Volusia County FL
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 08:43:56 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  Volusia County FL
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Volusia County FL  (Read 4897 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 12, 2014, 10:20:22 PM »

How did Romney win this county in 2012?

This is the county with Daytona Beach, and has usually been among the more Democratic counties in Florida. Al Gore won it handily, and even John Kerry won it.

What happened in 2012? Is this county getting taken over by Orlando exurbs?
Logged
Vega
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,253
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2014, 11:32:57 AM »

Gore won it by 8 points, Kerry by 2 points, Obama in 2008 by 6 points, and Romney by 1 point.

It was trending Republican I guess.
Logged
politicallefty
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2014, 11:32:15 AM »

I had the same question shortly after the election. See here.

I think best answer is that Obama failed to hit the same percentage of whites that Kerry had. Bush won Florida whites 57-42, while Romney won them 61-37. The difference for the state was that it has become less white and Obama won the minority vote by a considerably bigger margin than Kerry did. Obviously, Obama won blacks by a bigger margin than Kerry and with a higher turnout. The big difference was that Bush had won Latinos in the state 56-44, but Obama won that vote in 2012 60-39 with a higher turnout.

Volusia County is considerably whiter than the state as a whole. I think it basically comes down to the racial swings. Whites swung to Romney and Latinos swung to Obama. In a heavily white county, I think it's obvious which swing wins out.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 12 queries.