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Author Topic: SD: PPP: Rounds lead at six in poll for Weiland  (Read 1670 times)
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realisticidealist
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« on: August 29, 2014, 02:19:55 pm »

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/08/weiland-continues-to-chip-away-at-rounds-lead-in-south-dakota.html

Rounds (R) 39
Weiland (D) 33
Pressler (I) 17
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Citizen (The) Doctor
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« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2014, 02:25:34 pm »

If somehow, Kansas and SD manage to tip and save the Dem majority, this would become the most hilarious cycle in modern history.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2014, 02:32:37 pm »

Looks like Weiland hasn't been ad bombed yet.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2014, 02:34:12 pm »

Looks like Weiland hasn't been ad bombed yet.
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Joshua
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« Reply #4 on: August 29, 2014, 02:38:34 pm »

Looks like Weiland hasn't been ad bombed yet.

---

Although South Dakota is ridiculously elastic like North Dakota, there's no way anyone but Rounds will win this.
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Snek!
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« Reply #5 on: August 29, 2014, 02:41:22 pm »

Looks like Weiland hasn't been ad bombed yet.

---

Although South Dakota is ridiculously elastic like North Dakota, there's no way anyone but Rounds will win this.
If it was a bigger state, it could open up another front to drag away resources.
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« Reply #6 on: August 29, 2014, 03:08:01 pm »

So, averaging this poll with the Rounds internal should provide an accurate assessment of the race:

Rounds 44%
Weiland 28%
Pressler 16%
Howie 4%

A Weiland (or, for that matter, Pressler) win is not outside the realm of possibility, provided that one of them fades before the election and the other receives the bulk of his support. I would say Pressler gaining enough momentum to consolidate support is more likely than Weiland getting all of Pressler's supporters, although both are on the outskirts of likelihood.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #7 on: August 30, 2014, 02:41:36 am »

ND was a surprise, this race may very well come to being, alsofor Dems.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #8 on: August 30, 2014, 07:48:16 am »

ND was a surprise, this race may very well come to being, alsofor Dems.

Not in 2014, it can't.
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Solopop
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« Reply #9 on: August 30, 2014, 07:51:52 am »

2012 and 2014 are just too different.

2012 more Dems voted than will in 2014, + Obama is more unpopular and ND is slightly more friendly to Dems. No way Rounds loses unless he makes a rape comment or something along those lines in which case Pressler benefits more.
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SWE
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« Reply #10 on: August 30, 2014, 08:55:02 am »

ND was a surprise, this race may very well come to being, alsofor Dems.
Weiland is nowhere near as good a candidate as Heitkamp, and Rounds is not as flawed a candidate as Rick Berg. These races really aren't comparable.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #11 on: August 30, 2014, 09:45:55 am »

It is an internal.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #12 on: August 30, 2014, 10:46:54 am »

Rounds will win for sure, but getting less than 40% would be pathetic, considering he's running in a GOP state, is a former Governor running against a some dude and the President is an unpopular democrat.
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Vega
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« Reply #13 on: August 30, 2014, 10:50:04 am »

Rounds will win for sure, but getting less than 40% would be pathetic, considering he's running in a GOP state, is a former Governor running against a some dude and the President is an unpopular democrat.

He's also running against a popular former Senator. So that dips him down. Plus that Howie guy.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #14 on: August 30, 2014, 10:51:45 am »

Rounds will win for sure, but getting less than 40% would be pathetic, considering he's running in a GOP state, is a former Governor running against a some dude and the President is an unpopular democrat.

He's also running against a popular former Senator. So that dips him down. Plus that Howie guy.

Yes, but the former Senator supported Obama twice and isn't that popular, IIRC. I don't get how he's stealing votes from a popular GOP Governor in South Dakota of all places.
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Andrew1
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« Reply #15 on: September 05, 2014, 08:55:53 am »

Following events in Alaska and Kansas, should Weiland drop out and let Pressler take on Rounds?

Having said that, Weiland has a decent, well funded campaign, unlike the Dems in Alaska and Kansas.
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #16 on: September 05, 2014, 10:22:00 am »

Following events in Alaska and Kansas, should Weiland drop out and let Pressler take on Rounds?

Having said that, Weiland has a decent, well funded campaign, unlike the Dems in Alaska and Kansas.

It's not really comparable because Orman and Walker were polling better than and out raising Taylor and Mallott; whereas Weiland is still ahead of Pressler in both of those regards and is the better candidate. If anything, Pressler should drop out for Weiland, but it's not clear who that would benefit or who he's taking the most votes from.
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Andrew1
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« Reply #17 on: September 05, 2014, 01:03:15 pm »

Following events in Alaska and Kansas, should Weiland drop out and let Pressler take on Rounds?

Having said that, Weiland has a decent, well funded campaign, unlike the Dems in Alaska and Kansas.

It's not really comparable because Orman and Walker were polling better than and out raising Taylor and Mallott; whereas Weiland is still ahead of Pressler in both of those regards and is the better candidate. If anything, Pressler should drop out for Weiland, but it's not clear who that would benefit or who he's taking the most votes from.

Orman and Walker were not polling better than Taylor and Mallott. Both Orman and Walker were still in a clear third place in recent polling, it's just that they had the money and the momentum.

This PPP internal from Weiland did test a Rounds/Weiland head to head, and found Rounds still up, but by a narrower 45-42. Obviously it did not test a Rounds/Pressler matchup!
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #18 on: September 05, 2014, 03:16:10 pm »

Following events in Alaska and Kansas, should Weiland drop out and let Pressler take on Rounds?

Having said that, Weiland has a decent, well funded campaign, unlike the Dems in Alaska and Kansas.

It's not really comparable because Orman and Walker were polling better than and out raising Taylor and Mallott; whereas Weiland is still ahead of Pressler in both of those regards and is the better candidate. If anything, Pressler should drop out for Weiland, but it's not clear who that would benefit or who he's taking the most votes from.

Orman and Walker were not polling better than Taylor and Mallott. Both Orman and Walker were still in a clear third place in recent polling, it's just that they had the money and the momentum.

This PPP internal from Weiland did test a Rounds/Weiland head to head, and found Rounds still up, but by a narrower 45-42. Obviously it did not test a Rounds/Pressler matchup!

You are correct. What I meant was that Orman and Walker were polling better in two-way match ups against the Republicans than Taylor and Mallott.
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