Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 10, 2019, 04:21:15 pm
News: 2020 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  MA-Rasmussen: Tied race
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: MA-Rasmussen: Tied race  (Read 1105 times)
JRP1994
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,646


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 21, 2014, 07:46:11 am »

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/massachusetts/election_2014_massachusetts_governor

Coakley: 42%
Baker: 42%

Scott Brown probably made a huge mistake not running for this rather than NH Sen.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,986
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2014, 10:27:57 am »

CoakleyLOL.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,520
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 21, 2014, 10:35:48 am »


Meh, I think this race was Toss-up or Lean D with or without Coakley. It's just a better narrative for Democrats if Coakley loses because of Coakley, instead of Baker winning because of his merits as a candidate.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 21, 2014, 11:09:31 am »

Yeah, not having Coakley wouldn't make this Safe D. According to hypothetical polling, the democrats having Berwick, Kayeem, or Avellone as their nominee would have actually made this a Likely R race. With everyone else, it'd be a tossup, or at the low end of Lean D/Lean R. The only democrat that looks they would have defeated Baker easily would be (congressman) Joseph P. Kennedy II.

MA is purple-blue when it comes to gubernatorial elections. Democrats have their huge registration advantage, but the right sort of republican can still do quite well.



Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 21, 2014, 12:40:39 pm »


Brown didn't want to be governor, because then he'd actually have to govern. He prefers to be a senator, where all you have to do is show up and vote the way the Kochs tell you to.
Logged
GaussLaw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,283
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 21, 2014, 05:19:05 pm »


Eh, he might actually win that senate race and that's his preferred job (as IceSpear pointed out).  Also, a Baker-Brown primary might not have ended well for the MAGOP.
Logged
Mister Mets
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,960
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 21, 2014, 09:34:37 pm »


Eh, he might actually win that senate race and that's his preferred job (as IceSpear pointed out).  Also, a Baker-Brown primary might not have ended well for the MAGOP.
It could work out better for Republicans to have two competitive races rather than just one.
Logged
pendragon
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 71


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 22, 2014, 11:29:35 pm »

If Brown wanted to be a senator he probably should have stayed here too; it's not like Markey is super-popular, and if he lost he could always come back, whereas if he loses after carpetbagging to NH his career is over.

I do have to say that I found his move to NH pretty mystifying.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,700
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 22, 2014, 11:48:09 pm »

Sort of skeptical of this. I think Coakley is leading, but she's on a trend to blow another race in a deep blue state.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 22, 2014, 11:57:28 pm »

If Brown wanted to be a senator he probably should have stayed here too; it's not like Markey is super-popular, and if he lost he could always come back, whereas if he loses after carpetbagging to NH his career is over.

I do have to say that I found his move to NH pretty mystifying.
Scott Brown wants to have a seat that can be kept long-term much easier than one in Massachusetts. It's much easier to get reelected as a republican in NH then it is as a republican in MA. The problem is that the act of getting the office in the first place is hard when you're up against a popular senator and are carpetbagging. Hillary Clinton could do it because NY is deeply blue and Lazio was a mediocre candidate - and even then, she ran significantly behind Al Gore. Unfortunately for Brown, NH is not deeply red, and Shaheen remains a formidable candidate.
Logged
SWE
SomebodyWhoExists
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,434
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 23, 2014, 05:25:55 am »


Eh, he might actually win that senate race and that's his preferred job (as IceSpear pointed out).  Also, a Baker-Brown primary might not have ended well for the MAGOP.
No he can't. He could've won MA-Gov, but he has no chance in New Hampshire
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 26, 2014, 10:18:34 pm »

New Poll: Massachusetts Governor by Rasmussen on 2014-09-17

Summary: D: 42%, R: 42%, I: 5%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC