Wolf: 55.5%
Corbett: 24.7%
Undecided: 19.8%
(With Leaners: 60.3-26.8)
http://www.rmu.edu/cmp-media/docs/Poll/august2014fullreport-2.pdfThe sample is D+13, when I'd expect it to be more like D+9 on election day(PA pure registration is D+11, subtract a couple points or so to account for democratic midterm turnout disadvantage), but this is nevertheless terrible news for the Corbett Camp, as this is the first poll - EVER - to show a 30 point Wolf lead.
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Other notes:
- A visit by Obama would hurt Wolf:
"Importantly, over one quarter of all Tom Wolf Independent supporters, 28.8%,
would be less likely to support him if President Barack Obama supported or
campaigned for him. A smaller percent, 19.2%, indicated they would be less
likely to support Tom Wolf if Hillary Clinton was to support or campaign for
him."
- Common Core Approval: 65.5-27.3
- Those who have an opinion of Employee Unions narrowly disapprove of them: 33.6-32.8
- Approval of Right-To-Work Laws (after being reminded (by the pollster) that such laws prevent workers from having to join unions or pay union dues): 64.2-18.9
