How does the White Gay Cis Male vote? (user search)
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  How does the White Gay Cis Male vote? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How does the White Gay Cis Male vote?  (Read 2239 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,050
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« on: July 17, 2014, 06:50:24 PM »

Obama win around 75% of LGBT. Not a chance they went for McCain. Also consider that they're disproportionally in cities like San Francisco.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,050
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #1 on: July 17, 2014, 09:55:17 PM »

FWIW per CNN's 2008 exit polls white males voted 57-41 McCain. Averaging that with an estimate 75-25 LGBT vote puts McCain's percentage at about 41%. OK not the best way to do sure, but consider that for gay white men to vote McCain, they'd have to be less than 9 points more Democratic than white men in general, and if the LGBT community in general is about 23 points more Democratic than the country at large in 2008...you can do the math.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,050
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2014, 06:21:33 PM »

The gender gap between gay men and lesbians probably isn't much more than it is in the general population. And you aren't getting 95% of the vote amongst any demographic except blacks. I mean come on, bisexuals are more Democratic than white gay males?
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,050
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #3 on: July 19, 2014, 07:56:13 PM »

This projection also seems to be greatly overestimating the number of transpeople. Even if the trans vote is 95% D it's still a very insignificant number of the LGBT vote in general.

And also I'd be willing to be a majority of white gay males live in cities where Obama won even the heterosexual white male vote both times.
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