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  KY-PPP: McConnell +4% (search mode)
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Author Topic: KY-PPP: McConnell +4%  (Read 3547 times)
Landslide Andy
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Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

« on: August 12, 2014, 03:40:38 pm »

It should be noted that PPP has now started to switch to "likely voters":

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Also:

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I just saw them say on Twitter a few weeks ago that they don't switch to likely voters until after Labor Day. Strange.
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Landslide Andy
IceSpear
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Posts: 31,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2014, 05:50:02 pm »

If we couldn't take out McConnell in a strong Dem wave year in 2008, then it is going to be very tough to win against him this year.

2008 wasn't exactly a "Dem wave year" in Kentucky, considering Obama was on the ballot and he did very poorly there. Besides, Grimes is a much better candidate than Lunsford, and McConnell is more unpopular than he was in 2008.
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Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

« Reply #2 on: August 14, 2014, 05:21:46 am »

Grimes will be crushed, of course. The idea that Democrats will pick up Georgia and Kentucky is cute.

How do you define "crushed"? Even if McConnell wins, there's no way in hell it will be by double digits, and I'd be very shocked if it was by more than 5.
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