Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 26, 2019, 02:03:43 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  NM-Rasmussen: Gov. Martinez (R) fighting for her political life
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] Print
Author Topic: NM-Rasmussen: Gov. Martinez (R) fighting for her political life  (Read 3838 times)
Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 821
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: July 26, 2014, 05:31:14 pm »

No. No. No. Don't any of you dare start calling Rassy reputable now.
Logged
Skill and Chance
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,589
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: July 26, 2014, 07:37:53 pm »

Also, the polls overestimated her in 2010. The average had her up 11 and she won by 7.

I still think she'll win by 4-7 points though. 

True.  You really don't want to be tied going into election day if you are a Republican in the Southwest.
Logged
Stephen Curry is Awesome
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: July 26, 2014, 08:36:51 pm »

This was a race that Martinez should of won easily. This may be an bellweather, usually so goes NM and CO so goes OH. Just maybe, Kasich is more vul than the polls are indicative.
Logged
sg0508
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,583
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: July 27, 2014, 01:31:09 pm »

Keep in mind that since NM is a bluish state, most of the remaining undecided voters will break Democratic in the end.  Martinez will want to be above 50% by the time Election Day rolls around.  This would be a huge, huge upset though and possibly, a major hit to the GOP nationally given the Hispanic population in NM.
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,816
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: July 27, 2014, 01:52:47 pm »

Martinez is no Sandoval, King is no Goodman, and New Mexico is not Nevada. This was never going to be a landslide.
Logged
ModerateVAVoter
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,425


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: July 27, 2014, 01:56:07 pm »

Martinez is no Sandoval, King is no Goodman, and New Mexico is not Nevada. This was never going to be a landslide.
Logged
sg0508
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,583
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: July 28, 2014, 11:56:59 am »

Not that it's a good comparison as the state has changed, but even the moderate Gary Johnson struggled somewhat in his re-election bid back in '98 (winning by eight points).  Democrats won every other down-ballot race that year, with Johnson's being the only GOP win on the NM ticket during that cycle.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,677
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: July 28, 2014, 09:51:02 pm »

Not that it's a good comparison as the state has changed, but even the moderate Gary Johnson struggled somewhat in his re-election bid back in '98 (winning by eight points).  Democrats won every other down-ballot race that year, with Johnson's being the only GOP win on the NM ticket during that cycle.

It's a mistake to call Gary Johnson a moderate. Yes, he was socially moderate, but he was very fiscally conservative, and he got a fairly good opponent.
Logged
Edgar Suit Larry
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,613
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: July 28, 2014, 11:02:24 pm »

Not that it's a good comparison as the state has changed, but even the moderate Gary Johnson struggled somewhat in his re-election bid back in '98 (winning by eight points).  Democrats won every other down-ballot race that year, with Johnson's being the only GOP win on the NM ticket during that cycle.

It's a mistake to call Gary Johnson a moderate. Yes, he was socially moderate, but he was very fiscally conservative, and he got a fairly good opponent.

That was back when Republicans were still doing OK-ish in New Mexico. Bush even won the state once with his triangulation on immigration. Without a candidate who can triangulate like that, New Mexico is definitely a task.
Logged
○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 45,578


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: July 29, 2014, 11:33:05 pm »

This was a race that Martinez should of won easily. This may be an bellweather, usually so goes NM and CO so goes OH. Just maybe, Kasich is more vul than the polls are indicative.

LOL, bellweathers don't exist for governor races.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC