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  WI-Marquette Law School: Walker leads among RV, Burke leads among LV
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Author Topic: WI-Marquette Law School: Walker leads among RV, Burke leads among LV  (Read 2187 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: August 27, 2014, 12:21:59 pm »

RV:

47.5% Walker (R)
44.1% Burke (D)

LV:

48.6% Burke (D)
46.5% Walker (R)

In new MU Law Poll, 815 registered voters interviewed by landline and cell phone, with margin of error of +/- 3.5 points.

Sample included 609 likely voters, with margin of error of +/- 4.1 points.

Polling was done from Aug. 21 to 24.

https://twitter.com/MULawPoll
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2014, 12:26:10 pm »

Time for BurkeCare !
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #2 on: August 27, 2014, 12:28:14 pm »

Burke leads in the Gold Standard Marquette Law Poll. Dominating!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3 on: August 27, 2014, 12:35:10 pm »

Not that it matters (because WI will remain a toss-up for the next months), but which result should be entered to the database ?

Historically, if a pollster releases both RV and LV polls, I think the standard has been to only enter RV polls until Labor Day and after that the LV polls.

So ... ?

(maybe I need Dave's opinion on this again)
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xavier110
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« Reply #4 on: August 27, 2014, 12:38:51 pm »

Why the RV/LV split? I would expect the reverse
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: August 27, 2014, 12:44:26 pm »

It appears the Burke base is more fired up than the Walker base.
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Miles
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« Reply #6 on: August 27, 2014, 01:45:33 pm »

It appears the Burke base is more fired up than the Walker base.

Voters who recognize Burke are more likely support her: 35% of RVs have no opinion of her, down to 26% for LVs.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: August 27, 2014, 02:30:30 pm »

In the AG Race:

RV: Happ (D) 40% Schimel (R) 33%
LV: Happ (D) 42%  Schimel (R) 32%

Dominating!
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #8 on: August 27, 2014, 02:38:00 pm »

Excellent news!
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #9 on: August 27, 2014, 04:08:50 pm »

Not that it matters (because WI will remain a toss-up for the next months), but which result should be entered to the database ?

Historically, if a pollster releases both RV and LV polls, I think the standard has been to only enter RV polls until Labor Day and after that the LV polls.

So ... ?

(maybe I need Dave's opinion on this again)

Isn't likely voters usually better?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #10 on: August 27, 2014, 04:24:12 pm »

Oh no. Walker down.

Well, there's still time. Walker can bomb the airwaves.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #11 on: August 27, 2014, 04:26:44 pm »



Lean R!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: August 27, 2014, 05:29:49 pm »

Please let us be done with this guy. Finally.
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Andrew1
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« Reply #13 on: August 27, 2014, 05:30:52 pm »

That must be the biggest enthusiasm gap ever seen, in favour of a Democrat
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TJ in Oregon
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« Reply #14 on: August 27, 2014, 08:26:10 pm »

Clearly the problem here is access to the polls. If we only expanded early voting to 34 days before the election so we aren't like those horrible Jim Crow advocates in Ohio who want to cut early voting down to 30 days. Tongue
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TJ in Oregon
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« Reply #15 on: August 27, 2014, 08:27:16 pm »

But in all seriousness, this is a really interesting result: not only does Burke do better among likely voters, it's a six point margin. That's a lot.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #16 on: August 28, 2014, 09:19:48 am »

Oh no. Walker down.

Well, there's still time. Walker can bomb the airwaves.

If Walker bombs (bad as he is, he so far is no terrorist) it will be like a boring drama or an un-funny comedy on Broadway. He has legal problems, and he has no upside on popularity.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #17 on: September 17, 2014, 08:14:19 am »

In 4 hours, a new one will be out:

https://twitter.com/MULawPoll
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mypalfish
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« Reply #18 on: September 17, 2014, 08:15:57 am »

I was polled by Rasmussen on Monday night for the WI Gov race, so that will probably be out Thurs or Fri.  Should be a good sense where the race is soon.
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pendragon
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« Reply #19 on: September 17, 2014, 09:46:54 am »

That must be the biggest enthusiasm gap ever seen, in favour of a Democrat

That would probably be one of FDR's elections in South Carolina.
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mypalfish
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« Reply #20 on: September 17, 2014, 10:05:01 am »

Rumor is Rasmussen will show Walker ahead 48-46.
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