Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 18, 2019, 01:37:24 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  AR-PPP: Cotton +2 (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: AR-PPP: Cotton +2  (Read 3009 times)
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,222
United States


WWW
« on: August 05, 2014, 02:29:32 pm »

Even though democrats will lose this seat, they still should have one congressional seat after this election and 2 by 2020 because of the third.
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,222
United States


WWW
« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2014, 09:41:57 am »

Even though democrats will lose this seat, they still should have one congressional seat after this election and 2 by 2020 because of the third.

Is French Hill really that bad of a candidate?
No, Pat Hays is that good of a candidate.  He's from a swing part of the district, his name rec is amazing to all of the district, and he is doing much better with voters outside of Pulaski County.  On the other side of that, French is doing better with Pulaski voters.

Something else, Here is what I would expect a democrat to get in a election in 2020.
Img
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,222
United States


WWW
« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2014, 10:41:30 am »

Even though democrats will lose this seat, they still should have one congressional seat after this election and 2 by 2020 because of the third.

In the unlikely event that a white liberal wins a district in Arkansas, redistricting can promptly throw him out in 2 years.
Actually no, by 2022, they won't be able to have all four of the seats, they will have to draw a sink, anyways that will be moot after Benton county starts to become more progressive, which every political consultant in the states says will happen.
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,222
United States


WWW
« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2014, 10:43:02 am »

Even though democrats will lose this seat, they still should have one congressional seat after this election and 2 by 2020 because of the third.

In the unlikely event that a white liberal wins a district in Arkansas, redistricting can promptly throw him out in 2 years.
Actually no, by 2022, they won't be able to have all four of the seats, they will have to draw a sink, anyways that will be moot after Benton county starts to become more progressive, which every political consultant in the states says will happen.
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,222
United States


WWW
« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2014, 11:14:16 am »

Even though democrats will lose this seat, they still should have one congressional seat after this election and 2 by 2020 because of the third.

In the unlikely event that a white liberal wins a district in Arkansas, redistricting can promptly throw him out in 2 years.
Actually no, by 2022, they won't be able to have all four of the seats, they will have to draw a sink, anyways that will be moot after Benton county starts to become more progressive, which every political consultant in the states says will happen.

I think he was talking about about a mid-decade redistricting, assuming Hutchison wins and the legislature stays the same.

Because, ya know, God forbid Arkansans demcoratically elect an awful white liberal. We certainly can't have that!
I don't think Mid decade redistricting isn't allowed in the state.  No matter, any other map would be worse for republicans, so they won't do it.
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,222
United States


WWW
« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2014, 09:30:02 pm »
« Edited: August 07, 2014, 09:35:26 pm by JerryArkansas »

Even though democrats will lose this seat, they still should have one congressional seat after this election and 2 by 2020 because of the third.

In the unlikely event that a white liberal wins a district in Arkansas, redistricting can promptly throw him out in 2 years.
Actually no, by 2022, they won't be able to have all four of the seats, they will have to draw a sink, anyways that will be moot after Benton county starts to become more progressive, which every political consultant in the states says will happen.

Why would Benton be more progressive?  It's one of the most Republican counties in the state.

Is this like NoVA or something?
Yes.  The area in 2012 in low turnout primary election got rid of there ban on alcohol by a 66-34 vote.  Minority's are a factor, but most of it is due to the urbanization of the area and the growing arts scene.  It won't happen for another few election cycles, but it is trending Democratic, Obama skewed it.

Go to this link and go to about 13:45 on the video.  Those guys are the best guys in the state and they explain this much better.
http://youtu.be/b23VoWiI9xs?list=UUSzc0eabet1fw2z73oil0Hg
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines