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  WV-R. L. Repass & Partners/Charleston Daily Mail: Tennant = done
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Author Topic: WV-R. L. Repass & Partners/Charleston Daily Mail: Tennant = done  (Read 2628 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: August 29, 2014, 01:31:09 am »

The "West Virginia Poll" for the Charleston Daily Mail:

54% Capito (R)
37% Tennant (D)
  9% Undecided

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R. L. Repass & Partners conducts the West Virginia Poll for the Charleston Daily Mail. The firm polled 401 likely voters Aug. 15-23. The company compiled responses from residents in all 55 counties using opt-in Internet surveys, landline telephone calls and cellphone calls. The margin of error is 4.9 percent.

http://www.charlestondailymail.com/article/20140829/DM01/140829209/1276
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2014, 07:09:21 am »

Joke poll but I expect PPP would find something similar, perhaps bigger. Also, congrats Keaton.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2014, 11:26:16 am »

Joke poll but I expect PPP would find something similar, perhaps bigger. Also, congrats Keaton.

PPP is pretty terrible in WV actually. Check their record there, like a lot of polls in WV recently, they vastly underestimate Republican support. PPP is good in a lot of states, West Virginia is not one of them.
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« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2014, 11:53:56 am »

Right to work will come to West Virginia soon and Capito will be highly supportive of it, bank on it.
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KCDem
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« Reply #4 on: August 29, 2014, 05:42:04 pm »

This polling company has an awful record. I await a real poll.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #5 on: August 29, 2014, 05:44:07 pm »

Right to work will come to West Virginia soon and Capito will be highly supportive of it, bank on it.

If the GOP wants to lose West Virginia, that's their problem.
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Potus
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« Reply #6 on: August 29, 2014, 06:18:51 pm »

Identical margin to the Rassy poll not too long ago. Congresswoman Capito is an excellent campaigner, excellent candidate, and she will be an excellent Senator. Natalie Tennant deserves the shellacking.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #7 on: August 30, 2014, 07:27:48 pm »

This polling company has an awful record. I await a real poll.

Because it's a poll you don't like
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KCDem
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« Reply #8 on: August 30, 2014, 08:12:21 pm »

This polling company has an awful record. I await a real poll.

Because it's a poll you don't like

No, it's because this company has a terrible record. I invite you to look them up rather than needlessly picking a fight with me.
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Vega
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« Reply #9 on: August 30, 2014, 08:17:37 pm »

I've actually never heard of these people.
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« Reply #10 on: August 31, 2014, 12:48:32 am »

Yeah. Capito is a good fit. She's going to win.
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Potus
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« Reply #11 on: August 31, 2014, 03:49:07 pm »

I've actually never heard of these people.

It is the West Virginia Poll. It's the only poll that regularly polls West Virginia. The Daily Mail and the Gazette pay for it so they have something to write about.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #12 on: August 31, 2014, 04:21:13 pm »

GOP women like Capito or Ayotte or Haley will win.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #13 on: September 01, 2014, 01:20:11 am »

What has caused her collapse? It actually seemed like she was closing the gap or at the worst treading water before, now she's getting crushed? Is it really because of the Obama comments? Considering he has like a 20% approval rating in WV, I'd be shocked if that were the reason.
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Potus
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« Reply #14 on: September 01, 2014, 01:42:41 pm »

What has caused her collapse? It actually seemed like she was closing the gap or at the worst treading water before, now she's getting crushed? Is it really because of the Obama comments? Considering he has like a 20% approval rating in WV, I'd be shocked if that were the reason.

Natalie has made a very, very bizarre series of tactical decisions. She keeps trying to assert her independence from Washington and from the President, but then Governor Romney, who is beloved in West Virginia, comes to campaign for Shelley.

Romney himself pushed the race in the GOP's direction. However, the Republican gains in the race were even larger when Natalie began attacking Romney using the same attacks Obama did 2 years ago. The week before, the week of, and the week after the Romney visit were dominated by Tennant attacking Romney for being "Wall Street" and tying Capito to Romney.

