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Author Topic: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead  (Read 1695 times)
Miles
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« on: August 21, 2014, 10:30:36 am »

Link coming.

Capito (R)- 50%
Tennant (D)- 33%
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2014, 12:03:49 pm »

Tennant has damaged herself significantly. This is Likely R becoming safer by the day.

Rassy should always be taken lightly, but not when its a 17 point margin.
« Last Edit: August 21, 2014, 12:14:24 pm by Maxy »Logged
NHLiberal
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« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2014, 05:10:32 pm »

Tennant has damaged herself significantly.

Really? Other than excessively distancing herself from Obama (which may not be a bad move in WV to be honest), what missteps has she made? I got the impression that while she's still a lock for defeat unless something major changes, she's been running a pretty great campaign.
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Basically with Hillary vs. the GOP field, you're picking between spending the summer living with the shrill aunt who isn't much fun at all or the uncle whose hand always gets a little too close to your privates whenever you're around him.  No matter how much fun he claims you're going to have reforming government together just you and him, the aunt has the edge.
Maxwell
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« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2014, 05:16:08 pm »

Tennant has damaged herself significantly.

Really? Other than excessively distancing herself from Obama (which may not be a bad move in WV to be honest), what missteps has she made? I got the impression that while she's still a lock for defeat unless something major changes, she's been running a pretty great campaign.

Her excessive distancing herself from Obama has hurt her both ways - the Democratic base has no enthusiasm, and the center and right simply don't believe her.
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KCDem
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« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2014, 06:56:43 pm »

Tennant has damaged herself significantly.

Really? Other than excessively distancing herself from Obama (which may not be a bad move in WV to be honest), what missteps has she made? I got the impression that while she's still a lock for defeat unless something major changes, she's been running a pretty great campaign.

Her excessive distancing herself from Obama has hurt her both ways - the Democratic base has no enthusiasm, and the center and right simply don't believe her.

You have absolutely zero evidence of this so, until you provide some, we'll move along.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #5 on: August 21, 2014, 06:57:39 pm »

Don't care. We don't love you Tennant. Broken heart
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: August 21, 2014, 07:24:23 pm »

Tennant has damaged herself significantly.

Really? Other than excessively distancing herself from Obama (which may not be a bad move in WV to be honest), what missteps has she made? I got the impression that while she's still a lock for defeat unless something major changes, she's been running a pretty great campaign.

Her excessive distancing herself from Obama has hurt her both ways - the Democratic base has no enthusiasm, and the center and right simply don't believe her.

You have absolutely zero evidence of this so, until you provide some, we'll move along.

What do you thinks changed? The polling clearly shows that somethings different.
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #7 on: August 21, 2014, 10:13:20 pm »

Tennant has damaged herself significantly.

Really? Other than excessively distancing herself from Obama (which may not be a bad move in WV to be honest), what missteps has she made? I got the impression that while she's still a lock for defeat unless something major changes, she's been running a pretty great campaign.

Her excessive distancing herself from Obama has hurt her both ways - the Democratic base has no enthusiasm, and the center and right simply don't believe her.

You have absolutely zero evidence of this so, until you provide some, we'll move along.

What do you thinks changed? The polling clearly shows that somethings different.

Yeah.  I'd argue that Capito's ads in response to Tennant's pandering were brutally effective.  Plus, when the President has a 25% rating in the state, well, you know..............
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Uhhhh, I don't wanna decide. When we're left, I'm right, and vice-versa. Physics. Bible.

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KCDem
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« Reply #8 on: August 21, 2014, 10:24:27 pm »

Tennant has damaged herself significantly.

Really? Other than excessively distancing herself from Obama (which may not be a bad move in WV to be honest), what missteps has she made? I got the impression that while she's still a lock for defeat unless something major changes, she's been running a pretty great campaign.

Her excessive distancing herself from Obama has hurt her both ways - the Democratic base has no enthusiasm, and the center and right simply don't believe her.

You have absolutely zero evidence of this so, until you provide some, we'll move along.

What do you thinks changed? The polling clearly shows that somethings different.

So you're basically assuming Tennant is damaged because of one poll? Even if this poll were accurate (let's not discuss Rasmussen, but suffice it to say that West Virginia has been under polled), there could be a multitude of explanations for Tennant's troubles. Saying that she's imploding because of her distancing herself from the President is pure speculation on your part.
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Potus
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« Reply #9 on: August 23, 2014, 03:32:16 pm »

Candidate quality matters. Campaigns matter. This poll demonstrates Tennant's low-quality candidate status. It also shows that bizarre attacks on flood insurance and attacking Shelley for campaigning with a guy that won every county don't really ever work.
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« Reply #10 on: August 23, 2014, 03:40:31 pm »

That's devastating. Then again this is Rasmussen so we should be weary.
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Potus
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« Reply #11 on: August 23, 2014, 03:41:38 pm »

That's devastating. Then again this is Rasmussen so we should be weary.

"Weary" doesn't make up a 17 point difference.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #12 on: August 23, 2014, 03:48:04 pm »

That's devastating. Then again this is Rasmussen so we should be weary.

"Weary" doesn't make up a 17 point difference.

Nobody thinks Tennant is winning (or even close to winning), but she's definitely not trailing by 17.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #13 on: August 23, 2014, 04:08:54 pm »

That's devastating. Then again this is Rasmussen so we should be weary.

"Weary" doesn't make up a 17 point difference.

Nobody thinks Tennant is winning (or even close to winning), but she's definitely not trailing by 17.
Actually, being behind by 17 isn't far-fetched at all for a democrat in WV. Even at a 17 point loss, Tennant would still be significantly ahead of Obama's 2012 performance (a 27 point loss).

However, I can still see Tennant matching Obama's 2008 performance (a 13 point loss) or perhaps a point, maybe two, better than that.
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jfern
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« Reply #14 on: August 25, 2014, 02:51:27 am »

Gee, you mean people would rather vote for a real Republican than a Democrat who seems to be a total Republican? Capito will be the first Republican to get elected to the US Senate from WV since 1956.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #15 on: August 25, 2014, 09:28:39 pm »

Gee, you mean people would rather vote for a real Republican than a Democrat who seems to be a total Republican?

Apparently not.

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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #16 on: August 25, 2014, 10:04:17 pm »

Gee, you mean people would rather vote for a real Republican than a Democrat who seems to be a total Republican?

Apparently not.


And as soon as he finally retires from politics, West Virginia will have 2 republican senators. I don't know if the governorship will turn hard red or not, but the senate races will do so.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #17 on: August 25, 2014, 10:25:06 pm »

Gee, you mean people would rather vote for a real Republican than a Democrat who seems to be a total Republican?

Apparently not.


And as soon as he finally retires from politics, West Virginia will have 2 republican senators. I don't know if the governorship will turn hard red or not, but the senate races will do so.

The Governorship will probably do like most newly red states, switch every now, but mostly remain in red hands. So I think the Attorney General Patrick Morrisey will probably win the Governorship when Tomblin is limited.
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