OH-Quinnipiac: Gov. Kasich (R) opens massive lead

[Tender Branson]

50% Kasich (R)
35% Fitzgerald (D)

Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

47-29 favorable

Is your opinion of Ed FitzGerald favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

20-15 favorable (65% still don't know the Democratic candidate ... !)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling his job as Governor?

56-33 approve

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/ohio/release-detail?ReleaseID=2041

[pbrower2a]

No D pickup here.

[Supersonic]

"Dominating"

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

This is what I expected to see since day one.  I'd wait for another poll to confirm this, simply because most other polls have generally shown a much tighter race (IIRC).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We should focus on Wisc, IL or MI.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Since this is a poll of registered voters, he may even be further ahead than this.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rasmussen has it seven, that is more realistic than this, but MI is our target more or less now.

[krazen1211]

"Dominating"

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Ohio Governor by Quinnipiac University on 2014-05-12

Summary: D: 35%, R: 50%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Maxwell]

That's pretty horrible name recognition for this point. Fitzgerald is proving to be a meh candidate.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

That's pretty horrible name recognition for this point. Fitzgerald is proving to be a meh candidate.

That's pretty generous.  He's a meh candidate the way George McGovern was a meh candidate. 

[Maxwell]

That's pretty horrible name recognition for this point. Fitzgerald is proving to be a meh candidate.

That's pretty generous.  He's a meh candidate the way George McGovern was a meh candidate. 

Now we only wait for a 3 page Adam Fitz post about how Ed is the best candidate for political office since anti-pot hero Barack Obama.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Be advised that these are registered voters. The likely voter screen was Rassy with Kasich ahead by seven. We have a chance of beating Walker or Kasich with 25 D along with Pa, MI, FL and ME.

[Miles]

This wasn't going to be a D pickup anyway, given the candidates...

[free my dawg]

I think this poll is another outlier, and this race is still a toss-up. Ed FitzGerald is a brilliant candidate. He has shown by being the mayor of my city, the Cuyahoga County Executive, and the best-looking politician in the country, that he can win this race and that he cares about the people, unlike the people who are looking out for their own interests. However, John KaSick and Jon Husted's racist voter suppression tactics have shown that in reality, Republicans are desperate to win this race.

I will be waiting for a reliable pollster like PPP or Rasmussen to poll this race before trusting Kasichpiac. It is clear that Quinnipiac's pro-Kasich bias is skewing these numbers In addition to the sketchy numbers, voter registration does not add up, saying that this poll is 29-29 Democratic. They clearly should have been sampled more Democrats, and it shows that FitzGerald is a perfect candidate for the job.. In a reality, if this poll was real, Kasich only leads by 45-40, which puts FitzGerald in a perfect place to take the Governorship. Once people learn about Republicans' assault on blacks, women, and gays, and that FitzGerald will #KeepOhioStrong, they are doomed.

[Maxwell]

I had to see which poster it was. Spot on!

[Niemeyerite]

I think this poll is another outlier, and this race is still a toss-up. Ed FitzGerald is a brilliant candidate. He has shown by being the mayor of my city, the Cuyahoga County Executive, and the best-looking politician in the country, that he can win this race and that he cares about the people, unlike the people who are looking out for their own interests. However, John KaSick and Jon Husted's racist voter suppression tactics have shown that in reality, Republicans are desperate to win this race.

I will be waiting for a reliable pollster like PPP or Rasmussen to poll this race before trusting Kasichpiac. It is clear that Quinnipiac's pro-Kasich bias is skewing these numbers In addition to the sketchy numbers, voter registration does not add up, saying that this poll is 29-29 Democratic. They clearly should have been sampled more Democrats, and it shows that FitzGerald is a perfect candidate for the job.. In a reality, if this poll was real, Kasich only leads by 45-40, which puts FitzGerald in a perfect place to take the Governorship. Once people learn about Republicans' assault on blacks, women, and gays, and that FitzGerald will #KeepOhioStrong, they are doomed.

Hahahaha, love it.

Oh, and needless to say: that's what happens when we run joke candidates. Well, at least Kasich won't go unopposed like David Jolly. But I think the libertarian running in that race is more likely to win than FitzGerald.

