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Author Topic: VA: PPP confirms Warner under 50%  (Read 1676 times)
Miles
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« on: September 26, 2014, 08:26:55 am »

Article.

Warner (D)- 48%
Gillespie (R)- 35%
Sarvis (L)- 4%

Warner- 49%
Gillespie- 37%

Lean R
« Last Edit: September 26, 2014, 09:00:59 am by Miles »Logged


Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2014, 08:34:43 am »

"Will Mark Warner be the next Mark Udall ?"

Tongue
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2014, 08:35:19 am »

"Warner under 50" - Politico
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7.35, 3.65

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Maxwell
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« Reply #3 on: September 26, 2014, 09:19:38 am »

PPP confirms that that Quinnipiac poll isn't crazy.

Undecideds seem to favor Gillespie, so this should get a little closer by the end. Gillespie may lose by high single digits. Still, that's hardly impressive in one of the most purple states in the country.
« Last Edit: September 26, 2014, 09:33:36 am by IDS Emperor Maxwell »Logged
Jbrase
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« Reply #4 on: September 26, 2014, 09:29:37 am »

This is terrible news for Ed Milliband.
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The Unbearable Inevitability of Matt Bevin
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« Reply #5 on: September 26, 2014, 12:36:08 pm »

It's over. Any incumbent below 50 will lose.

(Unless you're Mitch McConnell, then it's likely R)
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dmmidmi
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« Reply #6 on: September 26, 2014, 12:55:50 pm »

We're all going to look really stupid when the GOP wave sends one of Virginia's most popular government officials packing.
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SWE
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« Reply #7 on: September 26, 2014, 01:34:25 pm »

Warner will win by at least 20 points
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: September 26, 2014, 03:24:02 pm »

I thought this race would tighten up after a while, Warner wasn't going to win like he did last time, we all knew that.
« Last Edit: September 26, 2014, 03:29:19 pm by ElectionsGuy »Logged
King Francis I
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« Reply #9 on: September 26, 2014, 03:25:41 pm »

I thought this race would tighten up after a while, Warner wasn't going to win like he was last time, we all knew that.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #10 on: September 26, 2014, 03:25:50 pm »

New Poll: Virginia Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-09-23

Summary: D: 48%, R: 35%, I: 4%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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« Reply #11 on: September 26, 2014, 03:26:48 pm »

This result is actually basically identical to the last time PPP polled this race in May.
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« Reply #12 on: September 27, 2014, 09:28:23 pm »

If Gillespie can hold Warner to a single digit victory, it's a great accomplishment, especially with Sarvis on the ballot.
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Frodo
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« Reply #13 on: September 27, 2014, 09:32:01 pm »

This was always going to be a Lean-D race.  There is no doubt that Sen. Mark Warner will win re-election, of course, just not by the wildly optimistic numbers some insisted he'd have. A margin at or around twenty points for the D makes sense in Maryland perhaps, but not in Virginia.  
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The Unbearable Inevitability of Matt Bevin
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« Reply #14 on: September 28, 2014, 12:01:45 am »

This was always going to be a Lean-D race.  There is no doubt that Sen. Mark Warner will win re-election, of course, just not by the wildly optimistic numbers some insisted he'd have. A margin at or around twenty points for the D makes sense in Maryland perhaps, but not in Virginia.  

Of course "lean D" means something different to everyone, but even if you average this and Quinnipiac, Warner is still up double digits.
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KCDem
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« Reply #15 on: September 28, 2014, 01:04:27 am »

This was always going to be a Lean-D race.  There is no doubt that Sen. Mark Warner will win re-election, of course, just not by the wildly optimistic numbers some insisted he'd have. A margin at or around twenty points for the D makes sense in Maryland perhaps, but not in Virginia.  

That you call this race Lean-D is laughable. Please go return that ring to the fire whence it came.
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Frodo
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« Reply #16 on: September 28, 2014, 11:43:23 am »

This was always going to be a Lean-D race.  There is no doubt that Sen. Mark Warner will win re-election, of course, just not by the wildly optimistic numbers some insisted he'd have. A margin at or around twenty points for the D makes sense in Maryland perhaps, but not in Virginia.  

Of course "lean D" means something different to everyone, but even if you average this and Quinnipiac, Warner is still up double digits.

But trending downwards now that more voters are paying attention.  We still have a month to go before election day. 
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Flake
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« Reply #17 on: September 28, 2014, 03:58:17 pm »

This was always going to be a Lean-D race.  There is no doubt that Sen. Mark Warner will win re-election, of course, just not by the wildly optimistic numbers some insisted he'd have. A margin at or around twenty points for the D makes sense in Maryland perhaps, but not in Virginia.  

Of course "lean D" means something different to everyone, but even if you average this and Quinnipiac, Warner is still up double digits.

But trending downwards now that more voters are paying attention.  We still have a month to go before election day. 

Yeah, he trended downwards by a few points. Now he won't crack 60%.
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