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  KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
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Author Topic: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4  (Read 2035 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: September 16, 2014, 08:38:29 am »

Paul Davis....................................................... 42%
Sam Brownback.............................................. 38%
Keen Umbehr.................................................. 7%
Undecided....................................................... 14%

Combined Horse race, with Umbehr supporters allocated to whether they'd vote for Brownback or Davis:

Paul Davis....................................................... 45%
Sam Brownback.............................................. 39%
Not sure .......................................................... 15%

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/KansasResultsPPP916.pdf
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2014, 10:31:19 am »

I will never trust the Democrat Party shills at Piss Poor Polling.  I Trust YouGov.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2014, 10:56:20 am »

It's already tightening, Brownback will probably win.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2014, 10:57:56 am »

It's already tightening, Brownback will probably win.

No, Davis's lead has increased by 2% since PPP's last Kansas poll.
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backtored
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« Reply #4 on: September 16, 2014, 10:58:49 am »

Beautiful.  Kansas just realized that the alternative to Brownback is a Democrat.  They've decided to come home just in time for November.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #5 on: September 16, 2014, 10:59:14 am »

Beautiful.  Kansas just realized that the alternative to Brownback is a Democrat.  They've decided to come home just in time for November.

No, Davis's lead has increased by 2% since PPP's last Kansas poll.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #6 on: September 16, 2014, 11:00:44 am »

It's already tightening, Brownback will probably win.

No, Davis's lead has increased by 2% since PPP's last Kansas poll.

Ooops,
Soooooooorrrrrrrrrrry lief Tongue
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #7 on: September 16, 2014, 01:17:36 pm »

In 2015, Republicans won't be in Kansas anymore.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: September 16, 2014, 01:20:10 pm »

It's already tightening, Brownback will probably win.

No, Davis's lead has increased by 2% since PPP's last Kansas poll.

Ooops,
Soooooooorrrrrrrrrrry lief Tongue

You mixed this poll with the SurveyUSA one that had Davis up by 7.
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badgate
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« Reply #9 on: September 16, 2014, 02:22:04 pm »

It's already tightening, Brownback will probably win.

No, Davis's lead has increased by 2% since PPP's last Kansas poll.

Ooops,
Soooooooorrrrrrrrrrry lief Tongue

You're certainly living up to your username.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #10 on: September 16, 2014, 02:34:46 pm »

It's already tightening, Brownback will probably win.

No, Davis's lead has increased by 2% since PPP's last Kansas poll.

Ooops,
Soooooooorrrrrrrrrrry lief Tongue

You're certainly living up to your username.
I don't understand?
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KCDem
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« Reply #11 on: September 16, 2014, 06:56:53 pm »
« Edited: September 17, 2014, 07:27:05 am by Tender Branson »

Beautiful.  Kansas just realized that the alternative to Brownback is a Democrat.  They've decided to come home just in time for November.

Is the lack of oxygen where you live contributing to your dementia? Please descend to a lower elevation.
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SWE
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« Reply #12 on: September 16, 2014, 07:03:14 pm »

Davis's lead growing is clearly proof of Republicans coming home to Brownback. Safe R.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #13 on: September 16, 2014, 07:19:49 pm »

I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!
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KCDem
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« Reply #14 on: September 16, 2014, 07:28:56 pm »

I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!

Are you capable of putting more than one piece of data in your head at the same time? Serious question.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #15 on: September 16, 2014, 08:38:08 pm »

I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!

Are you capable of putting more than one piece of data in your head at the same time? Serious question.

Great job refuting my point!
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KCDem
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« Reply #16 on: September 16, 2014, 08:52:36 pm »

I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!

Are you capable of putting more than one piece of data in your head at the same time? Serious question.

Great job refuting my point!

PPP is the only pollster to show such a small lead for Davis. Davis is ahead by about 7 points currently.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #17 on: September 16, 2014, 09:00:14 pm »

I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!

Are you capable of putting more than one piece of data in your head at the same time? Serious question.

Great job refuting my point!

PPP is the only pollster to show such a small lead for Davis. Davis is ahead by about 7 points currently.

Not sure how that suggests I can't compute more than one piece of data at once but ok.

And I like how PPP just suddenly isn't credible when it doesn't show what you want.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #18 on: September 16, 2014, 09:02:04 pm »

I don't get it... it's Kansas... and a Democrat is in the lead.

At this point, I don't care if it's by 4 or 7.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #19 on: September 16, 2014, 09:07:56 pm »
« Edited: September 16, 2014, 09:10:29 pm by OC »

KS will be the bellweather of the night. Dems or indy winning will show a good night in GOVs and Senate for us.
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SWE
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« Reply #20 on: September 16, 2014, 09:10:10 pm »

I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!

Are you capable of putting more than one piece of data in your head at the same time? Serious question.

Great job refuting my point!

PPP is the only pollster to show such a small lead for Davis. Davis is ahead by about 7 points currently.
"The only poll that has Davis ahead by 4 is the most accurate one! "
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KCDem
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« Reply #21 on: September 16, 2014, 09:18:27 pm »

I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!

Are you capable of putting more than one piece of data in your head at the same time? Serious question.

Great job refuting my point!

PPP is the only pollster to show such a small lead for Davis. Davis is ahead by about 7 points currently.

Not sure how that suggests I can't compute more than one piece of data at once but ok.

And I like how PPP just suddenly isn't credible when it doesn't show what you want.

No one said it wasn't credible, just that its result is on the low end of the range of Davis' margin.
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Vosem
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« Reply #22 on: September 16, 2014, 09:38:09 pm »

KCDem's reaction on Election Night might turn out even better than Dr. Scholl's. Stay tuned.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #23 on: September 16, 2014, 09:39:36 pm »

KS will be the bellweather of the night. Dems or indy winning will show a good night in GOVs and Senate for us.

Not really. The situation in Kansas is odd enough that there's no guarantee it will reflect what it is happening in the rest of the country.
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KCDem
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« Reply #24 on: September 16, 2014, 09:41:48 pm »

KCDem's reaction on Election Night might turn out even better than Dr. Scholl's. Stay tuned.

I will certainly be pleasantly surprised when Democrats accomplish a statewide sweep in the Sunflower State.
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