NJ-03 is in play, says Stockton Polling Institute

Tender Branson
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NJ-03 is in play, says Stockton Polling Institute

« on: September 16, 2014, 01:06:03 PM »

Aimee Belgard (D)    42%
Tom MacArthur (R)    42%
Other/Nobody/Refused    3%
Undecided    13%

http://intraweb.stockton.edu/eyos/hughescenter/content/docs/Polling/2014%20Polling/StocktonPoll3rdTied2014PressRelease.pdf

Inc. Rep. Jon Runyan (R) is retiring.

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Maxwell
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Re: NJ-03 is in play, says Stockton Polling Institute

« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2014, 02:04:43 PM »

Wasn't this always?

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ElectionsGuy
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Re: NJ-03 is in play, says Stockton Polling Institute

« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2014, 04:24:23 PM »

This district was a bellwether for the nation in 2012, of course its in play with non-incumbents.

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Chancellor Tanterterg
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Re: NJ-03 is in play, says Stockton Polling Institute

« Reply #3 on: September 19, 2014, 09:05:42 AM »

Quote from: IDS Emperor Maxwell on September 16, 2014, 02:04:43 PM

Wasn't this always?

Yeah, but I've always had a gut sense MacArthur has the advantage. It reminds me a little of Erik Paulson vs. Ashwin Media in the old MN-3 (although Paulson obviously won there for very different reasons) in that it seems like a prime pickup opportunity on paper, but in reality the Republican is/was probably ahead by 2-3 points the entire cycle. Hopefully I'm wrong and Belgard pulls it off.

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