MS-PPP: Sen. Cochran (R) ahead by double-digits, many still undecided (user search)
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  MS-PPP: Sen. Cochran (R) ahead by double-digits, many still undecided (search mode)
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Author Topic: MS-PPP: Sen. Cochran (R) ahead by double-digits, many still undecided  (Read 1334 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: July 15, 2014, 05:28:16 PM »

Btw, Cochran leads the DINO Childers by 1 among Blacks (by 2 in the Reform-less matchup).
It would be interesting if Thad Cochran ends up winning more than a quarter of the black vote against Travis Childers.

If the polls show a blowout before the election, the exit pollster might even skip MS and we'll never know.

Exit Pollsters these days have limited money too and as we saw in 2012, are not exit polling each state anymore ...

County results would still roughly tell the story.

Also, wow:

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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2014, 06:56:19 PM »

Just for fun:

If you reset the black vote in this poll to 20% Cochran, 65% Childers, 15% Undecided (which would still be an unbelievably poor showing for Childers if that's what it looks like on Election Day), it becomes 34-34 dead heat with 28% undecided.

This may explain why Childers has gone on the stump for Obamacare. He's trying to bring the black vote back into his column and then hope McDaniel does the rest of the work for him.

Do you believe Childers has any serious chance at winning?

I cannot see McDaniel voters casting a ballot for a Democrat.  I just can't.

I think the hope is that they stay home, write him in, or vote third party. Most of them will come back to Cochran in the end though.
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