Tennessee State and Local Politics (Two GOP gov. debates upcoming)

[MT Treasurer]

Those are the only ones I know enough about to summarize.  I really hope Fox makes the runoff.

It's going to be very, very tough for him.

[MT Treasurer]

Is Fox actually a conservative Republican?  He sounds like a vaguely moderate pragmatist in his ads talking about infrastructure, debt, and not just serving downtown.  Is this his strategy to win?

Pretty much, he wants and has to stick out among the seven candidates running.
I am rooting for him and hope that Freeman won't make the runoff.

[MT Treasurer]

Election results can be found here.

http://www.wsmv.com/category/249764/election-returns

Livestream:

http://www.wsmv.com/category/213709/news-live-stream

[MT Treasurer]

So far low election day turnout due to heavy rain

[MT Treasurer]

My prediction (even though the race is literally unpredictable):

1. David Fox: 24%
2. Megan Barry: 24%

3. Bill Freeman: 22%
4. Howard Gentry: 10%
5. Charles Bone: 9%
6. Linda Rebrovick: 8%
7. Jeremy Kane: 3%

Probably too generous to Fox, but I hope the low turnout benefits him. We will see.

I also think Briley will win the vice-mayoral race (but it's nothing more than a guess), but I have no idea how close it will be.

[MT Treasurer]

Wow, first results look good for Fox:

Megan Barry    12935   24%
David A. Fox    12305   23%

Bill Freeman    10509   20%
Howard Gentry    6661   12%
Charles Robert Bone    5790   11%
Linda Eskind Rebrovick    3080   6%
Jeremy Kane    2487   5%

Mostly early vote that's in.

Briley leads Garrett in the vice-mayoral race just as I had expected:

David Briley    25696   55%
Tim Garrett    21398   45%

[MT Treasurer]

60% in!

Megan Barry    24%
David A. Fox    23%

Bill Freeman    21%
Howard Gentry 12%
Charles Robert Bone  11%
Linda Eskind Rebrovick  6%
Jeremy Kane    3748  5%

Freeman doing a little bit better, but I doubt it will be enough.

[MT Treasurer]

80% in and the vice-mayoral race is tightening a bit:

David Briley    43280   53%
Tim Garrett    37906   47%

But I think Briley has won. Barry and Fox will go to the runoff.

[MT Treasurer]

I am so glad that Freeman is out and hope that Fox makes the runoff, but like I said before - it will be tough for him.

[MT Treasurer]

Not really about Tennessee, still...

Gov. Haslam spreads wealth among Senate candidates

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[MT Treasurer]

PPP: Barry 46, Fox 45

[MT Treasurer]

Anyone want to make a final Fox-Barry prediction?

Mine:
Fox (de facto R): 51.5%
Barry (de facto D): 48.5%

Unfortunately, I won't be able to follow this race next week, so this is my last prediction:

Barry: 50.8%
Fox: 49.2% 

(I want Fox to win, but the race is very difficult to predict and it will all come down to turnout.)

[MT Treasurer]

Looking forward to seeing the a map for the runoff!

http://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2015/09/11/interactive-how-megan-barry-became-nashville-mayor/72047880/

I didn't follow at all. Why did people believe it was going to be competitive? Nashville isn't one of these democratic stronghold cities?

Lol, it is. Obama won Davidson County 58-40. The suburbs are obviously more Republican.