IL-Harstad Strategic Research (D)/Illinois Education Association: Rauner+4

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Quinn will win, afterall.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The last Rassy poll had Rauner up by 3 as well.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am bullish on IL, because it is Obama's homestate, and despite what people think of Quinn, Cook Cnty turnout will be large enough to save him. Quinn was the only Dem last time that survived the Midwest GOP tsunami and will again this time.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Schauer is also down, too. Do, I think these will come home at the end for the Dems? Yes, because the polls are understating Minority support. 

Quinn just like Schauer and Michaud has big labor support.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah, I will unskew the fundraising totals, Quinn has 11 Million on hand, Rauner, who has to fend off a primary challenge has 4.

I stand by what I said early, big Labor will pick up Crist, Schauer, Wolf and Quinn and Michaud.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rauner had double digit leads over Dillard in primary and Dillard is very much kin to Quinn and he won by 2. All I am saying, there may be GOP house effect in these polls being a midterm, and IL is one.