Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 19, 2019, 09:36:45 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
| | | | |-+  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
| | | | | |-+  Magellan (R)/National Mining Association: 8 Senate polls
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: Magellan (R)/National Mining Association: 8 Senate polls  (Read 2923 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,945
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 12, 2014, 11:19:25 am »

KY: 49-46 Grimes
CO: 47-45 Gardner
AR: 49-45 Cotton
LA: 50-44 Cassidy

NC: 47-46 Hagan
GA: 47-44 GOP candidate
MT: 55-39 Daines

MI: 50-41 Peters
« Last Edit: June 13, 2014, 03:11:48 am by Tender Branson »Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,945
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 12, 2014, 11:20:43 am »

They polled 7 other states too, but I can't find the releases for those ... Sad

Quote
The findings are based on automated surveys of likely 2014 general election voters in Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Montana and North Carolina. The surveys were fielded from June 4th to June 8th, and the margin of error for the surveys range from +/- 3.45% to 3.65% at the 95% confidence level. The surveys measured voter opinion of the newly proposed EPA carbon emissions regulation, as well as how information about the proposal impacts voter opinion.

http://www.magellanstrategies.com
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,223
Greece


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 12, 2014, 11:20:51 am »

Huh?
A Republican internal shows McConnell losing? Is he really that screwed or is there a catch?
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,945
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 12, 2014, 11:21:37 am »

Huh?
A Republican internal shows McConnell losing? Is he really that screwed or is there a catch?

The party registration in this poll is 56% D, 40% R and only 4% I - which is weird.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,945
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 12, 2014, 11:26:02 am »

Apparently, their CO poll will show:

Cory Gardner (R): 47%
Mark Udall (D): 45%

https://twitter.com/LoganDobson/statuses/477091955185573888
Logged
King Francis I
windjammer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,640
France


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 12, 2014, 11:26:17 am »

Huh?
A Republican internal shows McConnell losing? Is he really that screwed or is there a catch?

The party registration in this poll is 56% D, 40% R and only 4% I - which is weird.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_KY_103.pdf

Not completely Tender, PPP: 52% democrat, 40% Rep, and 9% Ind

I obviously believe this poll is weird though.
Logged

Quote
Flo   it seems like everytime i talk to you i have some sort of illness
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US state senates
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,945
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 12, 2014, 11:31:21 am »

Now the results are on their page !
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,945
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 12, 2014, 11:33:39 am »

But no Senate results.
Logged
badgate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,488


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 12, 2014, 02:52:40 pm »

Wonderful news!
Logged

Political Matrix Score
Economic: -6.32
Social: -4.17

"Hubert Humphrey must not have been considered very fun either."-Gilmore Girls
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,484


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 12, 2014, 02:54:33 pm »

I remember seeing a poll back last year that said the candidates were roughly even, but Grimes led by 15 among folks who were more familiar with the campaign. Maybe McConnell is floundering just because people are finding out more.
Logged

Try this wonderful POPULIST BLOG...

http://onlinelunchpail.blogspot.com

Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,378
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 12, 2014, 04:57:45 pm »

Release.

Cotton (R)- 49%
Pryor (D)- 45%
Logged


ModerateVAVoter
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,144


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 12, 2014, 04:58:14 pm »

The lack of recent non-partisan polls in this race is kind of annoying.
Logged

Economic: 0.65, Social: -1.57
King Francis I
windjammer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,640
France


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 12, 2014, 05:20:07 pm »

The lack of recent non-partisan polls in this race is kind of annoying.

Well, Magellan seems to overestimate EVERY challenger to the incumbent (see Colorado and Kentucky).
This is like Magellan wanted all senators to lose reelection Tongue.
Logged

Quote
Flo   it seems like everytime i talk to you i have some sort of illness
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US state senates
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses
Flake
Flo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,710
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: June 12, 2014, 06:21:29 pm »

New Poll: Kentucky Senator by Magellan Strategies on 2014-06-05

Summary: D: 49%, R: 46%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged

SWE
SomebodyWhoExists
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,136
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: June 12, 2014, 07:46:20 pm »

LIKELY R!!!!!!1!!!!
Logged

Quote
18:37   Clark   Most of you are considered to be trolls, and with good reason

Quote
15:55   windjammer   you should all go to hell
 
For once, SWE is right
LeBron FitzGerald
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,815
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -6.78

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 12, 2014, 08:22:33 pm »

Given Magellan's polling overestimated the size of the Blanching in AR-Sen's 2010 race by about 10 points, this is still a pure tossup very much. Pryor already labeled this as a junk, push poll anyways since it was conducted for the same group who spent money on 2 of the Cotton - military ads, but luckily for Cotton, he got a much needed Romney endorsement and as we've seen recently with establishment and Tea Party backed candidates like Tillis, they don't mess around and can be serious threats.
Logged

RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,454
Canada


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 12, 2014, 08:46:19 pm »

I'm with MAAV. Really need PPP or Talk Business. It's probably still MOE lead for either one.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - de Gaulle



"Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard." - Mencken
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,378
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 12, 2014, 11:07:30 pm »

Release.

Cassidy (R)- 50%
Landrieu (D)- 44%
Someone else- 5%

I don't have the release for NC yet, but the Hayride says Hagan leads 47-46.
« Last Edit: June 12, 2014, 11:11:54 pm by Miles »Logged


Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,945
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: June 13, 2014, 03:09:11 am »

So, here are the results of all 8 states:

KY: 49-46 Grimes
CO: 47-45 Gardner
AR: 49-45 Cotton
LA: 50-44 Cassidy

NC: 47-46 Hagan
GA: 47-44 GOP candidate
MT: 55-39 Daines

MI: 50-41 Peters
Logged
Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,953
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: June 14, 2014, 05:33:43 am »

So, here are the results of all 8 states:

KY: 49-46 Grimes
CO: 47-45 Gardner
AR: 49-45 Cotton
LA: 50-44 Cassidy

NC: 47-46 Hagan
GA: 47-44 GOP candidate
MT: 55-39 Daines

MI: 50-41 Peters

That's prettty weird...
Logged


"In the end, the world we live in is in darkness."
"That's why... we seek the light."

Noir, episode 26
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,223
Greece


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: June 14, 2014, 06:54:52 am »

So, here are the results of all 8 states:

KY: 49-46 Grimes
CO: 47-45 Gardner
AR: 49-45 Cotton
LA: 50-44 Cassidy

NC: 47-46 Hagan
GA: 47-44 GOP candidate
MT: 55-39 Daines

MI: 50-41 Peters

That's prettty weird...

Hard to trust any Republican internal after what happened the last 2-3 years.
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
JRP1994
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,619


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: June 16, 2014, 10:35:00 am »

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Magellan_MI_0614.pdf

Peters: 50%
Land: 41%
Logged
ModerateVAVoter
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,144


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: June 16, 2014, 10:37:30 am »

LANDslide.
Logged

Economic: 0.65, Social: -1.57
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,454
Canada


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: June 16, 2014, 11:15:00 am »

It isn't over because it never started. Peters will win comfortably, but I doubt any other Pub candidate would do much better.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - de Gaulle



"Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard." - Mencken
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,556
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: June 16, 2014, 11:53:30 am »

It isn't over because it never started. Peters will win comfortably, but I doubt any other Pub candidate would do much better.

I've always found Michigan interesting in that they are almost never a swing state on the federal level, but when it comes to statewide officials it is almost always competitive. 
Logged

Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Klobuchar
4. Gillibrand
5. Castro
6. Buttigieg
7. Booker
8. Delaney
9. Gabbard
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines