CT-Vox Populi (R): Gov. Malloy (D) up 1

[Free Bird]

The analysis is fair, but the numbers are a joke.

[Free Bird]

The analysis is fair, but the numbers are a joke.

Agreed that this is a joke poll, but coming from someone who thought Foley was going to win and wanted him to win until yesterday, you're going to have to accept that Malloy very well may be up in the next legitimate poll we get. I think Foley's comments were a bigger deal than you're making them out to be.

I think you're wrong -- they've barely got any coverage outside of this forum.  NYT/CBS has a poll showing Foley up by 9% ... I can't link, but: WFSB.com and then go to Politics

This. It may be a douche thing to say, but it is an obscure thing that only junkies like us would care about. Hell, there's only ONE news story about it. Malloy may take a MoE lead; I never said it would be easy. Ultimately, I still think Foley will squeak by.

[Free Bird]

The analysis is fair, but the numbers are a joke.

Agreed that this is a joke poll, but coming from someone who thought Foley was going to win and wanted him to win until yesterday, you're going to have to accept that Malloy very well may be up in the next legitimate poll we get. I think Foley's comments were a bigger deal than you're making them out to be.

I think you're wrong -- they've barely got any coverage outside of this forum.  NYT/CBS has a poll showing Foley up by 9% ... I can't link, but: WFSB.com and then go to Politics

That was from before the press conference. Like I said, I was fully convinced that Foley would win and certainly wanted him to as well. So this isn't bias talking, it's realism. A gaffe like this matters more in a state where the challenger from the minority party is being given a chance by otherwise majority party voters; they need a lot less of a reason to switch back to who they'd instinctually be supporting in the first place.

Trust me, I still hope Foley is able to win, but I'm a lot less optimistic than before. I had it as a toss-up then, and I'm leaving it as a toss-up, but it definitely goes from a tilting R tossup to a tilting D tossup.

I think you're retracting your sides a bit too trigger-happily. Foley could very well still win it and is still an alright candidate. An obscure quote is really all it takes to retract an endorsement? In that case, Hillary defending a child molester and joking about it would derail this whole forum.

[Free Bird]

Haha, even before Foley's campaign destroying gaff he was losing.

Now THIS is bias talking.

[Free Bird]

The analysis is fair, but the numbers are a joke.

Agreed that this is a joke poll, but coming from someone who thought Foley was going to win and wanted him to win until yesterday, you're going to have to accept that Malloy very well may be up in the next legitimate poll we get. I think Foley's comments were a bigger deal than you're making them out to be.

I think you're wrong -- they've barely got any coverage outside of this forum.  NYT/CBS has a poll showing Foley up by 9% ... I can't link, but: WFSB.com and then go to Politics

That was from before the press conference. Like I said, I was fully convinced that Foley would win and certainly wanted him to as well. So this isn't bias talking, it's realism. A gaffe like this matters more in a state where the challenger from the minority party is being given a chance by otherwise majority party voters; they need a lot less of a reason to switch back to who they'd instinctually be supporting in the first place.

Trust me, I still hope Foley is able to win, but I'm a lot less optimistic than before. I had it as a toss-up then, and I'm leaving it as a toss-up, but it definitely goes from a tilting R tossup to a tilting D tossup.

I think you're retracting your sides a bit too trigger-happily. Foley could very well still win it and is still an alright candidate. An obscure quote is really all it takes to retract an endorsement? In that case, Hillary defending a child molester and joking about it would derail this whole forum.

See bold. I haven't retracted my endorsement, and I fully acknowledge that he can still win. I'm just saying that it changes things. We'll see how much.

Fair enough. Between you and Gass, at least YOURE being objective