PA-Muhlenberg: Wolf up 21 points

[IceSpear]

http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/mc-pa-corbett-wolf-poll-20140920-story.html#page=1

Wolf 52
Corbett 31

Dominating!

[IceSpear]

Something interesting I've noticed...

Reliable non-partisan polls of this race:
Muhlenberg - Wolf +21
Quinnipiac - Wolf +24
F&M - Wolf +25

Partisan polls:
Harper - Wolf +11
Magellan - Wolf +12

Crappy polls:
YouGov - Wolf +11

Of course, nobody really cares about these differences since it's a blowout win for Wolf no matter who you believe. But the fact that there's a substantial 10 point gap between these firms is pretty interesting. In closer races, a 10 point gap would paint an incredibly different picture of any given race. I'm not saying if you tack 10 points on to the Democrat for any Harper/Magellan/YouGov poll you get reality (obviously not, since that would give Braley a double digit lead, among many other oddities), but it's interesting nevertheless.

[IceSpear]

Yeah, Wolf's (potential) coattails on their own probably wouldn't be enough for Trivedi or Strouse. They're going to need some other type of opening/game changer in addition to that in order to win.