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  CT-Vox Populi (R): Gov. Malloy (D) up 1
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Author Topic: CT-Vox Populi (R): Gov. Malloy (D) up 1  (Read 1068 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: July 31, 2014, 11:19:45 am »

35% Malloy (D)
34% Foley (R)
  3% Pelto (I)

The poll has a 4.2 percent margin of error and 443 interviews were conducted on landlines, while 107 were conducted using mobile-based survey technology. All interviews were conducted July 27 and July 28.

http://www.ctnewsjunkie.com/archives/entry/poll_in_three_way_contest_malloy_foley_within_margin_of_error
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henster
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« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2014, 06:45:56 pm »

Junk too many undecideds this far out.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #2 on: August 01, 2014, 12:42:26 pm »

The analysis is fair, but the numbers are a joke.
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #3 on: August 01, 2014, 12:44:41 pm »

The analysis is fair, but the numbers are a joke.

Agreed that this is a joke poll, but coming from someone who thought Foley was going to win and wanted him to win until yesterday, you're going to have to accept that Malloy very well may be up in the next legitimate poll we get. I think Foley's comments were a bigger deal than you're making them out to be.
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NickCT
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« Reply #4 on: August 01, 2014, 12:47:45 pm »

The analysis is fair, but the numbers are a joke.

Agreed that this is a joke poll, but coming from someone who thought Foley was going to win and wanted him to win until yesterday, you're going to have to accept that Malloy very well may be up in the next legitimate poll we get. I think Foley's comments were a bigger deal than you're making them out to be.

I think you're wrong -- they've barely got any coverage outside of this forum.  NYT/CBS has a poll showing Foley up by 9% ... I can't link, but: WFSB.com and then go to Politics
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Free Bird
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« Reply #5 on: August 01, 2014, 12:50:04 pm »

The analysis is fair, but the numbers are a joke.

Agreed that this is a joke poll, but coming from someone who thought Foley was going to win and wanted him to win until yesterday, you're going to have to accept that Malloy very well may be up in the next legitimate poll we get. I think Foley's comments were a bigger deal than you're making them out to be.

I think you're wrong -- they've barely got any coverage outside of this forum.  NYT/CBS has a poll showing Foley up by 9% ... I can't link, but: WFSB.com and then go to Politics

This. It may be a douche thing to say, but it is an obscure thing that only junkies like us would care about. Hell, there's only ONE news story about it. Malloy may take a MoE lead; I never said it would be easy. Ultimately, I still think Foley will squeak by.
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #6 on: August 01, 2014, 12:50:11 pm »

The analysis is fair, but the numbers are a joke.

Agreed that this is a joke poll, but coming from someone who thought Foley was going to win and wanted him to win until yesterday, you're going to have to accept that Malloy very well may be up in the next legitimate poll we get. I think Foley's comments were a bigger deal than you're making them out to be.

I think you're wrong -- they've barely got any coverage outside of this forum.  NYT/CBS has a poll showing Foley up by 9% ... I can't link, but: WFSB.com and then go to Politics

That was from before the press conference. Like I said, I was fully convinced that Foley would win and certainly wanted him to as well. So this isn't bias talking, it's realism. A gaffe like this matters more in a state where the challenger from the minority party is being given a chance by otherwise majority party voters; they need a lot less of a reason to switch back to who they'd instinctually be supporting in the first place.

Trust me, I still hope Foley is able to win, but I'm a lot less optimistic than before. I had it as a toss-up then, and I'm leaving it as a toss-up, but it definitely goes from a tilting R tossup to a tilting D tossup.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #7 on: August 01, 2014, 12:57:21 pm »

The analysis is fair, but the numbers are a joke.

Agreed that this is a joke poll, but coming from someone who thought Foley was going to win and wanted him to win until yesterday, you're going to have to accept that Malloy very well may be up in the next legitimate poll we get. I think Foley's comments were a bigger deal than you're making them out to be.

