Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 23, 2017, 04:36:13 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
| | |-+  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
| | | |-+  VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum?  (Read 925 times)
Senator Cris
Cris
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5437
Italy



View Profile
« on: September 25, 2014, 07:12:35 am »
Ignore

Warner (D) 48%
Gillespie (R) 39%
Sarvis (L) 6%

Without Sarvis:

Warner (D) 50%
Gillespie (R) 41%

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=2086
« Last Edit: September 25, 2014, 07:14:52 am by Cris »Logged

Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 821
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2014, 07:28:40 am »
Ignore

Warner under 50!!!1!!!!1!! #Tossup/Tilt R #RepublicanWave #MakeDCListen
Logged

Vox Populi
Panda Express
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1813


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2014, 08:50:32 am »
Ignore

Quinnipiac is really going to take a beating after this election is all said and done
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1932


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2014, 08:56:48 am »
Ignore

HAHAHAHAHAHA
Logged
Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15898
United States


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2014, 09:03:08 am »
Ignore

I usually trust Quinnipiac, but this looks quite off. Especially with this:

"Independent voters are split with 43 percent for Gillespie, 41 percent for Warner and 9 percent for Sarvis."

And this, which seems to contradict the fairly close horse race finding:

"Warner has strong leads on character traits:
Voters say 57 - 26 percent he is honest and trustworthy, compared to 39 - 19 percent for Gillespie;
Warner cares about their needs and problems, voters say 55 - 35 percent, compared to 39 - 29 percent for Gillespie;
Warner has strong leadership qualities, voters say 68 - 22 percent, compared to 41 - 21 percent for Gillespie."


Logged

TRUMPISM IS DEAD!!! KISS IT GOODBYE, OR SAY HELLO TO SPEAKER PELOSI!!!
---


---
#SherrodBrown2020
https://tengaged.com/user/JasonEldridge

'18 Gov. Ratings: https://tinyurl.com/h35xfkr (10/9: AZ: Lean R --> Strong Lean R)
'17/'18 Senate Ratings: http://tinyurl.com/yb7sxe9a (11/14: AL: Lean R --> Toss-Up)
'18 House Rating: Lean R (11/7: Strong Lean R -> Lean R)
Invisible Obama
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7279
United States



View Profile
« Reply #5 on: September 25, 2014, 09:19:03 am »
Ignore

This confirms that Quinnipiac is producing outliers this cycle. You can pretty much dismiss their polling in Iowa and Colorado now, which already looked very off.
Logged

LOCK TRUMP UP!
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28102
Germany


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: September 25, 2014, 09:34:10 am »
Ignore

Quinnipiac is really going to take a beating after this election is all said and done

The only other pollsters taking this race are Roanake, and they're terrible. I want to see a legit pollster tackle this before we call this an outlier.
Logged

Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14212
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: September 25, 2014, 09:54:53 am »
Ignore

It seems that Quinnipiac's likely voters screen is extremely tight, hence the decidedly pro-Republican results. 
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Negusa Nagast 🚀
Nagas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2796
United States



View Profile
« Reply #8 on: September 25, 2014, 10:09:36 am »
Ignore

Quinnipiac has quite the R-bias this year.
Logged

King Jellybean
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17478
United States


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: September 25, 2014, 10:17:32 am »
Ignore

I'll believe this as much as I believe that Gardner is up 8 and Ernst is up 6. Take 10 points off. That's probably more correct. It would make Iowa D+2 in turnout and Colorado R+2. Which is about where they are in terms of demographics.
Logged

13 Then people brought little children to him, for him to lay his hands on them and pray. The disciples scolded them,

14 but Jesus said, 'Let the little children alone, and do not stop them from coming to me; for it is to such as these that the kingdom of Heaven belongs.'

15 Then he laid his hands on them and went on his way.
Never
Never Convinced
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1637
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

View Profile
« Reply #10 on: September 25, 2014, 09:30:49 pm »
Ignore

I'd take this poll with a grain of salt, but it would be great if Gillespie actually is closing the gap with Warner like Quinnipiac is indicating. Hopefully PPP will poll this race.
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21247
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile
« Reply #11 on: September 25, 2014, 09:37:54 pm »
Ignore

I think Quinnipiac's LV model this cycle is way too strict. I mean, Warner leading by only 1 more point than Gardner, really?
Logged

Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines