Skill and Chance
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Posts: 12,662
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« on: May 08, 2014, 06:00:31 PM » |
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I don't see a whole lot changing. If you added one more surprise Dem win so that they control the senate in 2004-06, that would be huge for the Supreme Court.
If Democrats were at 50-50 in 2005, and 2006/08 proceeded as in reality (a reasonable assumption with full Republican control of the government still in place in 2006), Democrats would be at 64 in 1/2009. Specter probably never switches parties. Obamacare would be both less controversial and more liberal in this world because it would be treated as inevitable with that many Dem senators. More economic legislation would also have passed, likely aiding the recovery during 2009-10 and making 2010 less of an R wave. But they would be tempted to ratify a climate treaty with help from Snowe, Collins and Specter and I don't think that would end well for them.
There could easily be a 60D/40R Senate in 2013 with a very Republican House which would be quite bizarre.
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