CO-Quinnipiac: Gardner (R) by 2

[Person Man]

These results, especially for an RV poll, are all over the place. Either this or the Marist poll were tinkered with.

Let's wait for PPP, which is polling this weekend.

This and That.

This is Schrodinger's race. Until the election is taking place, both Democrats are losing because of Guns, Obamacare and Big Oil or Republicans are losing because of Abortion, Gays, Pot,
Immigration and Big Oil.

On the whole, I think if the Gardner wins, his race will be called after the senate is called.

[Person Man]

^ Perhaps we should wait for PPP, but CO seems like one of those states with iffy polling regardless of the pollster. Still, the fact that the recent polls of this Senate race are erratic definitely indicates that this will be a very competitive race. It's interesting that Gardner holds an overall lead in this poll despite losing the Independent vote.

..and that he is losing the crossover vote, too. Is this poll relying on many missing liberal voters come election day? I know they have a tendency to forget to vote but..

[Person Man]

Cohn noted a couple of days ago that CO polls have been off by an average of 3 in statewide races since '08. Not that there's a huge difference between Gardner +2 and Udall +1 at this point.

This could mean that Gardner might be ahead by 7 or Udall by 10.

What were they off by 2010 and 2012?

[Person Man]

LV polls in July are stupid. No one is paying attention to politics until September. RV polls right now are perfectly fine.

You're missing my point and attacking a side remark. How can you see most polls show them beating the crap out of each other, but then one poll shows up, shows Udall up by 7, and still say Colorado polls overestimate Republicans?

I will give you that the claim that Democrats were oversampled turned out to be BS in 2012. Maybe the opposite will be true in 2014, but there are limits.

[Person Man]

This poll is garbage, look at the party registration figures and you'll find the explanation for Q's "movement".

What is the PVR for this poll?

[Person Man]

I just saw a Democrat from Idaho. I now believe in unicorns.

Don't worry, there are plenty more, Obama got 36% of the vote in ID in 2008.

People don't understand that there are political minorities in every state.

[Person Man]

I just saw a Democrat from Idaho. I now believe in unicorns.

Don't worry, there are plenty more, Obama got 36% of the vote in ID in 2008.

People don't understand that there are political minorities in every state.

Such as me in my state. Holy crap people I'm joking.

I know. Sometimes you doubt you exist and think you're nuts if you are a white southern or high desert democrat. A lot of times you're the only one that "has your own ideas" in your subdivision or with one guy from Alabama I rented to, from the only hipster neighborhood in his state.