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  MS-Chism: Cochran up 1
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Author Topic: MS-Chism: Cochran up 1  (Read 882 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: June 16, 2014, 09:44:46 am »

48/47. Cochran steady, McDaniel down 4 from last poll.
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Del Tachi
Republican95
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« Reply #1 on: June 16, 2014, 09:46:52 am »

Boo-yaa!!

Runoff is pure tossup like I've been saying
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JRP1994
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« Reply #2 on: June 16, 2014, 10:35:50 am »

I'm going to laugh so hard at the Tea Party if Cochran pulls this off.
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ModerateVAVoter
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« Reply #3 on: June 16, 2014, 10:37:09 am »

With any luck, Cochran will.
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Invisible Obama
DrScholl
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« Reply #4 on: June 16, 2014, 01:20:51 pm »

At this point, Cochran has shown himself to be a senile old man who molested animals in his younger days, things that don't scream winner. This race is McDaniel's to lose.
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Vosem
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« Reply #5 on: June 16, 2014, 01:51:56 pm »
« Edited: June 16, 2014, 02:00:49 pm by Vosem »

Still think McDaniel is favored but a Cochran win would be glorious.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #6 on: June 16, 2014, 02:30:48 pm »

Am I the only one that think's Cochran isn't dead in the water?  Sure, he's going to a runoff, but that's no guarantee he'll lose.  If anything, it's probably a good thing for him because he can show Mississippi just what a loon Chris "Mamacita" McDaniel really is.
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DeadPrez
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« Reply #7 on: June 16, 2014, 02:33:24 pm »

There was a poll where Mcdaniel is up by 12

Meh it still looks good for Mcdaniel
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ModerateVAVoter
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« Reply #8 on: June 16, 2014, 02:39:53 pm »

I don't think Cochran is dead. I'd say McDaniel is favored, but only slightly.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #9 on: June 16, 2014, 02:47:26 pm »

Cochran's campaign staff has doubled since June 3rd.

McDaniel, in terms of percentages and turnout, probably "maxed-out" on June 3rd.  Cochran still has room to grow among moderates, old people and Democrats. 
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Jbrase
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« Reply #10 on: June 16, 2014, 03:00:38 pm »

Cochran's campaign staff has doubled since June 3rd.

McDaniel, in terms of percentages and turnout, probably "maxed-out" on June 3rd.  Cochran still has room to grow among moderates, old people and Democrats

Can they vote in the run-off if they didn't vote in the first round?
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Del Tachi
Republican95
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« Reply #11 on: June 16, 2014, 03:08:42 pm »

Cochran's campaign staff has doubled since June 3rd.

McDaniel, in terms of percentages and turnout, probably "maxed-out" on June 3rd.  Cochran still has room to grow among moderates, old people and Democrats

Can they vote in the run-off if they didn't vote in the first round?

Yes.

Mississippi voter registration is non-partisan.  There is no such thing as a "registered" Republican or Democrat in Mississippi.  As long as they did not vote in the June 3rd Democratic primary they can vote in the runoff.

All of the polls out there, including the Chism poll, only polled people who had voted in the June 3rd GOP primary.  This may prove to be problematic, as a major component of Senator Cochran's campaign is to court voters who did not participate on June 3rd.   
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Invisible Obama
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« Reply #12 on: June 16, 2014, 03:09:05 pm »

It's worth repeating that Democrats don't show up in general elections, so it's highly unlikely they are going to turn out to rescue a Republican in a primary.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #13 on: June 16, 2014, 03:23:13 pm »

It's worth repeating that Democrats don't show up in general elections, so it's highly unlikely they are going to turn out to rescue a Republican in a primary.
They may turn out to elect Childers if McDaniel wins the runoff.
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Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #14 on: June 18, 2014, 08:14:24 pm »

McDaniel is probably a 70% or so favorite to win the runoff, but if McDaniel can't turnout the southeast vote (where he performed best) in numbers close to what he could on June 3, look for a Cochran upset.
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Badger
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« Reply #15 on: June 19, 2014, 10:05:32 am »

McDaniel is probably a 70% or so favorite to win the runoff, but if McDaniel can't turnout the southeast vote (where he performed best) in numbers close to what he could on June 3, look for a Cochran upset.

Considering how rabid the support and turnout in Jones County was a few weeks ago, those are exactly the type of voters that will turn out in droves for the turnout.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #16 on: June 24, 2014, 10:33:16 pm »

This is the only one that was accurate.
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Never
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« Reply #17 on: June 24, 2014, 10:47:36 pm »

This is the only one that was accurate.

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Miles
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« Reply #18 on: June 24, 2014, 10:54:42 pm »

FWIW, a TPE poll out last Friday had Cochran up 44.5-44.
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