[Oakvale]

The inevitable result of running some random loser as your candidate. Yawn.

[Franzl]

I think this poll is another outlier, and this race is still a toss-up. Ed FitzGerald is a brilliant candidate. He has shown by being the mayor of my city, the Cuyahoga County Executive, and the best-looking politician in the country, that he can win this race and that he cares about the people, unlike the people who are looking out for their own interests. However, John KaSick and Jon Husted's racist voter suppression tactics have shown that in reality, Republicans are desperate to win this race.

I will be waiting for a reliable pollster like PPP or Rasmussen to poll this race before trusting Kasichpiac. It is clear that Quinnipiac's pro-Kasich bias is skewing these numbers In addition to the sketchy numbers, voter registration does not add up, saying that this poll is 29-29 Democratic. They clearly should have been sampled more Democrats, and it shows that FitzGerald is a perfect candidate for the job.. In a reality, if this poll was real, Kasich only leads by 45-40, which puts FitzGerald in a perfect place to take the Governorship. Once people learn about Republicans' assault on blacks, women, and gays, and that FitzGerald will #KeepOhioStrong, they are doomed.

I guess someone should unskew this poll?

[free my dawg]

I think this poll is another outlier, and this race is still a toss-up. Ed FitzGerald is a brilliant candidate. He has shown by being the mayor of my city, the Cuyahoga County Executive, and the best-looking politician in the country, that he can win this race and that he cares about the people, unlike the people who are looking out for their own interests. However, John KaSick and Jon Husted's racist voter suppression tactics have shown that in reality, Republicans are desperate to win this race.

I will be waiting for a reliable pollster like PPP or Rasmussen to poll this race before trusting Kasichpiac. It is clear that Quinnipiac's pro-Kasich bias is skewing these numbers In addition to the sketchy numbers, voter registration does not add up, saying that this poll is 29-29 Democratic. They clearly should have been sampled more Democrats, and it shows that FitzGerald is a perfect candidate for the job.. In a reality, if this poll was real, Kasich only leads by 45-40, which puts FitzGerald in a perfect place to take the Governorship. Once people learn about Republicans' assault on blacks, women, and gays, and that FitzGerald will #KeepOhioStrong, they are doomed.

Hahahaha, love it.

Oh, and needless to say: that's what happens when we run joke candidates. Well, at least Kasich won't go unopposed like David Jolly. But I think the libertarian running in that race is more likely to win than FitzGerald.

What? Charlie Earl is definitely not a better candidate than FitzGerald! Charlie Earl has made numerous vulgar jokes on his Twitter page about pornography and alcohol, made jokes about him wearing a Speedo, and even drinks! Compare that to Ed FitzGerald, who has never touched marijuana in his life, chose to move to Cleveland in his early life, and even changed his middle name to his wife's. He also has no position on medical marijuana, which is better than wanting to legalize a drug that can hurt peoples' brains and will end up being abused by patients and causing overdoses, unlike other prescriptions that can be used and work just fine.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We will win MI,PA,FL and ME and win one other from IA, WI or OH which will make it an even split 25-25 split and the PPP poll has Walker and Kasich tied or slightly ahead.

[ElectionsGuy]

Wow. This is kind of a huge jump, I'd actually be surprised if this wasn't an outlier.

But Sawx, keep'em coming if you want, I'm eating this up

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We need this seat, it will certainly give Hilary a better shot at winning WH. But Fitzgerald will not go quietly.

[IceSpear]

I don't know why people are blaming Fitzgerald, unless you're assuming Fitzgerald somehow gave Kasich his 56-33 approval rating, which is the actual reason he's doing so well.

