansas.html
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excelsus
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« Reply #14 on: May 02, 2014, 07:16:31 AM »

You gotta love those interim results...
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