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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderator: AndrewTX)
  PPP, North Carolina. May 2014: Hillary Clinton leads by or less than the MOE
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Author Topic: PPP, North Carolina. May 2014: Hillary Clinton leads by or less than the MOE  (Read 872 times)
pbrower2a
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« on: May 14, 2014, 12:27:32 pm »

North Carolina Survey Results (PPP)

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_514.pdf

Mostly within the margin of error, and all likely wins for Hillary Clinton. That said, any Republican nominee for President would be in trouble if he were winning North Carolina by less than the margin of error.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2014, 12:30:57 pm »

This would point to a national Clinton-lead of ca. 10-12%

Remember that when Obama won NC in 2008 by a half a percent or so, he was up 7% nationally.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2 on: May 14, 2014, 01:09:58 pm »

This would point to a national Clinton-lead of ca. 10-12%

Remember that when Obama won NC in 2008 by a half a percent or so, he was up 7% nationally.

Basically, Eisenhower in the 1950s.

Hillary Clinton doesn't have the negative polarization that Barack Obama has but seems to pick up every constituency that President Obama ever had.

At this point I would predict that the closest states would be Arizona, Arkansas, Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, and North Carolina. 
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Biden If Buttigieg
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« Reply #3 on: May 14, 2014, 05:36:53 pm »

PPP needs to poll MO soon.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4 on: May 15, 2014, 05:26:38 am »


The problem with MO is that there's no important statewide race this year.

That's why it is unlikely that ANY pollster will poll MO this year, unfortunately.
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JRP1994
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« Reply #5 on: May 15, 2014, 07:00:56 am »

I expect the first MO polls around Nov/Dec of this year.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #6 on: May 25, 2014, 02:53:32 am »

What is intersting is how similarly the GOP candidate do in many of these polls. This may suggest that:

1) the GOP floor is very high. A lot of people will vote for just about anyone who isn't a democrat.

2) the GOP candidates aren't all that well known amongst the general public, which means that there's a generic republican effect. Of course this may suggest either that each one could better or worse once people get to know them better. Unfortunately for them, few people are likely to dramatically change their minds about Hillary Clinton who is one of the most famous people in the US (or indeed the world).
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #7 on: May 30, 2014, 02:38:47 pm »

Not good news IMO. Obviously she doesn't need these states to win, but the blowout we're all hoping for requires NC falling first. Only then could we see the Dems capturing MO, AZ, AR, etc.
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #8 on: May 31, 2014, 11:55:30 am »

Not good news IMO. Obviously she doesn't need these states to win, but the blowout we're all hoping for requires NC falling first. Only then could we see the Dems capturing MO, AZ, AR, etc.

Dems, you're starting to get really cocky on this board.

Just winning a 3rd term for a party is pretty good historically.

Be thankful for what you have.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: June 04, 2014, 03:07:16 am »

Not good news IMO. Obviously she doesn't need these states to win, but the blowout we're all hoping for requires NC falling first. Only then could we see the Dems capturing MO, AZ, AR, etc.

Dems, you're starting to get really cocky on this board.

Just winning a 3rd term for a party is pretty good historically.

Be thankful for what you have.

Really -- winning 320-350 electoral votes and 52% of the vote is good enough for keeping Republicans thinking that they are just one economic downturn or one minor scandal away from overwhelming power. 
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