Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 16, 2019, 04:34:31 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: New features added! Click here for more information. Click here to configure new features.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
| | | | |-+  AR: Rasmussen: Ross (D) takes the lead
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: AR: Rasmussen: Ross (D) takes the lead  (Read 1224 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,936
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 28, 2014, 12:15:25 pm »

New Poll: Arkansas Governor by Rasmussen on 2014-08-26

Summary: D: 46%, R: 44%, I: 3%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,936
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2014, 12:16:10 pm »

Good, if true ...
Logged
backtored
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 503
Vatican City State


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2014, 12:17:41 pm »

Baloney.
Logged
Khristie Kreme Donuts
interstate73
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 634


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2014, 12:18:51 pm »

lolras, but not surprising given their Senate results yesterday
Logged

Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,936
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2014, 12:20:00 pm »

There's some chance that the Gov. map could soon be "R-pickup-free", assuming someone would poll Hawaii and some further Quinn-mentum in IL.
Logged
Negusa Nagast 🚀
Nagas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,792
United States



View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2014, 12:23:48 pm »

SUSA or Quinnipac please.
Logged

Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,936
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 28, 2014, 12:27:50 pm »

SUSA or Quinnipac please.

Quinnipiac does not poll Arkansas.

SUSA has only polled the state in the past, but seems to have stopped because the news media has no cash left after the financial meltdown in 2007/08.
Logged
King Francis I
windjammer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,636
France


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 28, 2014, 12:32:41 pm »

This can't be true Tender Branson, this is Rasmussen Sad.
Logged

Quote
Flo   it seems like everytime i talk to you i have some sort of illness
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US state senates
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,425
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 28, 2014, 12:32:41 pm »

Well, this week Rasmussen decides to be a dem-biased pollster..
Logged

Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,378
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 28, 2014, 12:36:46 pm »

Good, if true ...

And so no one gets upset:

>Rasmussen
Logged


Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 28, 2014, 04:08:55 pm »

I told you guys the Dem wave is building. Maybe next time you'll listen.
Logged

fuck nazis
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,425
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 28, 2014, 04:18:42 pm »

I told you guys the Dem wave is building. Maybe next time you'll listen.
Rasmussen is both a dem biased pollster and a rep biased pollster, frequently switching between the two at random intervals. It is definitely not something to treat like a perfect crystal ball.

Secondly, if there's a really a democratic gubernatorial wave, then we'd expect incumbents such as Nikki Haley, Susana Martinez, and Terry Branstad to be in more trouble. We'd expect Walker and Snyder to be in Lean D races. We'd expect people such as Coakley and Hickenlooper to be close to safe, and we'd expect people like Malloy and Crist to be in far better shape. In order for a wave to occur, you need a strong uniform effect across the country, not just a desirable effect in a few select races.
Logged

Never
Never Convinced
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,637
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 28, 2014, 04:20:55 pm »

I told you guys the Dem wave is building. Maybe next time you'll listen.
Rasmussen is both a dem biased pollster and a rep biased pollster, frequently switching between the two at random intervals. It is definitely not something to treat like a perfect crystal ball.

Secondly, if there's a really a democratic gubernatorial wave, then we'd expect incumbents such as Nikki Haley, Susana Martinez, and Terry Branstad to be in more trouble. We'd expect Walker and Snyder to be in Lean D races. We'd expect people such as Coakley and Hickenlooper to be close to safe, and we'd expect people like Malloy and Crist to be in far better shape. In order for a wave to occur, you need a strong uniform effect across the country, not just a desirable effect in a few select races.
Logged
Invisible Obama
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,754
United States



View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 28, 2014, 04:26:24 pm »

I told you guys the Dem wave is building. Maybe next time you'll listen.

No, they won't, they'll just blather on about big Republican wins once again. If they didn't listen after 2012, they won't listen now or any other time.
Logged

LOCK TRUMP UP!
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,021
Latvia


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 28, 2014, 04:26:51 pm »

I told you guys the Dem wave is building. Maybe next time you'll listen.
Rasmussen is both a dem biased pollster and a rep biased pollster, frequently switching between the two at random intervals. It is definitely not something to treat like a perfect crystal ball.