I think you're wrong -- they've barely got any coverage outside of this forum.  NYT/CBS has a poll showing Foley up by 9% ... I can't link, but: WFSB.com and then go to Politics

That was from before the press conference. Like I said, I was fully convinced that Foley would win and certainly wanted him to as well. So this isn't bias talking, it's realism. A gaffe like this matters more in a state where the challenger from the minority party is being given a chance by otherwise majority party voters; they need a lot less of a reason to switch back to who they'd instinctually be supporting in the first place.

Trust me, I still hope Foley is able to win, but I'm a lot less optimistic than before. I had it as a toss-up then, and I'm leaving it as a toss-up, but it definitely goes from a tilting R tossup to a tilting D tossup.

I think you're retracting your sides a bit too trigger-happily. Foley could very well still win it and is still an alright candidate. An obscure quote is really all it takes to retract an endorsement? In that case, Hillary defending a child molester and joking about it would derail this whole forum.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: August 01, 2014, 12:58:31 pm »

Haha, even before Foley's campaign destroying gaff he was losing.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #9 on: August 01, 2014, 12:59:45 pm »

Haha, even before Foley's campaign destroying gaff he was losing.

Now THIS is bias talking.
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #10 on: August 01, 2014, 01:15:08 pm »

The analysis is fair, but the numbers are a joke.

Agreed that this is a joke poll, but coming from someone who thought Foley was going to win and wanted him to win until yesterday, you're going to have to accept that Malloy very well may be up in the next legitimate poll we get. I think Foley's comments were a bigger deal than you're making them out to be.

I think you're wrong -- they've barely got any coverage outside of this forum.  NYT/CBS has a poll showing Foley up by 9% ... I can't link, but: WFSB.com and then go to Politics

That was from before the press conference. Like I said, I was fully convinced that Foley would win and certainly wanted him to as well. So this isn't bias talking, it's realism. A gaffe like this matters more in a state where the challenger from the minority party is being given a chance by otherwise majority party voters; they need a lot less of a reason to switch back to who they'd instinctually be supporting in the first place.

Trust me, I still hope Foley is able to win, but I'm a lot less optimistic than before. I had it as a toss-up then, and I'm leaving it as a toss-up, but it definitely goes from a tilting R tossup to a tilting D tossup.

I think you're retracting your sides a bit too trigger-happily. Foley could very well still win it and is still an alright candidate. An obscure quote is really all it takes to retract an endorsement? In that case, Hillary defending a child molester and joking about it would derail this whole forum.

See bold. I haven't retracted my endorsement, and I fully acknowledge that he can still win. I'm just saying that it changes things. We'll see how much.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #11 on: August 01, 2014, 01:54:56 pm »

The analysis is fair, but the numbers are a joke.

Agreed that this is a joke poll, but coming from someone who thought Foley was going to win and wanted him to win until yesterday, you're going to have to accept that Malloy very well may be up in the next legitimate poll we get. I think Foley's comments were a bigger deal than you're making them out to be.

I think you're wrong -- they've barely got any coverage outside of this forum.  NYT/CBS has a poll showing Foley up by 9% ... I can't link, but: WFSB.com and then go to Politics

That was from before the press conference. Like I said, I was fully convinced that Foley would win and certainly wanted him to as well. So this isn't bias talking, it's realism. A gaffe like this matters more in a state where the challenger from the minority party is being given a chance by otherwise majority party voters; they need a lot less of a reason to switch back to who they'd instinctually be supporting in the first place.

Trust me, I still hope Foley is able to win, but I'm a lot less optimistic than before. I had it as a toss-up then, and I'm leaving it as a toss-up, but it definitely goes from a tilting R tossup to a tilting D tossup.

I think you're retracting your sides a bit too trigger-happily. Foley could very well still win it and is still an alright candidate. An obscure quote is really all it takes to retract an endorsement? In that case, Hillary defending a child molester and joking about it would derail this whole forum.

See bold. I haven't retracted my endorsement, and I fully acknowledge that he can still win. I'm just saying that it changes things. We'll see how much.

Fair enough. Between you and Gass, at least YOURE being objective
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #12 on: August 06, 2014, 12:38:17 pm »

New Poll: Connecticut Governor by Vox Populi Polling on 2014-07-28

Summary: D: 35%, R: 34%, U: 27%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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