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  IA: Suffolk: Ernst, Braley tied
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Author Topic: IA: Suffolk: Ernst, Braley tied  (Read 1203 times)
Miles
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« on: August 27, 2014, 01:05:11 pm »

Article.

Braley (D)- 40.2%
Ernst (R)- 40%

Ernst is winning Indies 39/36.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2014, 01:07:49 pm »

That close race in Iowa!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: August 27, 2014, 01:18:26 pm »

Not that this poll shows anything different from what we've been seeing, but decimals.
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Miles
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« Reply #3 on: August 27, 2014, 01:20:18 pm »

The best thing for Ernst is that undecideds skew older and are less likely to approve of Obama.
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Nathan
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« Reply #4 on: August 27, 2014, 01:51:43 pm »

The best thing for Ernst is that undecideds skew older and are less likely to approve of Obama.

This is the opposite of what the PPP poll showed, isn't it?
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Free Bird
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« Reply #5 on: August 27, 2014, 01:54:17 pm »

The indies are gonna be the deciders in this one
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marty
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« Reply #6 on: August 27, 2014, 01:58:26 pm »

Is this more a result of Ernst being able to connect to the Iowa population, or Braley being a moron on the campaign trail?
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Miles
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« Reply #7 on: August 27, 2014, 01:58:56 pm »

The best thing for Ernst is that undecideds skew older and are less likely to approve of Obama.

This is the opposite of what the PPP poll showed, isn't it?

Yeah, the PPP poll has undecideds tilting towards Obama. They have 14% of Obama's voters undecided, only 11% for Romney voters.
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SWE
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« Reply #8 on: August 27, 2014, 01:59:57 pm »

Is this more a result of Ernst being able to connect to the Iowa population, or Braley being a moron on the campaign trail?

Definitely the latter
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Vega
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« Reply #9 on: August 27, 2014, 03:09:17 pm »

Once a toss-up, still a toss-up.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: August 27, 2014, 04:45:56 pm »

Img


Is this the closest race in the country at the moment?
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Vega
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« Reply #11 on: August 27, 2014, 04:47:40 pm »

Is this the closest race in the country at the moment?

I believe so.

Who would have thought a year ago it would be so close. 
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #12 on: August 27, 2014, 07:09:08 pm »

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Is this the closest race in the country at the moment?

Wow.  IA-SEN is the definition of a tossup.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #13 on: August 27, 2014, 07:10:18 pm »

braley you suck
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KCDem
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« Reply #14 on: August 27, 2014, 07:29:06 pm »


Is this the closest race in the country at the moment?

Not for long.
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Miles
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« Reply #15 on: August 27, 2014, 08:04:42 pm »


Is this the closest race in the country at the moment?

Not for long.

Yeah, hopefully those undecideds don't start breaking for Ernst and put her clearly ahead.
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KCDem
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« Reply #16 on: August 27, 2014, 08:16:59 pm »


Is this the closest race in the country at the moment?

Not for long.

Yeah, hopefully those undecideds don't start breaking for Ernst and put her clearly ahead.

I think I trust the undecided breakdown from PPP as being Dem-leaning. They will break for Braley. Suffolk is the same pollster that stopped polling Florida and Virginia in 2012, because they were "safe Romney"...yeah...it's those guys...
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Never
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« Reply #17 on: August 27, 2014, 10:13:45 pm »

Img


Is this the closest race in the country at the moment?

Wow.  IA-SEN is the definition of a tossup.

To think if it weren't for YouGov, the RCP average of this race would be completely tied. That's not something we see too often with polling averages.
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