It is a bizarrely stupid decision. As a general rule, don't tie your opponent to an adored public figure that won every county in your state. I think that is sort of a revelation Tennant's liberal elitism. Her team figured that most people voting for Romney weren't actually voting for Romney, but against Obama.

That just isn't true. On top of Tennant's continued ineptitude as a candidate, her stupid handling of the Romney visit, County Clerks across the state have spoken up a little at the local level. Tennant is an absolute disaster as Secretary of State. People are mentioning it now.

Tennant is just an awful candidate running an awful campaign.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #15 on: September 01, 2014, 01:46:08 pm »

The real 60 trillion dollar question is: Why would Romney be so popular in West Virginia when he's hated everywhere else (including states he actually won)?
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Badger
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« Reply #16 on: September 02, 2014, 06:08:20 pm »

What has caused her collapse? It actually seemed like she was closing the gap or at the worst treading water before, now she's getting crushed? Is it really because of the Obama comments? Considering he has like a 20% approval rating in WV, I'd be shocked if that were the reason.

Natalie has made a very, very bizarre series of tactical decisions. She keeps trying to assert her independence from Washington and from the President, but then Governor Romney, who is beloved in West Virginia, comes to campaign for Shelley.

Romney himself pushed the race in the GOP's direction. However, the Republican gains in the race were even larger when Natalie began attacking Romney using the same attacks Obama did 2 years ago. The week before, the week of, and the week after the Romney visit were dominated by Tennant attacking Romney for being "Wall Street" and tying Capito to Romney.

It is a bizarrely stupid decision. As a general rule, don't tie your opponent to an adored public figure that won every county in your state. I think that is sort of a revelation Tennant's liberal elitism. Her team figured that most people voting for Romney weren't actually voting for Romney, but against Obama.

That just isn't true. On top of Tennant's continued ineptitude as a candidate, her stupid handling of the Romney visit, County Clerks across the state have spoken up a little at the local level. Tennant is an absolute disaster as Secretary of State. People are mentioning it now.

Tennant is just an awful candidate running an awful campaign.

You're the local, but I have a hard time seeing Romney as "beloved" there so much as Obama is despised.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #17 on: September 02, 2014, 06:42:21 pm »

What has caused her collapse? It actually seemed like she was closing the gap or at the worst treading water before, now she's getting crushed? Is it really because of the Obama comments? Considering he has like a 20% approval rating in WV, I'd be shocked if that were the reason.

Natalie has made a very, very bizarre series of tactical decisions. She keeps trying to assert her independence from Washington and from the President, but then Governor Romney, who is beloved in West Virginia, comes to campaign for Shelley.

Romney himself pushed the race in the GOP's direction. However, the Republican gains in the race were even larger when Natalie began attacking Romney using the same attacks Obama did 2 years ago. The week before, the week of, and the week after the Romney visit were dominated by Tennant attacking Romney for being "Wall Street" and tying Capito to Romney.

It is a bizarrely stupid decision. As a general rule, don't tie your opponent to an adored public figure that won every county in your state. I think that is sort of a revelation Tennant's liberal elitism. Her team figured that most people voting for Romney weren't actually voting for Romney, but against Obama.

That just isn't true. On top of Tennant's continued ineptitude as a candidate, her stupid handling of the Romney visit, County Clerks across the state have spoken up a little at the local level. Tennant is an absolute disaster as Secretary of State. People are mentioning it now.

Tennant is just an awful candidate running an awful campaign.

You're the local, but I have a hard time seeing Romney as "beloved" there so much as Obama is despised.

