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Author Topic: VA-Roanoke College: Warner+18  (Read 886 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: September 24, 2014, 11:00:25 am »

444 likely voters, incl. leaners:

51% Warner
33% Gillespie
  6% Sarvis
10% Undecided

http://roanoke.edu/A-Z_Index/Institute_for_Policy_and_Opinion_Research/Recent_News_Releases/RC_Poll_Election_Sept_2014.htm
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Miles
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2014, 11:05:51 am »

Warner still under 50% without leaners.

#Gillespiementun
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Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2014, 11:14:34 am »

Politico: Warner's still very vulnerable!

-----------

Warner's only polling at 51%, which suggests a stronger challenger may have had a real shot (Bill Bolling, or maybe McDonnell/Obenshain/Forbes) . But Gillespie isn't the right one, and Warner may even lead at the beginning of the count despite VA's republican counting bias. (In order to be leading at the beginning of the count as a democrat in Virginia, you need to win the election by ~16 points+, and Warner appears to be reaching and exceeding that threshold)
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2014, 02:50:06 pm »

New Poll: Virginia Senator by Roanoke College on 2014-09-19

Summary: D: 46%, R: 27%, I: 5%, U: 23%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2014, 03:22:44 pm »

Politico: Warner's still very vulnerable!

-----------

Warner's only polling at 51%, which suggests a stronger challenger may have had a real shot (Bill Bolling, or maybe McDonnell/Obenshain/Forbes) . But Gillespie isn't the right one, and Warner may even lead at the beginning of the count despite VA's republican counting bias. (In order to be leading at the beginning of the count as a democrat in Virginia, you need to win the election by ~16 points+, and Warner appears to be reaching and exceeding that threshold)

Been following the news about him lately? Tongue

Anyway, Ed Gillespie is clearly on track to give Warnercare a good thrashing.
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WULFRIC PROJECTIONS:

U.S. House District 5

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Rich Lazer
2,052   60.3%
   
Molly Sheehan
337   9.9   
Mary Scanlon
271   8.0   

Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2014, 04:08:12 pm »

Politico: Warner's still very vulnerable!

-----------

Warner's only polling at 51%, which suggests a stronger challenger may have had a real shot (Bill Bolling, or maybe McDonnell/Obenshain/Forbes) . But Gillespie isn't the right one, and Warner may even lead at the beginning of the count despite VA's republican counting bias. (In order to be leading at the beginning of the count as a democrat in Virginia, you need to win the election by ~16 points+, and Warner appears to be reaching and exceeding that threshold)

Been following the news about him lately? Tongue

Anyway, Ed Gillespie is clearly on track to give Warnercare a good thrashing.
That's why I put 'maybe' before listing his name.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2014, 04:23:45 pm »

Warner would be doing even better if he came out against "right-to-work."
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Mr. Reactionary
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2014, 04:28:37 pm »

Warner would be doing even better if he came out against "right-to-work."

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Invisible Obama
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« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2014, 04:38:08 pm »

Politico: Warner's still very vulnerable!

-----------

Warner's only polling at 51%, which suggests a stronger challenger may have had a real shot (Bill Bolling, or maybe McDonnell/Obenshain/Forbes) . But Gillespie isn't the right one, and Warner may even lead at the beginning of the count despite VA's republican counting bias. (In order to be leading at the beginning of the count as a democrat in Virginia, you need to win the election by ~16 points+, and Warner appears to be reaching and exceeding that threshold)

With his legal problems, McDonnell would lose badly, even in a wave.
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LOCK TRUMP UP!
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2014, 07:16:49 pm »

Warner would be doing even better if he came out against "right-to-work."
That would harm his status as a moderate and knock him down a few points. Part of why Warner is so safe is because he's not a Warren/Baldwin type of liberal.
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'18 Gov. Ratings: https://tinyurl.com/h35xfkr (6/6: CA: Strong Lean D ---> Safe D; IA: Toss-Up ---> Lean R)
'18 Senate Ratings: http://tinyurl.com/yb7sxe9a (6/20: WV: Toss-Up ---> Lean D)
'18 House Rating: Lean D (3/14: Toss-Up ---> Lean D)
Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2014, 07:18:32 pm »

Warner would be doing even better if he came out against "right-to-work."
That would harm his status as a moderate and knock him down a few points. Part of why Warner is so safe is because he's not a Warren/Baldwin type of liberal.

Even Steve Beshear is against "right-to-work." You don't have to be Elizabeth Warren to be against "right-to-work."
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KCDem
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« Reply #11 on: September 24, 2014, 10:12:01 pm »

This polling firm is junk, but Warner is obviously ahead.
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