[LeBron]

Guys, this isn't over. Far from it. For one thing, there are a number of contributing factors to Kasich's 10 point rise since Quinnipiac's last poll. One is former Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour headlined the ORP dinner recently and publicly endorsed Kasich with Senator Portman introducing him plus Kasich had his State of the State speech a few months back that reaffirms the "trust" Ohio has in him. On the flip side though, Chairman Redfern and the ODP managed to score President Bill Clinton for their dinner in Columbus on June 13th which means he'll be able to rally Ready4Hillary voters in Ohio and GOTV for FitzGerald. Let's keep in mind to that this poll was conducted post-primary when Kasich unanimously won the GOP nomination unopposed and after a month long of running ads statewide that are airing on local, statewide and even some national news stations. 2 of them come from Kasich's $8 million war chest which tout how he grew up along the Ohio River (technically false) and understood the value of hard-work and a dollar. Another ad spent by the RGA mentioned the high deficit and high unemployment 4 years ago under Strickland and under Kasich, there's a balanced budget without raising taxes. But when fact checked, Kasich's claim that Ohio was in "Freefall" in the summer of 2010 is false because the economy was actually on the upturn then with the economy slowly improving. As for erasing our billion $ deficit, Kasich ended up doing that at the expense of funding for schools and local governments which put the burden of tax levies on taxpayers themselves (especially in Cuyahoga County) and Kasich still did raise taxes on us in the form of the sales tax just so he could get his income and personal property tax cuts. The ads didn't mention FitzGerald at all either and it was all Kasich and some positive gloating that Ohioans unfortunately were gullible enough to buy into it seems.

Ed FitzGerald at least doesn't have to resort to ads to win voters over and cares more about the issues and us as opposed to Kasich who acts in the best interests of the top 1%, Sheldon Adelson, and whatever gets him to the Presidency easily. FitzGerald's wife has to work two jobs just to get their family by and he understands the struggles Ohioans are facing and like Weiland has strongly emphasized a grassroots campaign. If you take the PPP tied poll, SurveyUSA's Kasich +10 poll, Rassy's Kasich +7 poll, Magellan's Kasich +6 poll, and Q's Kasich +15 poll, you have an average of about a 7-8 point lead for Kasich. Considering then that this is only a temporary surge for Kasich then in the polls from the aforementioned things, it will be a race within 2-4 points again in about a month following FitzGerald's boost in support from the Clinton's and maybe some help he might finally get from the DGA for an ad buy. He already purchased a radio ad that was ineffective on the polls and name ID, but showed FitzGerald can make great ads. Simply attack Kasich from a fiscal standpoint on giving tax breaks to the wealthiest with barely anything for the middle class, poor and seniors to go off of, his hundred millions in cuts from schools and public safety and supports school vouchers, and reminding voters especially around Toledo and SE Ohio of Kasich's failure to help the 1,000 laid-off Ormet workers and not forgetting about SB5 and attack him on a few social issues including signing off on a bill full of abortion restrictions dangerous to a woman's health, his disfranchisement, and failure to support gay rights all of which FitzGerald is capitalizing on. Then in the second part of the ad emphasize his Ohio roots and how over the years as a FBI agent and county executive has fought crime and corruption whose created large budget surpluses, making education more affordable with college savings plans and providing more funds to low- income families of kids ready to enter pre-school, his support for seniors in reinstating the Homestead Exemption, his support for young workers by supporting a living wage increase, and an average, family man who will go to the federal government if it means fighting for equality and against voter suppression.

And IceSpear and OC are right. It's not FitzGerald's fault that Kasich needs a large bank account to get himself re- elected. FitzGerald is doing everything he can to raise money and is participating in interviews, rallies and events while Kasich almost seems intimidated by FitzGerald that he needs these billionaires and corporate donors to manage a favorable lead with only 6 months left to go. Not to mention Kasich made sure Earl was rejected by his best buddy Husted to ensure as a little insurance policy that Kasich wouldn't lose any votes even though Earl did earn the signatures to deserve ballot access. Chris Matthews actually mentioned this poll on his show today and he noted how it was because of Medicaid expansion which Kasich unlawfully expanded for political gain. It's clear which candidate really cares about Ohio and I not only voted for him in the primary, but I'll be campaigning for him all summer and through the fall.

Not bad, either Sawx , but I've never attacked Charlie Earl since he would actually help FitzGerald out if he does make it on the general ballot and I have no problem with Quinnipiac polls anymore and I'm kind of willing to say this is a tossup still, but also tilts slightly towards Kasich.