GA-Rasmussen: Carter (D) leads Gov. Deal (R)

[Flake]

New Poll: Georgia Governor by Rasmussen on 2014-05-22

Summary: D: 48%, R: 41%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Flake]

The GOP are vastly underestimating Nunn and Grimes chances. Which boards well for us in States like Wisc and Ga where corruption as well as obstructionism will be factors.

Congrats,  but this is a gubernatorial election

[Flake]

Kasich leads by 7, but Carter also leads by 7. I don't think it's so much that Rassy is terrible (they still are), but the amount of DGA influence in this race and the amount of national significance he's getting alongside Nunn is really helping here. He has a strong record to run on aside from his gun controversy, but I still fear Deal will try to tie Carter to Obama from being good friends with his grandfather. Carter will struggle with undecided's and he'll probably struggle more than Nunn to break 50%, but Deal's unpopularity and scandals could help in boosting the Libertarian vote.

Differences:

1. Kasich is a popular Governor, Deal isn't.
2. FitzGerald is a joke candidate, Carter isn't.

FTR, he's been [Inks]ing me with this sort of stuff for the past month. AFAIK, he isn't serious, but since you believe it, I'll address these real quick. Regarding Kasich's approval, Quinnipiac has him at 56%, but SurveyUSA has him at only a 46% approval and PPP had him at an abysmal 37% approval in their November poll. Those average out to roughly a 46% approval which is just above the re-electing point of a 44% approval and this is an approval at Kasich's massive boost from his surge of ads with little FitzGerald name ID and influence on the state so far.

Also, RCP's average is only Kasich +9.5 which includes the few R-leaning polls and doesn't include the PPP internals. FitzGerald, opposed to Carter, hasn't had everything personally handed to him in a paper bag by the DGA, so get rid of this stuff that FitzGerald is a "joke candidate" when he's still being fairly competitive even when he's getting no outside help and relying on individual donors/state organizations and GOTV fundraising and rallies. Given the two states, FitzGerald can also afford to run on a more liberal platform while Carter is stuck having to turnoff more liberal voters if he has any chance of beating Deal. Let's aim for a Governor seat we can actually win.

Yeah, let's turn Georgia (atlas) red!