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Author Topic: FL: SUSA: Scott leading by 2  (Read 2462 times)
Miles
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« on: July 08, 2014, 11:19:27 pm »

Report.

Scott (R)- 45%
Crist (D)- 43%
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2014, 08:50:23 am »

New Poll: Florida Governor by Survey USA on 2014-07-02

Summary: D: 43%, R: 45%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: July 09, 2014, 12:11:26 pm »

Scott has a 12 point lead among Independents. What the hell happened?
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sg0508
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« Reply #3 on: July 09, 2014, 12:17:35 pm »

He's been running a smart, smooth campaign and defining Charlie Crist (as many Floridians already believe him to be) and Crist/The FL Democratic Party is an absolute trainwreck.
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SJG
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« Reply #4 on: July 09, 2014, 05:16:38 pm »

Scott vs Crist 2014 is closely mirroring Obama vs Romney in the 2012 Presidential race.

Obama defined Romney very EARLY and we all know what happened after that.

FL Democrats are still kicking themselves now for not getting U.S. Senator Bill Nelson (D-Florida) to jump into this race, because had Nelson jumped in, he would have easily destroyed Scott by 20 points right now.
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Mayor Steve Pearce
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« Reply #5 on: July 09, 2014, 05:17:37 pm »

Scott has a 12 point lead among Independents. What the hell happened?

Charlie Crist happened.
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marty
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« Reply #6 on: July 09, 2014, 06:51:42 pm »

If I were Scott, I would be considered about only getting 45% at this point.
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Scott
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« Reply #7 on: July 09, 2014, 06:57:28 pm »

When the economy rebounds, incumbents generally benefit regardless of party, although the fact that a literal crook could end up spending eight years in the Florida Governor's Mansion is pretty disgraceful.

The fact that Charlie Crist could lose to a BALD guy, obviously, is considerably worse.
« Last Edit: July 09, 2014, 07:01:18 pm by Emperor Scott »Logged


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olowakandi
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« Reply #8 on: July 09, 2014, 07:51:29 pm »

This is a registered poll, come Sept, we will get our own pool of likely voters.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #9 on: July 09, 2014, 07:56:32 pm »

This is a registered poll, come Sept, we will get our own pool of likely voters.

Do you really think likely voters would look any better for Crist?
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olowakandi
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« Reply #10 on: July 09, 2014, 07:59:00 pm »

Sink lead in the polls until the end, all I say is that Crist having been gov already, has an even or better chance than Sink.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #11 on: July 09, 2014, 11:24:26 pm »

Hoping Crist gets his mojo back once he gets on the air.

If not, the "let your opponent demolish you with their war chest while you raise money" strategy needs to die FOREVER.
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sg0508
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« Reply #12 on: July 10, 2014, 07:39:16 am »

Again.  Having lived down there (through college) for much of Charlie Crist's governship, Floridians began to turn on him in the last year or two and then the change of party, etc happened.  Most Democrats there are probably wary of him.  Even my family in Palm Beach County (relatively stable Democratic voters now and formerly moderate GOPers) are shaking their heads that Crist will be the nominee.

As for Bill Nelson, the Democrats need him in the Senate if they're going to hang onto the majority.  What the FL Democratic Party needs to do is blow up the entire office of people running the place and start recruiting some younger, more vibrant, moderate candidates.  Find those super stars in-state.  They have none!  The FL Democratic Party is a total disgrace.
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SJG
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« Reply #13 on: July 10, 2014, 01:56:34 pm »

FL Democrats are in the same boat as the Texas Democrats: very INCOMPETENT.

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« Reply #14 on: July 10, 2014, 08:57:10 pm »

If Crist loses this, the Florida Democratic party should probably call it a day and disband.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #15 on: July 10, 2014, 08:59:35 pm »

Richard Scott would be a great President.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #16 on: July 10, 2014, 10:39:11 pm »

Richard Scott would be a great President.

I agree, please nominate him.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #17 on: July 11, 2014, 09:20:37 am »

Latino support, which Crist successfully won over last time, is undestated here, and was in 2012, and Dem nominee will win nxt time in 16.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #18 on: July 11, 2014, 09:34:10 am »

Funny how Crist is winning Cubans by a 57-29 margin but he's winning non-Cuban hispanics 49-41. Usually it would be the other way around for the Democrat.

Also, will Rick Scott really win 20% of African Americans? I find that hard to believe, but who knows
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Badger
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« Reply #19 on: July 11, 2014, 10:46:56 am »

FL Democrats are in the same boat as the Texas Democrats: very INCOMPETENT.



Good thing you're not a member of either, amarite?
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CapoteMonster
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« Reply #20 on: July 11, 2014, 11:05:53 am »

Funny how Crist is winning Cubans by a 57-29 margin but he's winning non-Cuban hispanics 49-41. Usually it would be the other way around for the Democrat.

Also, will Rick Scott really win 20% of African Americans? I find that hard to believe, but who knows

I think those statistics show us this was a bad poll.
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I'm surrounded by people who I'm scared will be voting in a few years.
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« Reply #21 on: July 11, 2014, 03:13:26 pm »

In 2010, Scott won only 6 percent of African Americans.

Crist will likely get around close to 98 percent.

In 2006 when he was a Republican, Crist won 18 percent of the African American vote, which was considered the highest of any Republican running for statewide office ever in the state.

I don't even think Bob Martinez (R), when he was elected governor in 1986, even got to double digits among this voting bloc.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #22 on: July 11, 2014, 05:14:10 pm »

Last min push by young latinos and the favorable map ruling by the majestrate judge will breath new life into Crist campaign.
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Wolverine22
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« Reply #23 on: July 15, 2014, 01:35:20 pm »

Scott vs Crist 2014 is closely mirroring Obama vs Romney in the 2012 Presidential race.

Obama defined Romney very EARLY and we all know what happened after that.

FL Democrats are still kicking themselves now for not getting U.S. Senator Bill Nelson (D-Florida) to jump into this race, because had Nelson jumped in, he would have easily destroyed Scott by 20 points right now.


Yeah and Nelson's Senate seat would go straight to the GOP in a year the Democrats are trying desperately to hold on to the chamber. In some cases, you just have to pick your battles.
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