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WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
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Topic: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead (Read 1695 times)
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
Posts: 19,378
WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
on:
August 21, 2014, 10:30:36 am »
Link coming.
Capito (R)- 50%
Tennant (D)- 33%
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Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
Posts: 28,732
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #1 on:
August 21, 2014, 12:03:49 pm »
Tennant has damaged herself significantly. This is Likely R becoming safer by the day.
Rassy should always be taken lightly, but not when its a 17 point margin.
«
Last Edit: August 21, 2014, 12:14:24 pm by Maxy
»
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NHLiberal
YaBB God
Posts: 791
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #2 on:
August 21, 2014, 05:10:32 pm »
Quote from: Maxy on August 21, 2014, 12:03:49 pm
Tennant has damaged herself significantly.
Really? Other than excessively distancing herself from Obama (which may not be a bad move in WV to be honest), what missteps has she made? I got the impression that while she's still a lock for defeat unless something major changes, she's been running a pretty great campaign.
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Quote from: King on July 01, 2014, 11:37:28 pm
Basically with Hillary vs. the GOP field, you're picking between spending the summer living with the shrill aunt who isn't much fun at all or the uncle whose hand always gets a little too close to your privates whenever you're around him. No matter how much fun he claims you're going to have reforming government together just you and him, the aunt has the edge.
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
Posts: 28,732
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #3 on:
August 21, 2014, 05:16:08 pm »
Quote from: NHLiberal on August 21, 2014, 05:10:32 pm
Quote from: Maxy on August 21, 2014, 12:03:49 pm
Tennant has damaged herself significantly.
Really? Other than excessively distancing herself from Obama (which may not be a bad move in WV to be honest), what missteps has she made? I got the impression that while she's still a lock for defeat unless something major changes, she's been running a pretty great campaign.
Her excessive distancing herself from Obama has hurt her both ways - the Democratic base has no enthusiasm, and the center and right simply don't believe her.
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KCDem
YaBB God
Posts: 1,932
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #4 on:
August 21, 2014, 06:56:43 pm »
Quote from: Maxy on August 21, 2014, 05:16:08 pm
Quote from: NHLiberal on August 21, 2014, 05:10:32 pm
Quote from: Maxy on August 21, 2014, 12:03:49 pm
Tennant has damaged herself significantly.
Really? Other than excessively distancing herself from Obama (which may not be a bad move in WV to be honest), what missteps has she made? I got the impression that while she's still a lock for defeat unless something major changes, she's been running a pretty great campaign.
Her excessive distancing herself from Obama has hurt her both ways - the Democratic base has no enthusiasm, and the center and right simply don't believe her.
You have absolutely zero evidence of this so, until you provide some, we'll move along.
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Panda Express
YaBB God
Posts: 2,158
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #5 on:
August 21, 2014, 06:57:39 pm »
Don't care. We don't love you Tennant.
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Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
Posts: 28,732
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #6 on:
August 21, 2014, 07:24:23 pm »
Quote from: KCDem on August 21, 2014, 06:56:43 pm
Quote from: Maxy on August 21, 2014, 05:16:08 pm
Quote from: NHLiberal on August 21, 2014, 05:10:32 pm
Quote from: Maxy on August 21, 2014, 12:03:49 pm
Tennant has damaged herself significantly.
Really? Other than excessively distancing herself from Obama (which may not be a bad move in WV to be honest), what missteps has she made? I got the impression that while she's still a lock for defeat unless something major changes, she's been running a pretty great campaign.
Her excessive distancing herself from Obama has hurt her both ways - the Democratic base has no enthusiasm, and the center and right simply don't believe her.
You have absolutely zero evidence of this so, until you provide some, we'll move along.
What do you thinks changed? The polling clearly shows that somethings different.
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GaussLaw
YaBB God
Posts: 1,292
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #7 on:
August 21, 2014, 10:13:20 pm »
Quote from: Maxy on August 21, 2014, 07:24:23 pm
Quote from: KCDem on August 21, 2014, 06:56:43 pm
Quote from: Maxy on August 21, 2014, 05:16:08 pm
Quote from: NHLiberal on August 21, 2014, 05:10:32 pm
Quote from: Maxy on August 21, 2014, 12:03:49 pm
Tennant has damaged herself significantly.
Really? Other than excessively distancing herself from Obama (which may not be a bad move in WV to be honest), what missteps has she made? I got the impression that while she's still a lock for defeat unless something major changes, she's been running a pretty great campaign.
Her excessive distancing herself from Obama has hurt her both ways - the Democratic base has no enthusiasm, and the center and right simply don't believe her.
You have absolutely zero evidence of this so, until you provide some, we'll move along.
What do you thinks changed? The polling clearly shows that somethings different.
Yeah. I'd argue that Capito's ads in response to Tennant's pandering were brutally effective. Plus, when the President has a 25% rating in the state, well, you know..............
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Quote from: FreedomHawk on October 10, 2014, 09:32:09 pm
Uhhhh, I don't wanna decide. When we're left, I'm right, and vice-versa. Physics. Bible.
