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Author Topic: KS: Survey USA: Roberts Leads in Primary and General  (Read 1050 times)
░tmthforu94░
tmthforu94
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« on: June 25, 2014, 07:47:49 pm »

New Poll: Kansas Senator by Survey USA on 2014-06-23

Summary: D: 33%, R: 43%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #1 on: June 25, 2014, 11:42:53 pm »

zzzzzzzzzzz
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: June 25, 2014, 11:56:16 pm »

Pretty weak lead for Roberts. Is it because Tea Partiers are angry and saying they won't vote for him (they will), or is he being dragged down by Brownback?
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SWE
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« Reply #3 on: June 26, 2014, 12:01:14 am »

Why does RCP only rate this as Likely R?
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #4 on: June 26, 2014, 12:02:26 am »

Why does RCP only rate this as Likely R?
Because of the fact that Milton Wolf, Pat Roberts's primary challenger, does much worse in the GE polling.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #5 on: June 26, 2014, 01:02:46 am »

If Roberts would lose the primary and the race were open, the Democratic candidate would actually lead the race, despite the poll showing a strongly Republican electorate in November (56% R, 28% D and 16% I):

Quote
Now, what if the candidates for United States Senator were Republican Milton Wolf, Democrat Chad Taylor, Libertarian Randall Batson, and Independent Greg Orman ?

36% Chad Taylor (D)
33% Milton Wolf (R)
  7% Greg Orman (I)
  6% Randall Batson (L)
18% Undecided

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0023d453-4961-455d-b23a-15124b96a205
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LeBron FitzGerald
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« Reply #6 on: June 26, 2014, 02:04:08 am »

I guess it really is time to move this race to likely R if Republican voters hate Roberts enough to give the L and I that much support lol. Assuming Taylor beats Weismer for the Democratic nomination, we do have a strong candidate for the general

With the Tea Party pulling out of Mississippi now, this might actually be the next best and only target left of knocking off a Republican Senator. Wolf is making some basic mistakes that McDaniel may have made, but Roberts had about a 30% approval in PPP's last poll here IIRC.

For Wolf, he can at least effectively attack Roberts for living out of state (which wasn't an option for McDaniel) plus Wolf has the Tea Party backing and huge inroads he could make on name ID and airtime to quite possibly pull an upset on Roberts. The primary isn't until August, so there will be some extra time to get the primary competitive.

The primary poll still has Wolf trailing by a huge margin:

Quote
If the Republican Primary for United States Senator were today, which Republican would you vote for?

Pat Roberts - 56%
Milton Wolf - 23%
D.J. Smith - 4%
Alvin Zahnter - 4%
Undecided - 12%

http://ksn.com/2014/06/25/ksn-news-poll-june-25-2014-primary-questions
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