Yeah, WV strikes me as the ultimate "voting against Obama, not for Romney" state. The socially conservative and economically populist state liking an etch a sketch businessman that likes being able to fire people and tends to downplay social issues? Seems a bit odd. I'd like to see Riley elaborate on this.
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« Reply #18 on: September 02, 2014, 06:53:05 pm »

Yeah, I'd guess there aren't many social moderates like Riley in the WVGOP.
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Suburban Cincinnati Soccer Moms for Beshear
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« Reply #19 on: September 02, 2014, 07:00:27 pm »

Yea , I can't see WV being too thrilled with a flip flopping Massachusetts Mormon moderate.
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KCDem
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« Reply #20 on: September 02, 2014, 07:03:08 pm »

What has caused her collapse? It actually seemed like she was closing the gap or at the worst treading water before, now she's getting crushed? Is it really because of the Obama comments? Considering he has like a 20% approval rating in WV, I'd be shocked if that were the reason.

Natalie has made a very, very bizarre series of tactical decisions. She keeps trying to assert her independence from Washington and from the President, but then Governor Romney, who is beloved in West Virginia, comes to campaign for Shelley.

Romney himself pushed the race in the GOP's direction. However, the Republican gains in the race were even larger when Natalie began attacking Romney using the same attacks Obama did 2 years ago. The week before, the week of, and the week after the Romney visit were dominated by Tennant attacking Romney for being "Wall Street" and tying Capito to Romney.

It is a bizarrely stupid decision. As a general rule, don't tie your opponent to an adored public figure that won every county in your state. I think that is sort of a revelation Tennant's liberal elitism. Her team figured that most people voting for Romney weren't actually voting for Romney, but against Obama.

That just isn't true. On top of Tennant's continued ineptitude as a candidate, her stupid handling of the Romney visit, County Clerks across the state have spoken up a little at the local level. Tennant is an absolute disaster as Secretary of State. People are mentioning it now.

Tennant is just an awful candidate running an awful campaign.

You're the local, but I have a hard time seeing Romney as "beloved" there so much as Obama is despised.

Don't let the local schtick fool you. Keaton has no idea what he is talking about.
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Potus
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« Reply #21 on: September 02, 2014, 08:10:05 pm »

Look, I didn't believe it until I saw it. I figured the Mormon from Massachusetts wouldn't be very popular. But it turns out not to be true. He's very well liked in the state. The coalfields, of all places, think he's the greatest because he nearly took on Obama. That legitimately like him. At the Capito rally, the crowd chanted for him. The room boomed. I walked with a group of Capito staff alongside him as he made his way to the door. Dozens of people want him to run again.
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #22 on: September 02, 2014, 08:32:14 pm »

Look, I didn't believe it until I saw it. I figured the Mormon from Massachusetts wouldn't be very popular. But it turns out not to be true. He's very well liked in the state. The coalfields, of all places, think he's the greatest because he nearly took on Obama. That legitimately like him. At the Capito rally, the crowd chanted for him. The room boomed. I walked with a group of Capito staff alongside him as he made his way to the door. Dozens of people want him to run again.

...Literally. That's all. Smiley
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« Reply #23 on: September 02, 2014, 08:47:55 pm »

I really have a hard time believing that Romney is that well-liked. Most of the votes he got were because he was not Obama, except maybe in Utah.

And anecdotal evidence is usually not all that true.
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Potus
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« Reply #24 on: September 02, 2014, 09:14:09 pm »

Look, I didn't believe it until I saw it. I figured the Mormon from Massachusetts wouldn't be very popular. But it turns out not to be true. He's very well liked in the state. The coalfields, of all places, think he's the greatest because he nearly took on Obama. That legitimately like him. At the Capito rally, the crowd chanted for him. The room boomed. I walked with a group of Capito staff alongside him as he made his way to the door. Dozens of people want him to run again.

...Literally. That's all. Smiley

He was walking straight to the door. Talked to maybe 50 people and over half asked him to run again.

The state party has data to support it, nothing I have my hands on. They've said he's well liked before but I didn't understand until I got the anecdotal stuff
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