Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 23, 2019, 09:27:34 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general  (Read 1550 times)
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,380
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 21, 2014, 01:20:50 pm »
« edited: May 21, 2014, 01:23:28 pm by Miles »

Article.

Primary

Ernst- 34%
Jacobs- 18%
Clovis- 14%
Whitaker-6%

General

Braley (D)- 45%
Ernst (R)- 39%

Braley (D)- 42%
Jacobs (R)- 36%

Braley (D)- 43%
Whitaker (R)- 36%

Braley (D)- 43%
Clovis (R)- 34%

Obama is at 41/53.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,712
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 21, 2014, 01:22:33 pm »

Jesus. At this rate, Clovis probably beats Jacobs, but Ernst wins by a large margin.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 48,477
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 21, 2014, 01:28:44 pm »

It should be noted that all 3 leading Republicans are ahead among Indies in the general election.

Ernst actually leads Braley by 10 among Indies.

Who knows, the race may be a toss-up among likely voters (with a more Republican sample) ...
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,380
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 21, 2014, 01:39:35 pm »

^ Yeah, this is 38D/34R/28I sample. 2010 was 31D/35R/34I.
Logged
King Francis I
windjammer
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,658
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 21, 2014, 01:41:37 pm »

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.
Logged
░tmthforu94░
tmthforu94
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,795
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: May 21, 2014, 03:31:51 pm »

Republicans should start focusing more resources here. This race is likely more winnable than Michigan.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,712
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: May 21, 2014, 03:35:46 pm »

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.
Logged
King Francis I
windjammer
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,658
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: May 21, 2014, 03:37:56 pm »

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.
the undecided are more republican than democrat. So yeah, this should get closer when the candidates will be more well-known.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,712
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: May 21, 2014, 03:47:23 pm »

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.
the undecided are more republican than democrat. So yeah, this should get closer when the candidates will be more well-known.

Oh okay. Yeah, this will probably close, but Ernst seems to have the potential to screw the pooch.

Why did Romney endorse her again?
Logged
King Francis I
windjammer
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,658
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: May 21, 2014, 03:57:35 pm »

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.
the undecided are more republican than democrat. So yeah, this should get closer when the candidates will be more well-known.

Oh okay. Yeah, this will probably close, but Ernst seems to have the potential to screw the pooch.

Why did Romney endorse her again?

Yes, I know, Ernst has the potential to screw the pooch. But she needs to be so awful, and I don't think she's an awful candidate (she's not good too).

But I seriously believe that Iowa has been seriously underestimated.

And for Romney, I don't know, but he's preparing something, I don't know why.
Logged
LeBron FitzGerald
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,818
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: May 22, 2014, 07:06:54 am »

Well, looks like it's not going to a convention (sorry Whitaker), but Ernst is still one of the best GOP nominees Braley can get and the Tea Party is bound to blow it here. She's Palin-backed and in typical fashion, has ads of her "shooting/killing" Obamacare. Plus Iowa has never elected a woman to the Senate. As far as I know, she's not as well-funded as self-funder Jacobs is either which only further helps Braley and Ernst isn't even attacking Braley on his gaffe yet. I'm still not to worried about this race.
Logged
Scott
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,307
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: May 22, 2014, 01:21:50 pm »

I guess people forgot about the "farmer" gaffe?
Logged
Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,298
United States


P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: May 23, 2014, 04:40:02 pm »

New Poll: Iowa Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-05-19

Summary: D: 45%, R: 39%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC