AK: PPP: Close race (user search)
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  AK: PPP: Close race (search mode)
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Author Topic: AK: PPP: Close race  (Read 5267 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: September 23, 2014, 09:09:15 AM »

We'll see, but Sullivan maybe running away with this. His favorables are going up rapidly, while Begich's approval is looking more and more like Obama.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2014, 03:05:29 PM »

Cue people starting to deem PPP garbage.

By the way, clever titling there.

It's within 2 points dude. It is a close race.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2014, 04:31:23 PM »

PPP (despite being hired by Democrats) has actually admitted that their polls are more Republican than the real results.

lol k. That's not actually true though, but then again, you don't really care.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2014, 10:28:41 PM »

Both PPP and Ras have Sullivan up 2. Don't really see how that translates to a "lean R" race, especially considering the quality (or lack thereof) of Alaska polling.

Nate Silver wrote that Republicans are historically underestimated in Alaska polls by an average of 7.2%, so if that plays out this year, we could have a Lean Republican race on our hands. Nevertheless, with Alaska's polling quality so low as you mentioned, we probably won't be able to say how this race will go with any degree of confidence anyhow.

Too bad they didn't include the 2010 Senate race where the Republican was consistently overestimated.

There were two Republicans.
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