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  PA-F&M: Wolf leads Corbett by more than 2:1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-F&M: Wolf leads Corbett by more than 2:1  (Read 2810 times)
Keystone Phil
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« on: August 28, 2014, 04:09:32 pm »


That's standard for F&M polls.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2014, 05:30:51 pm »


This state is still very old fashioned. There's a lot of respect for the establishment and the Governor is truly seen as the head of his respective party. Plus, the Governor's office here is historically strong so a Governor wields incredible influence.

There was plenty of talk about a Corbett primary challenge and an old rival of his was "considering" it. No surprise when it didn't materialize though.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2014, 05:54:24 pm »


This state is still very old fashioned. There's a lot of respect for the establishment and the Governor is truly seen as the head of his respective party. Plus, the Governor's office here is historically strong so a Governor wields incredible influence.

There was plenty of talk about a Corbett primary challenge and an old rival of his was "considering" it. No surprise when it didn't materialize though.

Gerlach, right?

Bruce Castor

Gerlach was talked up but he isn't a historical Corbett rival.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2014, 07:12:13 pm »

Oh yeah, him.

What do you think it would've been like if it was Wolf v. Castor?

Wolf would be leading by 10 points instead of 20.

Um. No. It would probably be a very close race. Castor has appeal in the SE and a lot of conservatives upset with Corbett would have "come home" a lot quicker for Castor (even though he's not some right wing firebrand, he's been a vocal critic of the establishment enemies of the grassroots).
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #4 on: August 29, 2014, 04:06:10 pm »


What Phil said, but to add to that, even though Corbett was/is extremely unpopular with the overall electorate, he still would've been the favorite to crack 50%+1 in his own party's primary.

His ratings amongst Republicans have been weak for awhile. Polls showed something like 45% of Republicans believed he deserved a second term while 40% said he didn't. He might have been the favorite for reasons I mentioned but immense popularity amongst GOP voters isn't one of those reasons.
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