PM:
E: 1.52
S: 4.67
KCDem
YaBB God
Posts: 1,932
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #8 on:
August 21, 2014, 10:24:27 pm »
Quote from: Maxy on August 21, 2014, 07:24:23 pm
Quote from: KCDem on August 21, 2014, 06:56:43 pm
Quote from: Maxy on August 21, 2014, 05:16:08 pm
Quote from: NHLiberal on August 21, 2014, 05:10:32 pm
Quote from: Maxy on August 21, 2014, 12:03:49 pm
Tennant has damaged herself significantly.
Really? Other than excessively distancing herself from Obama (which may not be a bad move in WV to be honest), what missteps has she made? I got the impression that while she's still a lock for defeat unless something major changes, she's been running a pretty great campaign.
Her excessive distancing herself from Obama has hurt her both ways - the Democratic base has no enthusiasm, and the center and right simply don't believe her.
You have absolutely zero evidence of this so, until you provide some, we'll move along.
What do you thinks changed? The polling clearly shows that somethings different.
So you're basically assuming Tennant is damaged because of one poll? Even if this poll were accurate (let's not discuss Rasmussen, but suffice it to say that West Virginia has been under polled), there could be a multitude of explanations for Tennant's troubles. Saying that she's imploding because of her distancing herself from the President is pure speculation on your part.
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Potus
Potus2036
YaBB God
Posts: 1,847
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #9 on:
August 23, 2014, 03:32:16 pm »
Candidate quality matters. Campaigns matter. This poll demonstrates Tennant's low-quality candidate status. It also shows that bizarre attacks on flood insurance and attacking Shelley for campaigning with a guy that won every county don't really ever work.
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Former Governor, Senator, Presidential Candidate, and Secretary of State.
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
Posts: 16,140
Political Matrix
E: 7.87, S: -6.96
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #10 on:
August 23, 2014, 03:40:31 pm »
That's devastating. Then again this is Rasmussen so we should be weary.
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Potus
Potus2036
YaBB God
Posts: 1,847
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #11 on:
August 23, 2014, 03:41:38 pm »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on August 23, 2014, 03:40:31 pm
That's devastating. Then again this is Rasmussen so we should be weary.
"Weary" doesn't make up a 17 point difference.
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Former Governor, Senator, Presidential Candidate, and Secretary of State.
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
Posts: 30,565
Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #12 on:
August 23, 2014, 03:48:04 pm »
Quote from: Keaton on August 23, 2014, 03:41:38 pm
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on August 23, 2014, 03:40:31 pm
That's devastating. Then again this is Rasmussen so we should be weary.
"Weary" doesn't make up a 17 point difference.
Nobody thinks Tennant is winning (or even close to winning), but she's definitely not trailing by 17.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
Posts: 20,462
Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #13 on:
August 23, 2014, 04:08:54 pm »
Quote from: IceSpear on August 23, 2014, 03:48:04 pm
Quote from: Keaton on August 23, 2014, 03:41:38 pm
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on August 23, 2014, 03:40:31 pm
That's devastating. Then again this is Rasmussen so we should be weary.
"Weary" doesn't make up a 17 point difference.
Nobody thinks Tennant is winning (or even close to winning), but she's definitely not trailing by 17.
Actually, being behind by 17 isn't far-fetched at all for a democrat in WV. Even at a 17 point loss, Tennant would still be
significantly ahead
of Obama's 2012 performance (a 27 point loss).
However, I can still see Tennant matching Obama's 2008 performance (a 13 point loss) or perhaps a point, maybe two, better than that.
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#FreeGreedoToday
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
YaBB God
Posts: 44,993
Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #14 on:
August 25, 2014, 02:51:27 am »
Gee, you mean people would rather vote for a real Republican than a Democrat who seems to be a total Republican? Capito will be the first Republican to get elected to the US Senate from WV since 1956.
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Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
Posts: 30,565
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E: -4.65, S: -5.70
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #15 on:
August 25, 2014, 09:28:39 pm »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on August 25, 2014, 02:51:27 am
Gee, you mean people would rather vote for a real Republican than a Democrat who seems to be a total Republican?
Apparently not.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
Posts: 20,462
Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #16 on:
August 25, 2014, 10:04:17 pm »
Quote from: IceSpear on August 25, 2014, 09:28:39 pm
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on August 25, 2014, 02:51:27 am
Gee, you mean people would rather vote for a real Republican than a Democrat who seems to be a total Republican?
Apparently not.
And as soon as he finally retires from politics, West Virginia will have 2 republican senators. I don't know if the governorship will turn hard red or not, but the senate races will do so.
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2020 House Rating - Toss-Up
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
Posts: 28,732
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
Re: WV: Rasmussen: Capito far ahead
«
Reply #17 on:
August 25, 2014, 10:25:06 pm »
Quote from: Wulfric on August 25, 2014, 10:04:17 pm
Quote from: IceSpear on August 25, 2014, 09:28:39 pm
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on August 25, 2014, 02:51:27 am
Gee, you mean people would rather vote for a real Republican than a Democrat who seems to be a total Republican?
Apparently not.
And as soon as he finally retires from politics, West Virginia will have 2 republican senators. I don't know if the governorship will turn hard red or not, but the senate races will do so.
The Governorship will probably do like most newly red states, switch every now, but mostly remain in red hands. So I think the Attorney General Patrick Morrisey will probably win the Governorship when Tomblin is limited.
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