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  FL-Mason Dixon/Telemundo/Leadership Florida/Florida Press Association: Scott+2
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Author Topic: FL-Mason Dixon/Telemundo/Leadership Florida/Florida Press Association: Scott+2  (Read 1647 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: September 07, 2014, 05:03:09 am »

43% Scott (R)
41% Crist (D)
  4% Wylie (L)

The survey of 625 likely voters was conducted Sept. 2-4, and Mason-Dixon cautioned that its sample reflects current voter registration in Florida (41 percent Democrat, 37 percent Republican, 21 percent other), and "does not assume a higher or lower turnout by either political party." Considering the Republican turnout is consistently at least 4 percentage points higher than Democrats in off-year elections, it's reasonable to assume Scott would have a higher lead if the sample reflected the likely voter turnout.

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http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/poll-rick-scott-43-charlie-crist-41/2196482
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #1 on: September 07, 2014, 09:35:53 am »

> mason-dixon
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2014, 09:54:22 am »

Remember when people around here used to get a Tingle Up Their Leg (TM) at the very mention of a Mason Dixon poll?
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #3 on: September 07, 2014, 10:28:40 am »

Clearly Hispanics will decide the outcome of this election.
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punching violence in the face
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« Reply #4 on: September 07, 2014, 02:16:32 pm »

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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #5 on: September 07, 2014, 02:22:35 pm »

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henster
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« Reply #6 on: September 07, 2014, 02:26:55 pm »

Sad that SUSA seems to be the only reliable pollster around in Florida.
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Devils30
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« Reply #7 on: September 07, 2014, 09:45:20 pm »

Scott won whites by 15 in 2010 and most polls have him up by less this time. Odd that combined with demographic change some polls have him winning by more than 2010.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #8 on: September 07, 2014, 10:03:44 pm »

Look who decided to show their ugly face around these parts. It's Mason-Dixon, the bastard child in the family of pollsters. Is this the first time Mason-Dixon has appeared since the 2012 election?
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Devils30
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« Reply #9 on: September 07, 2014, 10:14:55 pm »

PPP is doing Florida this weekend so we should have a fairly reliable poll soon.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #10 on: September 07, 2014, 10:19:58 pm »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8c8WDz8nzpE
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Badger
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« Reply #11 on: September 07, 2014, 10:36:41 pm »

Anyone care to explain what precisely is wrong with this poll? Other than itdoesn't support the finding many here wanted?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #12 on: September 07, 2014, 10:38:04 pm »

Anyone care to explain what precisely is wrong with this poll? Other than itdoesn't support the finding many here wanted?

Mason-Dixon is very, very bad.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #13 on: September 08, 2014, 05:11:24 am »

Anyone care to explain what precisely is wrong with this poll? Other than itdoesn't support the finding many here wanted?

Mason-Dixon is very, very bad.

Why though?
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Free Bird
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« Reply #14 on: September 08, 2014, 05:12:00 am »

Look who decided to show their ugly face around these parts. It's Mason-Dixon, the bastard child in the family of pollsters. Is this the first time Mason-Dixon has appeared since the 2012 election?

I thought that was Rass
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Worried Italian Progressive
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« Reply #15 on: September 08, 2014, 05:25:31 am »

Anyone care to explain what precisely is wrong with this poll? Other than itdoesn't support the finding many here wanted?

Mason-Dixon is very, very bad.

Why though?

Romney lead in 2012...
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backtored
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« Reply #16 on: September 08, 2014, 09:53:06 am »

Anyone care to explain what precisely is wrong with this poll? Other than itdoesn't support the finding many here wanted?

Mason-Dixon is very, very bad.

Are you saying that Crist is actually ahead?  Say what you want about Mason-Dixon or any other pollster, but I don't think there is too much doubt that Scott probably does have a slim lead at this point.
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Devils30
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« Reply #17 on: September 08, 2014, 02:31:20 pm »

Mason-Dixon had Romney winning Florida by 6 in 2012, that is the mark of a bad pollster. 7 points off.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #18 on: September 08, 2014, 03:11:06 pm »

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Well at least he wasn't completely wrong.
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« Reply #19 on: September 08, 2014, 03:22:30 pm »

7% off was pretty bad and it could call into question what sort of likely voter screen they are using. It's not an immature matter of Mason-Dixon being bad just because Crist isn't up, it's the fact that they were so wrong in a previous Florida poll. Not every poll is labeled bad simply for partisan reasons, some pollsters just have bad records....
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Panda Express
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« Reply #20 on: September 08, 2014, 09:50:05 pm »
« Edited: September 08, 2014, 10:09:45 pm by Panda Express »

Anyone care to explain what precisely is wrong with this poll? Other than itdoesn't support the finding many here wanted?

I've been thinking Crist will lose for a while now. So I could believe a 2 point lead for Scott. I just harbor animosity for Mason-Dixon's arrogance and stupidity from the 2012 election.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #21 on: September 08, 2014, 09:54:44 pm »

Look who decided to show their ugly face around these parts. It's Mason-Dixon, the bastard child in the family of pollsters. Is this the first time Mason-Dixon has appeared since the 2012 election?

I thought that was Rass

Nah dawg, Rass is the drug-dealer child who is trying to get clean but nobody still trusts. PPP is the president of Student Council who everyone loves and admires and wants to bang.
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #22 on: September 08, 2014, 10:03:35 pm »

Look who decided to show their ugly face around these parts. It's Mason-Dixon, the bastard child in the family of pollsters. Is this the first time Mason-Dixon has appeared since the 2012 election?

I thought that was Rass

Nah dawg, Rass is the drug-dealer child who is trying to get clean but nobody still trusts. PPP is the president of Student Council who everyone loves and admires and wants to bang.

And who, as a result, always attracts some resentment from misinformed naysayers who constantly try to put it down but are always proven wrong when she succeeds yet again.
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KCDem
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« Reply #23 on: September 08, 2014, 10:43:30 pm »

Look who decided to show their ugly face around these parts. It's Mason-Dixon, the bastard child in the family of pollsters. Is this the first time Mason-Dixon has appeared since the 2012 election?

I thought that was Rass

Nah dawg, Rass is the drug-dealer child who is trying to get clean but nobody still trusts. PPP is the president of Student Council who everyone loves and admires and wants to bang.

As if people on this forum get any action lol
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