IA-Sen, Loras College: Ernst in "Great news!" territory

[free my dawg]

48-42 over Braley.

I don't know much about Loras's past record, but there are decimals, so be wary.

[krazen1211]

Sometimes you just gotta castrate the hog.

[Never]

I don't know much about Loras College's track record either, but it isn't particularly surprising that Ernst got some sort of bump in the polls after winning the primary.

[IceSpear]

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It's a pretty big assumption to make that 2010 = 2014, and I'm guessing that's why this poll shows Ernst and Branstad doing much better than Rasmussen/PPP do.

That said, it's pretty clear Ernst got a decent post primary bounce. If it lasts, this race will be a toss up.

[DrScholl]

Considering that she believes that mass murder is an accident and that there were WMDs in Iraq, I find this very hard to believe.

[GaussLaw]

Considering that she believes that mass murder is an accident and that there were WMDs in Iraq, I find this very hard to believe.

The average Iowa voter does not gaffe-track, especially those that are not big deals (like Akins and Mourdocks).  This is about on line with a Bill Cassidy or David Perdue-sized gaffe, meaning not that consequential.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It is a kneck and kneck race either way. It's a college poll at that.

[DrScholl]

Considering that she believes that mass murder is an accident and that there were WMDs in Iraq, I find this very hard to believe.

The average Iowa voter does not gaffe-track, especially those that are not big deals (like Akins and Mourdocks).  This is about on line with a Bill Cassidy or David Perdue-sized gaffe, meaning not that consequential.

There is no way that soundbite won't end up in an ad and an ad like that is very effective. I recall some saying that Akin and Mourdock would be fine because their comments weren't that big of a deal, but.....