Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 10, 2019, 04:26:35 pm
News: 2020 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  Magellan (R)/National Mining Association: 8 Senate polls
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: Magellan (R)/National Mining Association: 8 Senate polls  (Read 3201 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,986
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 12, 2014, 11:19:25 am »
« edited: June 13, 2014, 03:11:48 am by Tender Branson »

KY: 49-46 Grimes
CO: 47-45 Gardner
AR: 49-45 Cotton
LA: 50-44 Cassidy

NC: 47-46 Hagan
GA: 47-44 GOP candidate
MT: 55-39 Daines

MI: 50-41 Peters
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,986
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 12, 2014, 11:20:43 am »

They polled 7 other states too, but I can't find the releases for those ... Sad

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.magellanstrategies.com
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,549
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 12, 2014, 11:20:51 am »

Huh?
A Republican internal shows McConnell losing? Is he really that screwed or is there a catch?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,986
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 12, 2014, 11:21:37 am »

Huh?
A Republican internal shows McConnell losing? Is he really that screwed or is there a catch?

The party registration in this poll is 56% D, 40% R and only 4% I - which is weird.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,986
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 12, 2014, 11:26:02 am »

Apparently, their CO poll will show:

Cory Gardner (R): 47%
Mark Udall (D): 45%

https://twitter.com/LoganDobson/statuses/477091955185573888
Logged
Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,861
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 12, 2014, 11:26:17 am »

Huh?
A Republican internal shows McConnell losing? Is he really that screwed or is there a catch?

The party registration in this poll is 56% D, 40% R and only 4% I - which is weird.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_KY_103.pdf

Not completely Tender, PPP: 52% democrat, 40% Rep, and 9% Ind

I obviously believe this poll is weird though.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,986
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 12, 2014, 11:31:21 am »

Now the results are on their page !
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,986
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 12, 2014, 11:33:39 am »

But no Senate results.
Logged
badgate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 12, 2014, 02:52:40 pm »

Wonderful news!
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,692


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 12, 2014, 02:54:33 pm »

I remember seeing a poll back last year that said the candidates were roughly even, but Grimes led by 15 among folks who were more familiar with the campaign. Maybe McConnell is floundering just because people are finding out more.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,336
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 12, 2014, 04:57:45 pm »

Release.

Cotton (R)- 49%
Pryor (D)- 45%
Logged
ModerateVAVoter
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,424


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 12, 2014, 04:58:14 pm »

The lack of recent non-partisan polls in this race is kind of annoying.
Logged
Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,861
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 12, 2014, 05:20:07 pm »

The lack of recent non-partisan polls in this race is kind of annoying.

Well, Magellan seems to overestimate EVERY challenger to the incumbent (see Colorado and Kentucky).
This is like Magellan wanted all senators to lose reelection Tongue.
Logged
Flake
Flo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: June 12, 2014, 06:21:29 pm »

New Poll: Kentucky Senator by Magellan Strategies on 2014-06-05

Summary: D: 49%, R: 46%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
SWE
SomebodyWhoExists
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,434
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: June 12, 2014, 07:46:20 pm »

LIKELY R!!!!!!1!!!!
Logged
LeBron FitzGerald
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,826
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 12, 2014, 08:22:33 pm »

Given Magellan's polling overestimated the size of the Blanching in AR-Sen's 2010 race by about 10 points, this is still a pure tossup very much. Pryor already labeled this as a junk, push poll anyways since it was conducted for the same group who spent money on 2 of the Cotton - military ads, but luckily for Cotton, he got a much needed Romney endorsement and as we've seen recently with establishment and Tea Party backed candidates like Tillis, they don't mess around and can be serious threats.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,745
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 12, 2014, 08:46:19 pm »

I'm with MAAV. Really need PPP or Talk Business. It's probably still MOE lead for either one.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,336
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 12, 2014, 11:07:30 pm »
« Edited: June 12, 2014, 11:11:54 pm by Miles »

Release.

Cassidy (R)- 50%
Landrieu (D)- 44%
Someone else- 5%

I don't have the release for NC yet, but the Hayride says Hagan leads 47-46.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,986
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: June 13, 2014, 03:09:11 am »

So, here are the results of all 8 states:

KY: 49-46 Grimes
CO: 47-45 Gardner
AR: 49-45 Cotton
LA: 50-44 Cassidy

NC: 47-46 Hagan
GA: 47-44 GOP candidate
MT: 55-39 Daines

MI: 50-41 Peters
Logged
Mangez des pommes !
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,674
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: June 14, 2014, 05:33:43 am »

So, here are the results of all 8 states:

KY: 49-46 Grimes
CO: 47-45 Gardner
AR: 49-45 Cotton
LA: 50-44 Cassidy

NC: 47-46 Hagan
GA: 47-44 GOP candidate
MT: 55-39 Daines

MI: 50-41 Peters

That's prettty weird...
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,549
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: June 14, 2014, 06:54:52 am »

So, here are the results of all 8 states:

KY: 49-46 Grimes
CO: 47-45 Gardner
AR: 49-45 Cotton
LA: 50-44 Cassidy

NC: 47-46 Hagan
GA: 47-44 GOP candidate
MT: 55-39 Daines

MI: 50-41 Peters

That's prettty weird...

Hard to trust any Republican internal after what happened the last 2-3 years.
Logged
JRP1994
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,646


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: June 16, 2014, 10:35:00 am »

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Magellan_MI_0614.pdf

Peters: 50%
Land: 41%
Logged
ModerateVAVoter
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,424


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: June 16, 2014, 10:37:30 am »

LANDslide.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,745
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: June 16, 2014, 11:15:00 am »

It isn't over because it never started. Peters will win comfortably, but I doubt any other Pub candidate would do much better.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,342
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: June 16, 2014, 11:53:30 am »

It isn't over because it never started. Peters will win comfortably, but I doubt any other Pub candidate would do much better.

I've always found Michigan interesting in that they are almost never a swing state on the federal level, but when it comes to statewide officials it is almost always competitive. 
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC