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Author Topic: WV-Rasmussen: After primary, Tennant (D) starts to gain on Capito (R)  (Read 1839 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: May 19, 2014, 10:18:13 am »

Last poll was Capito+14.

Now it's Capito+9.

West Virginia Senate: Capito (R) 48%, Tennant (D) 39%     

...

Link out later.
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King Francis I
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« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2014, 10:21:12 am »

Rasmussen=inaccurate.

But the progress is encouraging Cheesy
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #2 on: May 19, 2014, 12:10:40 pm »

It would be nice to get a non-Ras poll here.
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Miles
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« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2014, 12:13:19 pm »

Rasmussen usually gives decent post-primary bounces, though their last NC poll was an exception.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2014, 04:14:00 pm »

New Poll: West Virginia Senator by Rasmussen on 2014-05-15

Summary: D: 39%, R: 48%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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SPC
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« Reply #5 on: May 19, 2014, 05:52:45 pm »

Given that Rasmussen's error is larger than the poll movement, I would not read anything into this.
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Mayor Steve Pearce
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« Reply #6 on: May 19, 2014, 06:45:27 pm »

So much for Rasmussen being Republican.
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« Reply #7 on: May 19, 2014, 06:58:05 pm »

So much for Rasmussen being Republican.

Sometimes Rasmussen's bias is overcome by his imprecision.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #8 on: May 20, 2014, 12:59:09 am »

So much for Rasmussen being Republican.

Sometimes Rasmussen's bias is overcome by his imprecision.

Referring to Rasmussen as 'his' or 'he' no longer applies, as Scotty and the polling company bearing his name parted ways a while back.
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More and more Republicans every day:

olowakandi
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« Reply #9 on: May 20, 2014, 08:24:38 am »

Some of these States like Mnt or WVa and ARK may move in Dem direction if the GOP don't generate the wave to take the Senate they need.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: May 20, 2014, 04:27:20 pm »

Rasmussen lately has given us polls that are more democratic than the averages, its like their trying to make up for their 2012 mess by doing the opposite.

But overall I would still trust this poll. Capito has been double digits ahead consistently, and name recognition really isn't an issue anymore.
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morgieb
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« Reply #11 on: May 20, 2014, 04:45:11 pm »

Makes sense, though Rassy has been strange. Real margin could be anything
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #12 on: May 21, 2014, 01:00:38 pm »

This race will close between now and election day. 
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Maxwell
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« Reply #13 on: May 21, 2014, 03:36:51 pm »

This race will close between now and election day. 

I guess so, but I can't imagine a Tennat win. At best for Tennant, I could see a 51-47 win for Capito, and then Tennant becomes Governor for a term or something.
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #14 on: May 21, 2014, 06:35:01 pm »

While it is unlikely that we will win this race, I have not given up all hope.  Democrats recruited a strong candidate for this race and if Capito slips up, I think Tennant will be poised to take advantage.  Whether Tennant will be the Robin Carnahan or Heidi Heitkamp of 2014 remains to be seen.

Now S.D.?  There's a race where I have given up all hope.
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #15 on: May 21, 2014, 09:09:33 pm »

While it is unlikely that we will win this race, I have not given up all hope.  Democrats recruited a strong candidate for this race and if Capito slips up, I think Tennant will be poised to take advantage.  Whether Tennant will be the Robin Carnahan or Heidi Heitkamp of 2014 remains to be seen.

Now S.D.?  There's a race where I have given up all hope.

Capito =/= Berg.  Not even close. 

The Dems are in fine shape though.  If we just concede WV/SD/MT, we can pick up Kentucky and hold on to most seats(we're favored in all but Louisiana right now).
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #16 on: May 21, 2014, 10:02:39 pm »

While it is unlikely that we will win this race, I have not given up all hope.  Democrats recruited a strong candidate for this race and if Capito slips up, I think Tennant will be poised to take advantage.  Whether Tennant will be the Robin Carnahan or Heidi Heitkamp of 2014 remains to be seen.

Now S.D.?  There's a race where I have given up all hope.

Capito =/= Berg.  Not even close. 

The Dems are in fine shape though.  If we just concede WV/SD/MT, we can pick up Kentucky and hold on to most seats(we're favored in all but Louisiana right now).

Those are the three I suspect we will lose as well.  But yes, while some of the incumbent Democratic senators running for reelection are in better shape than others, none are remotely close to "Blanche Lincoln territory."  What's primarily hurt us in the past are open seats.
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King Francis I
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« Reply #17 on: May 22, 2014, 02:47:44 am »

This race will close between now and election day. 

I guess so, but I can't imagine a Tennat win. At best for Tennant, I could see a 51-47 win for Capito, and then Tennant becomes Governor for a term or something.
Yes, you're right Maxwell, Tennant won't probably win, but I hope now you understand why I used the "name recognition" pretext last time Tongue.
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