CO-Quinnipiac: Gardner (R) by 2 (user search)
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  CO-Quinnipiac: Gardner (R) by 2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO-Quinnipiac: Gardner (R) by 2  (Read 2746 times)
IceSpear
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Posts: 31,840
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Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: July 17, 2014, 03:27:45 PM »

^ Perhaps we should wait for PPP, but CO seems like one of those states with iffy polling regardless of the pollster. Still, the fact that the recent polls of this Senate race are erratic definitely indicates that this will be a very competitive race. It's interesting that Gardner holds an overall lead in this poll despite losing the Independent vote.

..and that he is losing the crossover vote, too. Is this poll relying on many missing liberal voters come election day? I know they have a tendency to forget to vote but..

Yeah, I kind of thought that was suspect.

Cohn noted a couple of days ago that CO polls have been off by an average of 3 in statewide races since '08. Not that there's a huge difference between Gardner +2 and Udall +1 at this point.

If PPP has this race within the MoE for either candidate, should we call this a pure tossup? I still think that Democrats have the edge in this race with Udall, but it seems like his advantage is deteriorating.

I'd say this race was already a pure toss up as soon as Gardner jumped in.
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