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Author Topic: PA-BehaviorMatrix (R-Corbett): Wolf by 7  (Read 857 times)
Mayor Steve Pearce
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« on: August 30, 2014, 01:08:12 pm »

http://www.politicspa.com/pa-gov-internal-memo-corbett-down-7-points/60034/

Not sure where to put this (closer to an election model than a model) but I'll put it here. No specific numbers. Here's his projected map (with county numbers):

Img


Needless to say if Corbett's own simulation of the election is him down 7, the PAGOP needs to work on saving their legislative majorities.
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Snek!
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #1 on: August 30, 2014, 01:19:32 pm »

I am inclined to say that it will be similar to Santorum v. Casey if 2006 was neutral  instead of D+4. So... 56-43?
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Mayor Steve Pearce
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« Reply #2 on: August 30, 2014, 02:04:34 pm »

^Sounds about right.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: August 30, 2014, 06:50:50 pm »

lol
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