AR-02/Global Strategy Group (D): Pryor+9
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Author Topic: AR-02/Global Strategy Group (D): Pryor+9  (Read 728 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: September 27, 2014, 12:59:46 PM »
Poll of AR-02 district:

51% Pryor
42% Cotton

House:

44% Patrick Henry Hays (D)
41% French Hill (R)

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http://www3.atr.rollcall.com/midterms-2014-polls-patrick-henry-hays-french-hill-arkansas
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2014, 01:02:45 PM »
lol
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #2 on: September 27, 2014, 01:05:59 PM »

What's so funny about this ?

Talk Business found pretty much the same thing:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=196499.msg4250704#msg4250704

Would Pryor up by 5-9 in this district mean that he's ahead statewide as well ?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: September 27, 2014, 01:13:43 PM »
I don't know why all the pundits have AR-02 as lean R. Pryor and Ross are going to carry it even if they lose, there's no Republican incumbent, and every poll released on it has shown a toss up.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2014, 01:17:35 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 27, 2014, 01:05:59 PM

What's so funny about this ?

Talk Business found pretty much the same thing:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=196499.msg4250704#msg4250704

Would Pryor up by 5-9 in this district mean that he's ahead statewide as well ?

From what I read on DKE, no.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #5 on: September 27, 2014, 01:22:16 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on September 27, 2014, 01:17:35 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 27, 2014, 01:05:59 PM

What's so funny about this ?

Talk Business found pretty much the same thing:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=196499.msg4250704#msg4250704

Would Pryor up by 5-9 in this district mean that he's ahead statewide as well ?

From what I read on DKE, no.

Talk Business had Pryor up 6 in AR-02, down 2 statewide though in their last poll.

Which means Pryor would be competetive statewide if this poll here (P+9) is correct.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #6 on: September 27, 2014, 01:30:45 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 27, 2014, 01:22:16 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on September 27, 2014, 01:17:35 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 27, 2014, 01:05:59 PM

What's so funny about this ?

Talk Business found pretty much the same thing:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=196499.msg4250704#msg4250704

Would Pryor up by 5-9 in this district mean that he's ahead statewide as well ?

From what I read on DKE, no.

Talk Business had Pryor up 6 in AR-02, down 2 statewide though in their last poll.

Which means Pryor would be competetive statewide if this poll here (P+9) is correct.

In 2002, he won CD2 56/44 while winning by 8. Looking a more recent race, 2010 SOS for example, the Democrat won CD2 by 10 but still lost statewide by almost 3.

Given the increasing divergence between this district and the rest of the state, it really depends on how he holds up elsewhere.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #7 on: September 27, 2014, 01:58:58 PM »
Pryor has to run up score in AR-1 and AR-2 to win this race. If he's smart, most of his resources will go to those areas.
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