Secondly, if there's a really a democratic gubernatorial wave, then we'd expect incumbents such as Nikki Haley, Susana Martinez, and Terry Branstad to be in more trouble. We'd expect Walker and Snyder to be in Lean D races. We'd expect people such as Coakley and Hickenlooper to be close to safe, and we'd expect people like Malloy and Crist to be in far better shape. In order for a wave to occur, you need a strong uniform effect across the country, not just a desirable effect in a few select races.

That is not bias which you are referring to. Rasmussen is still a GOP-biased firm, its just than on occasion its imprecision exceeds its inaccuracy, as with this Arkansas poll.
Logged

Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,732
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 28, 2014, 04:28:40 pm »

this is unfortunate. I would like all blue dogs to be eliminated, but it looks like Hutchison is having a tough time changing the tide.
Logged
King Francis I
windjammer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,636
France


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 28, 2014, 04:33:11 pm »

this is unfortunate. I would like all blue dogs to be eliminated, but it looks like Hutchison is having a tough time changing the tide.

You want all the blue dogs to be eliminated, and you will vote for Dorman? Tongue
Logged

Quote
Flo   it seems like everytime i talk to you i have some sort of illness
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US state senates
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,732
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 28, 2014, 04:40:53 pm »

this is unfortunate. I would like all blue dogs to be eliminated, but it looks like Hutchison is having a tough time changing the tide.

You want all the blue dogs to be eliminated, and you will vote for Dorman? Tongue

It's an admitted bit of hypocrisy, but in Oklahoma I feel like holding Republicans accountable, since there is such a large majority Republicans now here.
Logged
backtored
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 503
Vatican City State


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 28, 2014, 04:58:56 pm »

I told you guys the Dem wave is building. Maybe next time you'll listen.
Rasmussen is both a dem biased pollster and a rep biased pollster, frequently switching between the two at random intervals. It is definitely not something to treat like a perfect crystal ball.

Secondly, if there's a really a democratic gubernatorial wave, then we'd expect incumbents such as Nikki Haley, Susana Martinez, and Terry Branstad to be in more trouble. We'd expect Walker and Snyder to be in Lean D races. We'd expect people such as Coakley and Hickenlooper to be close to safe, and we'd expect people like Malloy and Crist to be in far better shape. In order for a wave to occur, you need a strong uniform effect across the country, not just a desirable effect in a few select races.

This is correct, in my opinion.  But I’ll amend it just a bit by pointing out the fact that Walker and Snyder may indeed find themselves in D-leaning races now.  But that has more to do with localized influences and less to do with the national environment.  It is why I could see, for example, Tillis losing in North Carolina and the GOP still winning the Senate, or Hickenlooper losing even in a non-wave election.  In Colorado, North Carolina, Michigan, and Wisconsin—and Kansas, too--a lot has happened over the last couple of years that creates a whole new political environment that is almost insulated from the national one.

The catch, though, is that it isn’t completely insulated.  A moderate GOP wave will probably save the seats of Walker and Snyder.  I tend to think that this will be a stronger than expected GOP year, and I think that over the next several weeks a lot of truly wild things will happen in the gubernatorial races.  The Senate races are pretty much set—will IA, CO, NC, and AK continue drifting to the right; will Pryor keep it close in AR; will GA and LA stay competitive?  But there are probably at least ten gubernatorial races—at minimum a whopping 20% of the country—that could truly go in either direction right now.

Given the fact that a divided Washington has made governors even more important in terms of the policy direction of the country, the GOP could actually win the Senate this year and still have an absolutely terrible year by losing key governorships in the Midwest and failing to make key pick-ups.
Logged
olowakandi
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22,978
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 28, 2014, 05:18:25 pm »

This is Hutchinson that lost to Mike Beebe in 2006 as well.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,136
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.87, S: -6.96

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 28, 2014, 05:25:21 pm »

This is Hutchinson that lost to Mike Beebe in 2006 as well.

Key word
Logged
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,556
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 28, 2014, 09:22:54 pm »

This is Hutchinson that lost to Mike Beebe in 2006 as well.

Key word
"words" actually. Wink
Logged

In America, it's easier to con somebody than to convince them they've been conned.-- Mark Twain.
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines