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  NC-CNN: Hagan +3
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Author Topic: NC-CNN: Hagan +3  (Read 1576 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: September 28, 2014, 07:42:35 am »

46/43/7.
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KCDem
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« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2014, 08:23:12 am »

[quote ]
Do you have a favorable, or unfavorable view of Thom Tillis? (among likely voters)

Favorable 47%
Unfavorable 40%
[/quote]


HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA...junk
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Miles
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« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2014, 09:07:01 am »

This one of my least favorite (and wrong) talking points about this race:

Quote
Since Hagan was first elected in 2008, North Carolina has transitioned from somewhat of a purple state to solid red territory. Republicans took the governorship and seized both houses in the state Legislature, and North Carolina was one of two states that voted for Barack Obama in 2008 but Mitt Romney in 2012.

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KCDem
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« Reply #3 on: September 28, 2014, 09:28:32 am »

This one of my least favorite (and wrong) talking points about this race:

Quote
Since Hagan was first elected in 2008, North Carolina has transitioned from somewhat of a purple state to solid red territory. Republicans took the governorship and seized both houses in the state Legislature, and North Carolina was one of two states that voted for Barack Obama in 2008 but Mitt Romney in 2012.



More proof CNN is a joke.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2014, 10:26:28 am »

This one of my least favorite (and wrong) talking points about this race:

Quote
Since Hagan was first elected in 2008, North Carolina has transitioned from somewhat of a purple state to solid red territory. Republicans took the governorship and seized both houses in the state Legislature, and North Carolina was one of two states that voted for Barack Obama in 2008 but Mitt Romney in 2012.


Nice try, CNN. Solid Red usually means that republicans can refrain from campaigning at all in the general and still win easily. Burr received a serious challenge in 2010, McCrory couldn't win by sleeping in 2012, and Romney barely won the state (which wasn't called until about 11:00, three and a half hours after the polls closed). Enough said.
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Invisible Obama
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« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2014, 11:02:24 am »

Tillis sank himself by repeatedly referring to Hagan as Kay, instead of Senator Hagan.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2014, 12:27:33 pm »

Although the overall result looks fine, this poll has some really wonky crosstabs, along with the already mentioned question showing Tillis with a 47-40 favorability rating...
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Brittain33
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« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2014, 12:46:57 pm »

She keeps putting up decent numbers even as other Dems slip behind. Weird.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #8 on: September 28, 2014, 01:52:36 pm »

She keeps putting up decent numbers even as other Dems slip behind. Weird.

I think it's because North Carolina has the Moral Monday movement. Folks in other states haven't figured it out yet.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #9 on: September 28, 2014, 02:01:13 pm »

Pretty strong result for Hagan. This poll apparently pushed all but 1% of respondents to pick a candidate (with another 3% saying they wouldn't vote for any of the candidates). The only question is if that 7% Haugh vote will break towards Tillis strongly.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #10 on: September 28, 2014, 03:15:17 pm »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by CNN/ORC on 2014-09-25

Summary: D: 46%, R: 43%, I: 7%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Miles
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« Reply #11 on: September 28, 2014, 04:52:23 pm »

Pretty strong result for Hagan. This poll apparently pushed all but 1% of respondents to pick a candidate (with another 3% saying they wouldn't vote for any of the candidates). The only question is if that 7% Haugh vote will break towards Tillis strongly.

Haugh is actually only getting 3% of the Republican vote. He's at 12% with Independents, though.

Hagan and Tillis are tied with Indies; as long as the Independent Haugh voters don't break overwhelmingly towards Tillis, Hagan should be okay.
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