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Author Topic: KS-PPP: Roberts trails by 7.  (Read 2459 times)
Senator Cris
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« on: September 16, 2014, 07:48:33 am »

Orman (I) 41%
Roberts (R) 34%
Taylor (D) 6%
Banston (L) 4%

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/09/16/pat-roberts-poll_n_5828408.html?1410871524&ncid=tweetlnkushpmg00000067
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2014, 08:04:18 am »

Crosstabs:

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/KansasResultsPPP916.pdf

Orman leads Roberts by 10 in a head-to-head matchup.

I have also heard somewhere that PPP's North Carolina poll today or tomorrow will show Hagan up by at least 4 points.
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solarstorm
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« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2014, 08:13:19 am »

Will Chad Taylor still be on the ballot?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2014, 08:20:06 am »

Looking good.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4 on: September 16, 2014, 08:28:10 am »

Will Chad Taylor still be on the ballot?

Well, the KS Supreme Court will hear the case today and decide either today or tomorrow on it, because the deadline to print the ballots ends tomorrow (military voters overseas will start to get their ballots on Saturday).
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: September 16, 2014, 08:30:33 am »

Holy crap this is amazeballs.
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #6 on: September 16, 2014, 08:53:22 am »

But, but muh Republican Wave!
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #7 on: September 16, 2014, 09:05:28 am »

Wow
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #8 on: September 16, 2014, 09:39:34 am »

hahaha jesus christ
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: September 16, 2014, 10:03:55 am »

Sarkozy will be reelected.
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Worried Italian Progressive
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« Reply #10 on: September 16, 2014, 10:10:02 am »

Even if Taylor support were to be around 10% (as in previous polls,but there is no reason for it to be that high come November...) Orman would still be in the lead.

Dominating.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #11 on: September 16, 2014, 10:13:21 am »

New Poll: Kansas Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-09-14

Summary: D: 6%, R: 34%, I: 41%, U: 19%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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« Reply #12 on: September 16, 2014, 10:18:00 am »

Awful.  I wonder if this is a JoCo thing or if the state is in anti-GOP rebellion generally.
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« Reply #13 on: September 16, 2014, 10:24:50 am »

What I really don't get is the pretty overt GOP support for Orman and Davis.  There are few states other than Kansas I can think of where the GOP divide is so pronounced and where a significant block of Republicans defect to the Democrats.  Sit it out?  Sure, that happens.  But actually campaign for the Democrat—or, “Independent,” as it were?  Bizarre.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #14 on: September 16, 2014, 10:29:41 am »

Even if Taylor support were to be around 10% (as in previous polls,but there is no reason for it to be that high come November...) Orman would still be in the lead.

Dominating.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #15 on: September 16, 2014, 10:47:45 am »

About 40% of Taylor voters in the poll still don't know that he's dropped out. I seriously doubt he'll end up with more than 2-3% of the vote, even if he is kept on the ballot.
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Invisible Obama
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« Reply #16 on: September 16, 2014, 11:05:49 am »

What I really don't get is the pretty overt GOP support for Orman and Davis.  There are few states other than Kansas I can think of where the GOP divide is so pronounced and where a significant block of Republicans defect to the Democrats.  Sit it out?  Sure, that happens.  But actually campaign for the Democrat—or, “Independent,” as it were?  Bizarre.

That's why doing research helps, if you did that, it wouldn't be so confusing. Kathleen Sebelius got elected Governor because moderate Republicans were willing to crossover and vote for her. In the past cycle, moderate Republicans have been purged by conservative Republicans, which has triggered moderate Republicans to crossover.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: September 16, 2014, 11:11:19 am »

Haha! Looks like Gregory the Gallant is about to give the DC fossil a good thrashing!
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Castro
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« Reply #18 on: September 16, 2014, 11:16:43 am »

About 40% of Taylor voters in the poll still don't know that he's dropped out. I seriously doubt he'll end up with more than 2-3% of the vote, even if he is kept on the ballot.

I think Taylor will probably end up staying on the ballot but it won't matter. All the yellow dogs that vote for him wouldn't have gone to Orman anyway
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Flake
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« Reply #19 on: September 16, 2014, 11:18:08 am »

Haha! Looks like Gregory the Gallant is about to give the DC fossil a good thrashing!

Please don't become the democratic equivalent of krazen
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Economically Anxious Bush, Romney, Trump, Bernie Voter
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« Reply #20 on: September 16, 2014, 11:48:06 am »

Haha! Looks like Gregory the Gallant is about to give the DC fossil a good thrashing!

Please don't become the democratic equivalent of krazen

I thought he was going for a pale, PC version of KCDem (who is already the Democratic Krazen...or would be if he weren't most likely an inverse of that D-IN poster's socks.
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #21 on: September 16, 2014, 12:02:48 pm »

What I really don't get is the pretty overt GOP support for Orman and Davis.  There are few states other than Kansas I can think of where the GOP divide is so pronounced and where a significant block of Republicans defect to the Democrats.  Sit it out?  Sure, that happens.  But actually campaign for the Democrat—or, “Independent,” as it were?  Bizarre.

You have to win a sizable chunk of the R vote in Kansas to win statewide.
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Nhoj
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« Reply #22 on: September 16, 2014, 04:24:22 pm »

The cross tabs are pretty awful for Roberts*, 53% of voters say he considers DC his home and 63% thinks he spends too little in kansas.
« Last Edit: September 16, 2014, 04:27:53 pm by Nhoj »Logged
eric82oslo
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« Reply #23 on: September 16, 2014, 04:26:39 pm »

The cross tabs are pretty awful for brownback, 53% of voters say he considers DC his home and 63% thinks he spends too little in kansas.

Brownback or Roberts? Tongue
What a strange Governor who considers DC his home. Cheesy
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Nhoj
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« Reply #24 on: September 16, 2014, 04:28:49 pm »

Oops Tongue I thought something was off when I was typing that.
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