ME-PPP/MCVAF: Michaud+1

[Free Bird]

Seems about right. Within the MoE, but it seems Cutler is losing traction. This really is only bad news for Michaud if you think about it

[Free Bird]

Seems about right. Within the MoE, but it seems Cutler is losing traction. This really is only bad news for Michaud if you think about it

How is Cutler losing traction bad news for Michaud?

Well think about it. Michaud is only up 1 (maybe not even then) with this lukewarm Cutler support. If he spikes to even just 15-18%, Michaud is done.

[Free Bird]

Not feeling good about this, and it is Cutler's fault. Ugh. I love third party candidates, but LePage needs to go, desperately.

And whys that?

[Free Bird]

Muh Democratic Party

Glad to see Michaud is complacent. Cutler has even lower numbers than before and yet it looks like LePage is turning this around. This will be close either way, and I suspect Michaud wins this anyway, but this is now a Toss-up (Tilt D), not the Lean D I originally thought it would be.

I'll have to disagree. Cutler will probably get more than 11% and that is only bad news for Michaud. Considering muh PPP is generally left leaning, I'm optimistic

[Free Bird]

Muh Democratic Party

Glad to see Michaud is complacent. Cutler has even lower numbers than before and yet it looks like LePage is turning this around. This will be close either way, and I suspect Michaud wins this anyway, but this is now a Toss-up (Tilt D), not the Lean D I originally thought it would be.

I'll have to disagree. Cutler will probably get more than 11% and that is only bad news for Michaud. Considering muh PPP is generally left leaning, I'm optimistic

Yet still among the most accurate?

Perhaps because 2012 was just a good year for the left in general? Not saying they're unrelated, but the correlation, from what I have seen, doesn't occur in non-left favored cycles

[Free Bird]

Muh Democratic Party

Glad to see Michaud is complacent. Cutler has even lower numbers than before and yet it looks like LePage is turning this around. This will be close either way, and I suspect Michaud wins this anyway, but this is now a Toss-up (Tilt D), not the Lean D I originally thought it would be.

I'll have to disagree. Cutler will probably get more than 11% and that is only bad news for Michaud. Considering muh PPP is generally left leaning, I'm optimistic

Yet still among the most accurate?

Perhaps because 2012 was just a good year for the left in general? Not saying they're unrelated, but the correlation, from what I have seen, doesn't occur in non-left favored cycles

Wha? It doesn't usually work like that. PPP actually had the smallest house effect in 2010 as well. Rasmussen did badly in 2010 and by that reasoning they should have done well in a 'right' year.

Don't try to reason with people like him. They don't, and rather just yell "muh freduhm!!!"

I'm not very fond of being demonized