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  NH-Dartmouth College:Paul leads Clinton by 2; Clinton leads Bush, Christie, Huck
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Author Topic: NH-Dartmouth College:Paul leads Clinton by 2; Clinton leads Bush, Christie, Huck  (Read 1611 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: May 10, 2014, 12:10:06 am »

Dartmouth College (Nelson A. Rockefeller Center) poll of New Hampshire:

http://rockefeller.dartmouth.edu/shop/2014_rockefeller_center_nh_state_poll_report_final.pdf

Paul 38%
Clinton 36%

Clinton 38%
Huckabee 36%

Clinton 42%
Bush 32%

Clinton 36%
Christie 34%
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2014, 12:15:26 am »

Too many undecideds. I think it's pretty clear Clinton will win NH regardless.
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Scott
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« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2014, 12:21:54 am »

There's no way Huckabee trails by only two points here.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #3 on: May 10, 2014, 07:19:43 am »
« Edited: May 10, 2014, 07:22:03 am by pbrower2a »

Too many undecideds. I think it's pretty clear Clinton will win NH regardless.

Not a useful poll.  It reminds me of those early 2008 polls that showed Barack Obama up 42-41 or so in North Dakota and South Dakota... he ended up losing those two states 54-46 or so. 
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marty
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« Reply #4 on: May 10, 2014, 02:08:39 pm »

Rand Paul could maybe be competitive with Hillary in NH, but the other results of this thread are laughable. New Englanders have never, and will never, vote for a southerner.
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jfern
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« Reply #5 on: May 10, 2014, 02:14:47 pm »

Not exactly a strong showing for Hillary.
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"'Oeps!' De blunders van Rick Perry Indicted"
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« Reply #6 on: May 10, 2014, 02:15:45 pm »

Too many undecideds.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #7 on: May 10, 2014, 02:30:47 pm »

Rand Paul could maybe be competitive with Hillary in NH, but the other results of this thread are laughable. New Englanders have never, and will never, vote for a southerner.

What? Bill Clinton won every New England state, twice.

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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #8 on: May 10, 2014, 04:48:59 pm »

I could see NH behaving a lot like Colorado if Hillary runs.  NH was well right of the nation in 1992.  The only ridiculous numbers in this poll are with Huckabee, who should be radioactive in the NH. 
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #9 on: May 10, 2014, 05:16:58 pm »

Too many undecideds. I think it's pretty clear Clinton will win NH regardless.

Wow, wishful thinking on your part.
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"'Oeps!' De blunders van Rick Perry Indicted"
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« Reply #10 on: May 10, 2014, 05:57:49 pm »
« Edited: May 10, 2014, 06:03:23 pm by "'Oeps!' De blunders van Rick Perry 2016! »

I could see NH behaving a lot like Colorado if Hillary runs.  NH was well right of the nation in 1992.

Talk about missing the context - it was a solidly Republican state until '92. Arguably the only reason Clinton edged it was because he personally played well there (it's where "the Comeback Kid" comes from). He won it by a decent margin in '96, and Hillary won the primary.

The only other Dartmouth poll I found on here was from April '12 and had Romney +2 when similarly-timed polling had Obama up by high single-digits or more. And having both candidates in the thirties is just not realistic unless Perot's running again.  
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #11 on: May 10, 2014, 06:24:30 pm »

This poll is junk for several reasons

a) Way too many undecideds.
b) Dartmouth said that both McCain and Romney would carry NH.
c) There's no way in hell Obama has a 28% favorability rating in NH. This isn't Wyoming or Utah.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #12 on: May 30, 2014, 02:43:09 pm »

Rand Paul could maybe be competitive with Hillary in NH, but the other results of this thread are laughable. New Englanders have never, and will never, vote for a southerner.

Do you consider Kentucky a Midwestern state or...?
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #13 on: May 31, 2014, 11:54:21 am »

Not the best poll, but I do think Rand is one of the stronger 2016 GOP candidates, unlike Cruz.  Paul has much more goodwill with younger folks and can bridge the libertarian/tea-party divide(which really isn't big) better than Cruz.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #14 on: May 31, 2014, 11:55:33 am »

Too many undecided.

But Rand Paul will definitely perform well here.
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