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  IL-Gov, WAS: Rauner in the lead
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Author Topic: IL-Gov, WAS: Rauner in the lead  (Read 1285 times)
krazen1211
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« on: May 15, 2014, 09:52:13 pm »
« edited: May 15, 2014, 09:58:02 pm by krazen1211 »

Link

Rauner 48.9
Quinn 31.3


Dominating!
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CEO of Bernie Sanders
SawxDem
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« Reply #1 on: May 15, 2014, 09:56:17 pm »

>taking Where America Stands polls seriously
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2014, 12:16:37 pm »

So when Rassy shows a close race, it isnt dominating but when an Indy poll shows a GOP dominance it is taking seriously. Quinn is in the exact same spot against Brady. But the Dem dominance in the state legislature will end.
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Hifly
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« Reply #3 on: May 18, 2014, 12:20:27 pm »

So when Rassy shows a close race, it isnt dominating but when an Indy poll shows a GOP dominance it is taking seriously.

Because that's what Dominating means. If it's close, it ain't dominating.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #4 on: May 18, 2014, 12:27:08 pm »

Dems are in hot water due to expiration of income tax. When the time comes Quinn will open up on Rauners anti union ways. Rauner has positioned himself as a moderate on SSM.
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Hifly
hifly15
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« Reply #5 on: May 18, 2014, 12:30:17 pm »

Tell us some more.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #6 on: May 18, 2014, 12:41:45 pm »

Doesn't surprise me, since Quinn's recent Twitter controversy and the new criminal investigation into his Admin.  Splendid news if it's accurate.
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Scott
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« Reply #7 on: May 18, 2014, 12:46:17 pm »

decimals tho

So when Rassy shows a close race, it isnt dominating but when an Indy poll shows a GOP dominance it is taking seriously. Quinn is in the exact same spot against Brady. But the Dem dominance in the state legislature will end.

Do you think Republicans will win the legislature?  The Dem majorities there look pretty robust.
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Hifly
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« Reply #8 on: May 18, 2014, 12:49:45 pm »

Republicans will not win the legislature. They will make gains though.
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Scott
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« Reply #9 on: May 18, 2014, 12:55:36 pm »

I said dominance. But GOP will be looking to add 3-6 Senate seats and a turnover may be imminent in 2016.

Why would there be a turnover in 2016, of all cycles? Huh

I know nothing of IL politics, but I would assume that Democrats sort of have built-in majorities for both chambers in Cook County as well as the smaller, liberal cities downstate.  Is that not true?
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #10 on: May 18, 2014, 01:04:35 pm »

Well the Dems are more insulated in House than the Senate due to Speaker Madigan. But the GOP is likely togain3-6 Senate seats  With a narrow control of Senate, Lisa may opt to run for Kirk seat instead of gov
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« Reply #11 on: May 18, 2014, 06:39:40 pm »

Once again, this poll has 75% of its respondents above 45, and 40% of them are over 60 (a problem that WAS has failed to correct).

Throw this poll out. The crosstabs are beyond garbage.
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henster
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« Reply #12 on: May 18, 2014, 07:29:29 pm »

I think Quinn is done. The state is in distress I see no good reason why voters should re-elect him.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #13 on: May 19, 2014, 01:04:12 am »

Here are the cross tabs. Weighted toward the elderly and downstate. Not surprising that they put Rauner up big.

http://www.illinoismirror.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/im_was_govpoll_crosstabs_051214.pdf

Also the idea of Republicans taking the Illinois House is laughable. Beating the supermajority would be what they would focus on. They're not getting control of either of the chambers anywhere but ILGOP's pipedreams.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #14 on: May 19, 2014, 02:03:17 pm »
« Edited: May 19, 2014, 02:07:04 pm by OC »

I think Quinn is done. The state is in distress I see no good reason why voters should re-elect him.

Voters reelected Daley time and time during th he crime wave of 90's. Voters as long: as you have a D after your name in Cook will vote their conscious. This is his last term anyway and he will be the very person, not Rauner to increase min wage.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #15 on: May 20, 2014, 10:33:46 am »

No wonder the people are seething in rage.

Link

"This is a temporary income tax to deal with an immediate fiscal emergency our state faces, to pay the bills so we don't have severe cutbacks in education, health care, public safety.

Gov. Pat Quinn, 2011
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #16 on: May 20, 2014, 04:34:40 pm »

No wonder the people are seething in rage.

Link

"This is a temporary income tax to deal with an immediate fiscal emergency our state faces, to pay the bills so we don't have severe cutbacks in education, health care, public safety.

Gov. Pat Quinn, 2011

C'mon, you can't use something more recent?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #17 on: May 20, 2014, 04:35:47 pm »

No wonder the people are seething in rage.

Link

"This is a temporary income tax to deal with an immediate fiscal emergency our state faces, to pay the bills so we don't have severe cutbacks in education, health care, public safety.

Gov. Pat Quinn, 2011

C'mon, you can't use something more recent?

I think that's his point.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #18 on: May 20, 2014, 07:22:46 pm »
« Edited: May 20, 2014, 07:24:50 pm by krazen1211 »

No wonder the people are seething in rage.

Link

"This is a temporary income tax to deal with an immediate fiscal emergency our state faces, to pay the bills so we don't have severe cutbacks in education, health care, public safety.

Gov. Pat Quinn, 2011

C'mon, you can't use something more recent?

Hmm? It is that very quote and the others linked that is the source of this treachery. Fool me once...

Now Quinn is backtracking, along with Senate President John Cullerton and House Speaker Michael Madigan. They want the tax increase to become permanent.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #19 on: June 02, 2014, 08:19:47 pm »

I still have Pat Quinn surviving re-election by a slim margin due to high Democratic turnout in Cook County. While Cook County alone won't secure Quinn's re-election, it will definitely be a contributing factor to it.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #20 on: June 04, 2014, 10:35:42 am »

PPP needs to do this race
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #21 on: June 04, 2014, 08:32:43 pm »

Regardless, Quinn is done politically either this year or in 2018.

Folks in Illinois are getting sick and tired of him.
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badgate
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« Reply #22 on: June 05, 2014, 12:27:55 am »

Not surprised that this is where America stands.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #23 on: June 06, 2014, 09:58:18 am »

If you read the article, it mentions another poll around the same time that shows Rauner leading by 19 points, so I doubt this is a fluke.
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